RIVN

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

53
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

RIVN's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

VFC

V.F. Corporation

67
Fundamentals67/ 100
Valuation71/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

VFC has the edge over RIVN overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

RIVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

VFC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Under pressure

VFC's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

RIVN PE Valuation

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

VFC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x49x74x98x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x49x74x98x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward16x$20.03—
Cheap17x$15.91-21%
Current22x$20.03—
Fair27x$24.83+24%
Expensive63x$58.30+191%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

VFC's PE is in its cheap range at 22x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 16x next year's earnings.

RIVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

RIVN has the edge over VFC on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

VFC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect VFC's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RIVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$19.04
Downside-31%$8.82

Calculated from the latest close: $12.80 on Nov 12.

RIVN trails VFC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

VFC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+62%$32.41
Downside-21%$15.92

Calculated from the latest close: $20.03 on Nov 12.

VFC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RIVN, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

RIVN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.25+$0.83
Q2 2026-$2.58+$0.62
Q1 2026-$2.92+$0.77
Q4 2025-$3.07+$1.62
Q3 2025-$3.08+$2.52
Q2 2025-$3.20+$2.76
Q1 2025-$3.69+$2.08
Q4 2024-$4.69+$1.05

RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.

VFC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.97Q1 2024: $-2.49Q2 2024: $-3.01Q3 2024: $-1.72Q4 2024: $-1.18Q1 2025: $-0.48Q2 2025: $-0.11Q3 2025: $0.24Q4 2025: $0.57Q1 2026: $0.64Q2 2026: $0.69Q3 2026: $0.93Forward: $1.22
Q4 2023: $-1.97Q1 2024: $-2.49Q2 2024: $-3.01Q3 2024: $-1.72Q4 2024: $-1.18Q1 2025: $-0.48Q2 2025: $-0.11Q3 2025: $0.24Q4 2025: $0.57Q1 2026: $0.64Q2 2026: $0.69Q3 2026: $0.93Forward: $1.22
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.22+32%
Q3 2026$0.93+288%
Q2 2026$0.69+$0.80
Q1 2026$0.64+$1.12
Q4 2025$0.57+$1.75
Q3 2025$0.24+$1.96
Q2 2025-$0.11+$2.90
Q1 2025-$0.48+$2.01
Q4 2024-$1.18+$0.79

VFC has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RIVN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+38%
Q2 2026$1.7B+27%
Q1 2026$1.4B+11%
Q4 2025$1.3B-26%
Q3 2025$1.6B+78%
Q2 2025$1.3B+13%
Q1 2025$1.2B+3%
Q4 2024$1.7B+32%

RIVN has the edge over VFC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

VFC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: $2.4BQ2 2024: $1.9BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $2.8BQ1 2025: $2.1BQ2 2025: $1.8BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $2.9BQ1 2026: $2.2BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.7B
Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: $2.4BQ2 2024: $1.9BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $2.8BQ1 2025: $2.1BQ2 2025: $1.8BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $2.9BQ1 2026: $2.2BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.7B-3.8%
Q2 2026$1.7B-5.2%
Q1 2026$2.2B+1%
Q4 2025$2.9B+1.5%
Q3 2025$2.8B+1.6%
Q2 2025$1.8B-7.7%
Q1 2025$2.1B-9.7%
Q4 2024$2.8B-4.3%

VFC's revenue fell from its 2022 peak and has held roughly level since: $2.7B last quarter, down 3.8% from the same quarter a year ago.

RIVN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.1B-$703M
Q2 2026-$849M-$451M
Q1 2026-$1.1B-$549M
Q4 2025-$1.1B-234%
Q3 2025-$421M+$732M
Q2 2025-$398M+$639M
Q1 2025-$526M+$997M
Q4 2024$856M+$2.3B

RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.

VFC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: −$117MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$322MQ4 2024: $900MQ1 2025: −$193MQ2 2025: −$174MQ3 2025: −$254MQ4 2025: $978MQ1 2026: $6MQ2 2026: −$102MQ3 2026: −$191M
Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: −$117MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$322MQ4 2024: $900MQ1 2025: −$193MQ2 2025: −$174MQ3 2025: −$254MQ4 2025: $978MQ1 2026: $6MQ2 2026: −$102MQ3 2026: −$191M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$190.7M+$62.9M
Q2 2026-$102.1M+$71.6M
Q1 2026$5.9M+$198.9M
Q4 2025$977.9M+8.7%
Q3 2025-$253.5M+$68.8M
Q2 2025-$173.7M-$168.3M
Q1 2025-$193M-$75.7M
Q4 2024$899.7M-18%

VFC has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RIVN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.1%+121M shares
1 year+19%+226M shares
3 years+52%+494M shares

RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.

VFC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 388MQ1 2024: 388MQ2 2024: 389MQ3 2024: 391MQ4 2024: 394MQ1 2025: 393MQ2 2025: 390MQ3 2025: 394MQ4 2025: 397MQ1 2026: 396MQ2 2026: 392MQ3 2026: 400M
Q4 2023: 388MQ1 2024: 388MQ2 2024: 389MQ3 2024: 391MQ4 2024: 394MQ1 2025: 393MQ2 2025: 390MQ3 2025: 394MQ4 2025: 397MQ1 2026: 396MQ2 2026: 392MQ3 2026: 400M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.9%+7.6M shares
1 year+1.4%+5.7M shares
3 years+2.9%+11.3M shares
5 years+1.4%+5.7M shares
Available history-0.2%-642K shares

VFC has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RIVN Net Leverage

RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

VFC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 11.3xQ1 2024: 19.4xQ2 2024: 96.8xQ4 2024: 18.4xQ1 2025: 7.9xQ2 2025: 6.5xQ3 2025: 6.5xQ4 2025: 3.7xQ1 2026: 3.2xQ2 2026: 3.3xQ3 2026: 3.5x
Q4 2023: 11.3xQ1 2024: 19.4xQ2 2024: 96.8xQ4 2024: 18.4xQ1 2025: 7.9xQ2 2025: 6.5xQ3 2025: 6.5xQ4 2025: 3.7xQ1 2026: 3.2xQ2 2026: 3.3xQ3 2026: 3.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.5xElevated
Q2 20263.3xElevated
Q1 20263.2xElevated
Q4 20253.7xElevated
Q3 20256.5xHigh
Q2 20256.5xHigh
Q1 20257.9xHigh
Q4 202418.4xHigh

VFC's net debt is about 3.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 6.5 years a year ago.

RIVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic25.6Neutral

RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

VFC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI66.5Neutral
Stochastic90.4Overbought

VFC's weekly RSI is 66 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 90 (overbought).

RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

VFC PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricVFCSector medianRelative
PE22x18x20% above
PE %314716 pts below

VFC is trading at 22x earnings, a 20% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

RIVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.33.9% below
20 week MA$15.115% below
50 week MA$15.919% below
100 week MA$14.713% below
200 week MA$15.115% below

RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

VFC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$17.018% above
20 week MA$15.827% above
50 week MA$17.415% above
100 week MA$16.720% above
200 week MA$17.514% above

VFC has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RIVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$130.0$96.8-25%
2022$96.8$19.1-80%
2023$19.1$23.5+23%
2024$23.5$13.7-42%
2025$13.7$20.9+53%
2026 YTD$20.9$12.8-39%

RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.

VFC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$100.0$83.9-16%
2021$83.9$69.5-17%
2022$69.5$26.1-62%
2023$26.1$18.8-28%
2024$18.8$21.8+16%
2025$21.8$18.5-15%
2026 YTD$18.5$20.0+8.3%

VFC has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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