RIVN

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

53
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

RIVN offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

VFS

VinFast Auto Ltd.

54
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential27/ 100

VFS has a slight edge over RIVN overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

RIVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

VFS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

VFS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

RIVN PE Valuation

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

VFS PE Valuation

VFS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RIVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

RIVN has the edge over VFS on the outlook, with more favorable earnings expectations.

VFS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses steady
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect VFS's revenue to grow and its profitability to improve, with its earnings holding steady.

RIVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$19.04
Downside-31%$8.82

Calculated from the latest close: $12.80 on Nov 12.

RIVN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than VFS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

VFS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+37%$4.19
Downside-26%$2.25

Calculated from the latest close: $3.06 on Nov 12.

VFS trails RIVN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RIVN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.25+$0.83
Q2 2026-$2.58+$0.62
Q1 2026-$2.92+$0.77
Q4 2025-$3.07+$1.62
Q3 2025-$3.08+$2.52
Q2 2025-$3.20+$2.76
Q1 2025-$3.69+$2.08
Q4 2024-$4.69+$1.05

RIVN has the edge over VFS on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

VFS Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-0.96Q4 2023: $-1.01Q1 2024: $-1.02Q2 2024: $-1.12Q3 2024: $-1.09Q4 2024: $-1.29Q1 2025: $-1.34Q2 2025: $-1.36Q3 2025: $-1.54Q4 2025: $-1.62Q1 2026: $-1.79Q2 2026: $-2.09
Q3 2023: $-0.96Q4 2023: $-1.01Q1 2024: $-1.02Q2 2024: $-1.12Q3 2024: $-1.09Q4 2024: $-1.29Q1 2025: $-1.34Q2 2025: $-1.36Q3 2025: $-1.54Q4 2025: $-1.62Q1 2026: $-1.79Q2 2026: $-2.09
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$2.09-$0.73
Q1 2026-$1.79-$0.45
Q4 2025-$1.62-$0.33
Q3 2025-$1.54-$0.45
Q2 2025-$1.36-$0.24
Q1 2025-$1.34-$0.32
Q4 2024-$1.29-$0.28
Q3 2024-$1.09-$0.13

VFS lost $2.09 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.

RIVN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+38%
Q2 2026$1.7B+27%
Q1 2026$1.4B+11%
Q4 2025$1.3B-26%
Q3 2025$1.6B+78%
Q2 2025$1.3B+13%
Q1 2025$1.2B+3%
Q4 2024$1.7B+32%

RIVN's revenue is growing: $2.2B last quarter, up 38% from the same quarter a year ago.

VFS Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $322MQ4 2023: $378MQ1 2024: $254MQ2 2024: $338MQ3 2024: $480MQ4 2024: $643MQ1 2025: $635MQ2 2025: $647MQ3 2025: $705MQ4 2025: $1.5BQ1 2026: $900MQ2 2026: $1.2B
Q3 2023: $322MQ4 2023: $378MQ1 2024: $254MQ2 2024: $338MQ3 2024: $480MQ4 2024: $643MQ1 2025: $635MQ2 2025: $647MQ3 2025: $705MQ4 2025: $1.5BQ1 2026: $900MQ2 2026: $1.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$1.2B+83%
Q1 2026$900.2M+42%
Q4 2025$1.5B+139%
Q3 2025$705M+47%
Q2 2025$646.9M+92%
Q1 2025$635.1M+150%
Q4 2024$642.5M+70%
Q3 2024$480.1M+49%

VFS has the edge over RIVN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RIVN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.1B-$703M
Q2 2026-$849M-$451M
Q1 2026-$1.1B-$549M
Q4 2025-$1.1B-234%
Q3 2025-$421M+$732M
Q2 2025-$398M+$639M
Q1 2025-$526M+$997M
Q4 2024$856M+$2.3B

RIVN has the edge over VFS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

VFS Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: −$1.1BQ4 2023: −$516MQ1 2024: −$671MQ2 2024: −$408MQ3 2024: −$559MQ4 2024: −$199MQ1 2025: −$729MQ2 2025: −$658MQ3 2025: −$692MQ4 2025: −$547MQ1 2026: −$714MQ2 2026: −$924M
Q3 2023: −$1.1BQ4 2023: −$516MQ1 2024: −$671MQ2 2024: −$408MQ3 2024: −$559MQ4 2024: −$199MQ1 2025: −$729MQ2 2025: −$658MQ3 2025: −$692MQ4 2025: −$547MQ1 2026: −$714MQ2 2026: −$924M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$924.2M-$265.9M
Q1 2026-$713.8M+$15.6M
Q4 2025-$546.8M-$348.2M
Q3 2025-$692.2M-$132.8M
Q2 2025-$658.3M-$250.1M
Q1 2025-$729.5M-$58.9M
Q4 2024-$198.6M+$317.5M
Q3 2024-$559.4M+$560.3M

VFS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$2.9B over the past year, against −$2.1B the year before.

RIVN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.1%+121M shares
1 year+19%+226M shares
3 years+52%+494M shares

RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.

VFS Total Shares

Q3 2023: 2.3BQ4 2023: 2.3BQ1 2024: 2.3BQ2 2024: 2.3BQ3 2024: 2.3BQ4 2024: 2.3BQ1 2025: 2.3BQ2 2025: 2.3BQ3 2025: 2.3BQ4 2025: 2.3BQ1 2026: 2.3BQ2 2026: 2.3B
Q3 2023: 2.3BQ4 2023: 2.3BQ1 2024: 2.3BQ2 2024: 2.3BQ3 2024: 2.3BQ4 2024: 2.3BQ1 2025: 2.3BQ2 2025: 2.3BQ3 2025: 2.3BQ4 2025: 2.3BQ1 2026: 2.3BQ2 2026: 2.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year0%+723K shares
3 years+0.7%+17.3M shares

VFS has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RIVN Net Leverage

RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

VFS Net Leverage

VFS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

RIVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic25.6Neutral

RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

VFS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.7Neutral
Stochastic50.6Neutral

VFS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 51 (neutral).

RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

VFS PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

VFS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RIVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.33.9% below
20 week MA$15.115% below
50 week MA$15.919% below
100 week MA$14.713% below
200 week MA$15.115% below

RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

VFS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.132.2% below
20 week MA$3.132.2% below
50 week MA$3.358.7% below
100 week MA$3.4311% below
200 week MA$5.7146% below

VFS is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 46% below its 200-week average.

RIVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$130.0$96.8-25%
2022$96.8$19.1-80%
2023$19.1$23.5+23%
2024$23.5$13.7-42%
2025$13.7$20.9+53%
2026 YTD$20.9$12.8-39%

RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.

VFS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$9.68$9.680%
2022$9.68$10.0+3.5%
2023$10.0$8.37-16%
2024$8.37$4.32-48%
2025$4.32$3.39-22%
2026 YTD$3.39$3.06-9.7%

VFS has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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