RIVN
Rivian Automotive, Inc.
RIVN offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
VIK
Viking Holdings Ltd
VIK has the edge over RIVN overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.
RIVN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
VIK Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Unavailable | |
| Healthy |
VIK's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy. There isn't enough data to rate its cash flow.
RIVN PE Valuation
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
VIK PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 22x | $88.88 | — |
| Current | 29x | $88.88 | — |
| Cheap | 31x | $92.52 | +4.1% |
| Fair | 34x | $102 | +15% |
| Expensive | 46x | $139 | +56% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
VIK's PE is in its cheap range at 29x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 22x next year's earnings.
RIVN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect RIVN's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
VIK Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for VIK, with profitability improving.
RIVN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.25 | +$0.83 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.58 | +$0.62 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.92 | +$0.77 |
| Q4 2025 | -$3.07 | +$1.62 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.08 | +$2.52 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.20 | +$2.76 |
| Q1 2025 | -$3.69 | +$2.08 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.69 | +$1.05 |
RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.
VIK Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $4.00 | +33% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.02 | +63% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.69 | +119% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.57 | +$3.33 |
| Q3 2025 | $2.14 | +$4.52 |
| Q2 2025 | $1.85 | +$7.96 |
| Q1 2025 | $1.23 | +$7.27 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.76 | +$3.55 |
| Q3 2024 | -$2.38 | +$0.10 |
VIK has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
RIVN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.2B | +38% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.7B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | -26% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.6B | +78% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.3B | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.2B | +3% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.7B | +32% |
RIVN's revenue is growing: $2.2B last quarter, up 38% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -41% | +22 points |
| Q2 2026 | -50% | +35 points |
| Q1 2026 | -64% | -11 points |
| Q4 2025 | -65% | -27 points |
| Q3 2025 | -63% | +71 points |
| Q2 2025 | -86% | +33 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +70 points |
| Q4 2024 | -38% | +82 points |
RIVN's operating margin was −41% last quarter, up 22 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2021.
VIK Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $2.2B | +16% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +17% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.7B | +28% |
| Q3 2025 | $2B | +19% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.9B | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $897.1M | +25% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.3B | +21% |
| Q3 2024 | $1.7B | +11% |
VIK's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2023: $2.2B last quarter, up 16% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 29% | +0.4 points |
| Q1 2026 | 1.1% | +2.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 21% | +3.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 30% | +1.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 29% | +2.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | -1% | +8.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 17% | +3 points |
| Q3 2024 | 29% | +1.8 points |
VIK has the edge over RIVN on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RIVN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.1B | -$703M |
| Q2 2026 | -$849M | -$451M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -$549M |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.1B | -234% |
| Q3 2025 | -$421M | +$732M |
| Q2 2025 | -$398M | +$639M |
| Q1 2025 | -$526M | +$997M |
| Q4 2024 | $856M | +$2.3B |
RIVN has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is down 2.1% versus its history, compared with VIK at down 68%.
VIK Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q4 2024 | -$179.9M | -2765% |
| Q3 2024 | $714.5M | +81% |
| Q2 2024 | $262.9M | +196% |
| Q1 2024 | $367M | +269% |
| Q4 2023 | $6.8M | +$150.2M |
VIK usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$397M, but it generated $289M over the past year.
RIVN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +9.1% | +121M shares |
| 1 year | +19% | +226M shares |
| 3 years | +52% | +494M shares |
RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2021 | — |
| Q1 2021 | — |
| Q4 2020 | $6M |
| Q3 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
VIK Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +2.2M shares |
| 1 year | +0.6% | +2.5M shares |
| 3 years | +3.9% | +16.6M shares |
VIK has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
RIVN Net Leverage
RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
VIK Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 1.1x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 1.0x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 4.0x | Elevated |
| Q3 2024 | 21.7x | High |
VIK's net debt is about 1.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.
RIVN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 25.6 | Neutral |
RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).
VIK Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 53.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 33.7 | Neutral |
VIK's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 34 (neutral).
RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
VIK PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | VIK | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 29x | 18x | 63% above |
| PE % | 10 | 24 | 14 pts below |
VIK is trading at 29x earnings, a 63% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
RIVN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $13.3 | 3.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $15.9 | 19% below |
| 100 week MA | $14.7 | 13% below |
| 200 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
VIK has stronger trend alignment. RIVN is above 0 of 5 weekly averages versus VIK above 3 of 4.
VIK Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $84.0 | 5.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $90.7 | 2% below |
| 50 week MA | $83.2 | 6.8% above |
| 100 week MA | $67.5 | 32% above |
VIK's trend is mixed: it's above three of its four weekly moving averages, and 32% above its 100-week average.
RIVN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $130.0 | $96.8 | -25% |
| 2022 | $96.8 | $19.1 | -80% |
| 2023 | $19.1 | $23.5 | +23% |
| 2024 | $23.5 | $13.7 | -42% |
| 2025 | $13.7 | $20.9 | +53% |
| 2026 YTD | $20.9 | $12.8 | -39% |
RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.
VIK Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $29.0 | $44.4 | +53% |
| 2025 | $44.4 | $73.3 | +65% |
| 2026 YTD | $73.3 | $88.9 | +21% |
VIK has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.