RIVN

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

53
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

RIVN offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

VC

Visteon Corporation

56
Fundamentals38/ 100
Valuation68/ 100
Upside potential52/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

VC has a slight edge over RIVN overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

RIVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

VC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Stable
Strong

VC's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue, profitability and cash flow are stable.

RIVN PE Valuation

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

VC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE32x64x97x129x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE32x64x97x129x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7x$40.88-48%
Forward8.3x$79.11—
Current14x$79.11—
Fair22x$126+60%
Expensive66x$381+381%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

VC's PE is in its fair range at 14x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 8.3x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

RIVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

RIVN has the edge over VC on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

VC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for VC, with profitability holding steady.

RIVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$19.04
Downside-31%$8.82

Calculated from the latest close: $12.80 on Nov 12.

RIVN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than VC, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

VC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+22%$96.50
Downside-20%$63.23

Calculated from the latest close: $79.11 on Nov 12.

VC trails RIVN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RIVN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.25+$0.83
Q2 2026-$2.58+$0.62
Q1 2026-$2.92+$0.77
Q4 2025-$3.07+$1.62
Q3 2025-$3.08+$2.52
Q2 2025-$3.20+$2.76
Q1 2025-$3.69+$2.08
Q4 2024-$4.69+$1.05

RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.

VC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $17.05Q1 2024: $17.37Q2 2024: $19.21Q3 2024: $18.29Q4 2024: $9.82Q1 2025: $10.68Q2 2025: $10.50Q3 2025: $11.14Q4 2025: $9.43Q1 2026: $8.21Q2 2026: $7.65Q3 2026: $5.80Forward: $9.47
Q4 2023: $17.05Q1 2024: $17.37Q2 2024: $19.21Q3 2024: $18.29Q4 2024: $9.82Q1 2025: $10.68Q2 2025: $10.50Q3 2025: $11.14Q4 2025: $9.43Q1 2026: $8.21Q2 2026: $7.65Q3 2026: $5.80Forward: $9.47
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.47+63%
Q3 2026$5.80-48%
Q2 2026$7.65-27%
Q1 2026$8.21-23%
Q4 2025$9.43-4%
Q3 2025$11.14-39%
Q2 2025$10.50-45%
Q1 2025$10.68-39%
Q4 2024$9.82-42%

VC has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RIVN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+38%
Q2 2026$1.7B+27%
Q1 2026$1.4B+11%
Q4 2025$1.3B-26%
Q3 2025$1.6B+78%
Q2 2025$1.3B+13%
Q1 2025$1.2B+3%
Q4 2024$1.7B+32%

RIVN has the edge over VC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

VC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $990MQ1 2024: $933MQ2 2024: $1BQ3 2024: $980MQ4 2024: $939MQ1 2025: $934MQ2 2025: $969MQ3 2025: $917MQ4 2025: $948MQ1 2026: $954MQ2 2026: $960MQ3 2026: $970M
Q4 2023: $990MQ1 2024: $933MQ2 2024: $1BQ3 2024: $980MQ4 2024: $939MQ1 2025: $934MQ2 2025: $969MQ3 2025: $917MQ4 2025: $948MQ1 2026: $954MQ2 2026: $960MQ3 2026: $970M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$970M+5.8%
Q2 2026$960M-0.9%
Q1 2026$954M+2.1%
Q4 2025$948M+1%
Q3 2025$917M-6.4%
Q2 2025$969M-4.4%
Q1 2025$934M+0.1%
Q4 2024$939M-5.2%

VC's revenue grew through 2022 and has held roughly level since: $970M last quarter, up 5.8% from the same quarter a year ago.

RIVN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.1B-$703M
Q2 2026-$849M-$451M
Q1 2026-$1.1B-$549M
Q4 2025-$1.1B-234%
Q3 2025-$421M+$732M
Q2 2025-$398M+$639M
Q1 2025-$526M+$997M
Q4 2024$856M+$2.3B

RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.

VC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $98MQ1 2024: $69MQ2 2024: $57MQ3 2024: $98MQ4 2024: $203MQ1 2025: $70MQ2 2025: $95MQ3 2025: $127MQ4 2025: $118MQ1 2026: $6MQ2 2026: $37MQ3 2026: $38M
Q4 2023: $98MQ1 2024: $69MQ2 2024: $57MQ3 2024: $98MQ4 2024: $203MQ1 2025: $70MQ2 2025: $95MQ3 2025: $127MQ4 2025: $118MQ1 2026: $6MQ2 2026: $37MQ3 2026: $38M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$38M-70%
Q2 2026$37M-61%
Q1 2026$6M-91%
Q4 2025$118M-42%
Q3 2025$127M+30%
Q2 2025$95M+67%
Q1 2025$70M+1.4%
Q4 2024$203M+107%

VC has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RIVN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.1%+121M shares
1 year+19%+226M shares
3 years+52%+494M shares

RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.

VC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 29MQ1 2024: 28MQ2 2024: 28MQ3 2024: 28MQ4 2024: 28MQ1 2025: 28MQ2 2025: 28MQ3 2025: 28MQ4 2025: 28MQ1 2026: 27MQ2 2026: 27MQ3 2026: 26M
Q4 2023: 29MQ1 2024: 28MQ2 2024: 28MQ3 2024: 28MQ4 2024: 28MQ1 2025: 28MQ2 2025: 28MQ3 2025: 28MQ4 2025: 28MQ1 2026: 27MQ2 2026: 27MQ3 2026: 26M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-4.4%-1.2M shares
1 year-6.8%-1.9M shares
3 years-8.8%-2.5M shares
5 years-8.5%-2.4M shares
Available history-7.8%-2.2M shares

VC has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RIVN Net Leverage

RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

VC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: -0.5xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.6xQ4 2024: -0.8xQ1 2025: -0.8xQ2 2025: -0.8xQ3 2025: -1.0xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -1.0xQ2 2026: -0.9xQ3 2026: -0.4x
Q4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: -0.5xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.6xQ4 2024: -0.8xQ1 2025: -0.8xQ2 2025: -0.8xQ3 2025: -1.0xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -1.0xQ2 2026: -0.9xQ3 2026: -0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.8xNet Cash

VC has more cash than debt.

RIVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic25.6Neutral

RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

VC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic15.7Oversold

VC's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

VC PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricVCSector medianRelative
PE14x18x24% below
PE %42475 pts below

VC is trading at 14x earnings, a 24% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

RIVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.33.9% below
20 week MA$15.115% below
50 week MA$15.919% below
100 week MA$14.713% below
200 week MA$15.115% below

RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

VC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$82.13.6% below
20 week MA$94.917% below
50 week MA$98.720% below
100 week MA$97.819% below
200 week MA$110.528% below

VC is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 28% below its 200-week average.

RIVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$130.0$96.8-25%
2022$96.8$19.1-80%
2023$19.1$23.5+23%
2024$23.5$13.7-42%
2025$13.7$20.9+53%
2026 YTD$20.9$12.8-39%

RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.

VC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$86.6$125.9+45%
2021$125.9$110.1-13%
2022$110.1$128.3+16%
2023$128.3$124.9-2.6%
2024$124.9$89.3-28%
2025$89.3$97.3+8.9%
2026 YTD$97.3$79.1-19%

VC has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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