RIVN
Rivian Automotive, Inc.
RIVN has the edge over VIRC overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
VIRC
Virco Mfg. Corporation
VIRC has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
RIVN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
VIRC Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
VIRC's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability is weak.
RIVN PE Valuation
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
VIRC PE Valuation
VIRC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RIVN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect RIVN's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
VIRC Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for VIRC to show an outlook.
RIVN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.25 | +$0.83 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.58 | +$0.62 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.92 | +$0.77 |
| Q4 2025 | -$3.07 | +$1.62 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.08 | +$2.52 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.20 | +$2.76 |
| Q1 2025 | -$3.69 | +$2.08 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.69 | +$1.05 |
RIVN has the edge over VIRC on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
VIRC Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$0.17 | -120% |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.07 | -106% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.16 | -88% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.25 | -84% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.85 | -48% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.24 | -21% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.32 | -1.5% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.55 | -11% |
VIRC has swung to a loss: it lost $0.17 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
RIVN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.2B | +38% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.7B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | -26% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.6B | +78% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.3B | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.2B | +3% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.7B | +32% |
RIVN has the edge over VIRC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -41% | +22 points |
| Q2 2026 | -50% | +35 points |
| Q1 2026 | -64% | -11 points |
| Q4 2025 | -65% | -27 points |
| Q3 2025 | -63% | +71 points |
| Q2 2025 | -86% | +33 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +70 points |
| Q4 2024 | -38% | +82 points |
RIVN's operating margin was −41% last quarter, up 22 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2021.
VIRC Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $87.5M | -5% |
| Q2 2026 | $30.7M | -9.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $26.2M | -8% |
| Q4 2025 | $47.6M | -42% |
| Q3 2025 | $92.1M | -15% |
| Q2 2025 | $33.8M | -28% |
| Q1 2025 | $28.5M | -33% |
| Q4 2024 | $82.6M | -1.9% |
VIRC's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $87M last quarter, down 5% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 12% | -4.6 points |
| Q2 2026 | -12% | -12 points |
| Q1 2026 | -38% | -9.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | -3.5% | -17 points |
| Q3 2025 | 17% | -3.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | -0.3% | -6.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | -29% | -22 points |
| Q4 2024 | 13% | -4 points |
VIRC has the edge over RIVN on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RIVN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.1B | -$703M |
| Q2 2026 | -$849M | -$451M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -$549M |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.1B | -234% |
| Q3 2025 | -$421M | +$732M |
| Q2 2025 | -$398M | +$639M |
| Q1 2025 | -$526M | +$997M |
| Q4 2024 | $856M | +$2.3B |
RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.
VIRC Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $5.9M | +224% |
| Q2 2026 | -$10.1M | +$11.4M |
| Q1 2026 | -$11.6M | -$2.4M |
| Q4 2025 | $24.5M | -21% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.8M | -83% |
| Q2 2025 | -$21.5M | -$15.9M |
| Q1 2025 | -$9.2M | -328% |
| Q4 2024 | $31M | -26% |
VIRC has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RIVN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +9.1% | +121M shares |
| 1 year | +19% | +226M shares |
| 3 years | +52% | +494M shares |
RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2021 | — |
| Q1 2021 | — |
| Q4 2020 | $6M |
| Q3 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
VIRC Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +5K shares |
| 1 year | 0% | -6K shares |
| 3 years | -3.4% | -557K shares |
| 5 years | -1.2% | -192K shares |
| Available history | +0.2% | +27K shares |
VIRC has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | $190,000 |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $4M |
| Q1 2025 | $2.3M |
| Q4 2024 | — |
VIRC spent $190,000 buying back its own shares over the past year, down 97% from the year before.
RIVN Net Leverage
RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
VIRC Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -4.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | 0.0x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.9x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
VIRC has more cash than debt.
RIVN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 25.6 | Neutral |
RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).
VIRC Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 51.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 36.6 | Neutral |
VIRC's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 37 (neutral).
RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
VIRC PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | VIRC | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
VIRC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RIVN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $13.3 | 3.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $15.9 | 19% below |
| 100 week MA | $14.7 | 13% below |
| 200 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.
VIRC Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $6.38 | 0.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $6.24 | 1.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $6.27 | 1.4% above |
| 100 week MA | $7.54 | 16% below |
| 200 week MA | $8.44 | 25% below |
VIRC has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
RIVN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $130.0 | $96.8 | -25% |
| 2022 | $96.8 | $19.1 | -80% |
| 2023 | $19.1 | $23.5 | +23% |
| 2024 | $23.5 | $13.7 | -42% |
| 2025 | $13.7 | $20.9 | +53% |
| 2026 YTD | $20.9 | $12.8 | -39% |
RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.
VIRC Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $4.38 | $2.51 | -43% |
| 2021 | $2.51 | $3.02 | +20% |
| 2022 | $3.02 | $4.30 | +42% |
| 2023 | $4.30 | $12.0 | +180% |
| 2024 | $12.0 | $10.6 | -12% |
| 2025 | $10.6 | $6.43 | -39% |
| 2026 YTD | $6.43 | $6.36 | -1.1% |
VIRC has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.