RIVN

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

53
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

RIVN's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

URBN

Urban Outfitters, Inc.

65
Fundamentals68/ 100
Valuation53/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

URBN has the edge over RIVN overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

RIVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

URBN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Stable
Strong

URBN's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

RIVN PE Valuation

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

URBN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1026x2053x3079x4106x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1026x2053x3079x4106x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap10x$64.55-24%
Fair13x$85.87+1.3%
Current13x$84.80—
Forward13x$84.80—
Expensive16x$102+21%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

URBN's PE is in its fair range at 13.3x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12.8x next year's earnings.

RIVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RIVN's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

URBN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for URBN, with profitability improving.

RIVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$19.04
Downside-31%$8.82

Calculated from the latest close: $12.80 on Nov 12.

RIVN trails URBN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

URBN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$115.70
Downside-19%$68.75

Calculated from the latest close: $84.80 on Nov 12.

URBN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RIVN, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RIVN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.25+$0.83
Q2 2026-$2.58+$0.62
Q1 2026-$2.92+$0.77
Q4 2025-$3.07+$1.62
Q3 2025-$3.08+$2.52
Q2 2025-$3.20+$2.76
Q1 2025-$3.69+$2.08
Q4 2024-$4.69+$1.05

RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.

URBN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.87Q1 2024: $3.05Q2 2024: $3.14Q3 2024: $3.28Q4 2024: $3.50Q1 2025: $4.26Q2 2025: $4.77Q3 2025: $5.11Q4 2025: $5.29Q1 2026: $5.06Q2 2026: $5.20Q3 2026: $6.40Forward: $6.63
Q4 2023: $2.87Q1 2024: $3.05Q2 2024: $3.14Q3 2024: $3.28Q4 2024: $3.50Q1 2025: $4.26Q2 2025: $4.77Q3 2025: $5.11Q4 2025: $5.29Q1 2026: $5.06Q2 2026: $5.20Q3 2026: $6.40Forward: $6.63
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.63+3.6%
Q3 2026$6.40+25%
Q2 2026$5.20+9%
Q1 2026$5.06+19%
Q4 2025$5.29+51%
Q3 2025$5.11+56%
Q2 2025$4.77+52%
Q1 2025$4.26+40%
Q4 2024$3.50+22%

URBN has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RIVN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+38%
Q2 2026$1.7B+27%
Q1 2026$1.4B+11%
Q4 2025$1.3B-26%
Q3 2025$1.6B+78%
Q2 2025$1.3B+13%
Q1 2025$1.2B+3%
Q4 2024$1.7B+32%

RIVN's revenue is growing: $2.2B last quarter, up 38% from the same quarter a year ago.

URBN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.6BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.5BQ4 2025: $1.5BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $1.7B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.6BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.5BQ4 2025: $1.5BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $1.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.7B+10%
Q2 2026$1.5B+11%
Q1 2026$1.8B+10%
Q4 2025$1.5B+12%
Q3 2025$1.5B+11%
Q2 2025$1.3B+11%
Q1 2025$1.6B+10%
Q4 2024$1.4B+6.3%

URBN's revenue has grown year over year for 22 quarters in a row: $1.7B last quarter, up 10% from the same quarter a year ago.

RIVN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.1B-$703M
Q2 2026-$849M-$451M
Q1 2026-$1.1B-$549M
Q4 2025-$1.1B-234%
Q3 2025-$421M+$732M
Q2 2025-$398M+$639M
Q1 2025-$526M+$997M
Q4 2024$856M+$2.3B

RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.

URBN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $181MQ2 2024: $17MQ3 2024: $48MQ4 2024: −$27MQ1 2025: $282MQ2 2025: −$13MQ3 2025: $157MQ4 2025: −$23MQ1 2026: $194MQ2 2026: −$178MQ3 2026: $301M
Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $181MQ2 2024: $17MQ3 2024: $48MQ4 2024: −$27MQ1 2025: $282MQ2 2025: −$13MQ3 2025: $157MQ4 2025: −$23MQ1 2026: $194MQ2 2026: −$178MQ3 2026: $301M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$301.4M+92%
Q2 2026-$177.8M-$164.6M
Q1 2026$194.3M-31%
Q4 2025-$22.8M+$3.9M
Q3 2025$156.6M+230%
Q2 2025-$13.1M-175%
Q1 2025$281.9M+56%
Q4 2024-$26.7M-$23.1M

URBN has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RIVN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.1%+121M shares
1 year+19%+226M shares
3 years+52%+494M shares

RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.

URBN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 94MQ1 2024: 94MQ2 2024: 95MQ3 2024: 95MQ4 2024: 94MQ1 2025: 94MQ2 2025: 93MQ3 2025: 91MQ4 2025: 91MQ1 2026: 92MQ2 2026: 89MQ3 2026: 87M
Q4 2023: 94MQ1 2024: 94MQ2 2024: 95MQ3 2024: 95MQ4 2024: 94MQ1 2025: 94MQ2 2025: 93MQ3 2025: 91MQ4 2025: 91MQ1 2026: 92MQ2 2026: 89MQ3 2026: 87M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.4%-2.1M shares
1 year-4.9%-4.5M shares
3 years-8%-7.6M shares
5 years-13%-12.9M shares
Available history-12%-12M shares

URBN has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RIVN Net Leverage

RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

URBN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -0.5xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.5xQ4 2025: -0.4xQ1 2026: -0.5xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.7x
Q4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -0.5xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.5xQ4 2025: -0.4xQ1 2026: -0.5xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.4xNet Cash

URBN has more cash than debt.

RIVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic25.6Neutral

RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

URBN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI58.4Neutral
Stochastic68.5Neutral

URBN's weekly RSI is 58 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 69 (neutral).

RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

URBN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricURBNSector medianRelative
PE13x18x26% below
PE %4747Same percentile

URBN is trading at 13x earnings, a 26% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

RIVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.33.9% below
20 week MA$15.115% below
50 week MA$15.919% below
100 week MA$14.713% below
200 week MA$15.115% below

RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

URBN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$84.01% above
20 week MA$78.77.8% above
50 week MA$74.314% above
100 week MA$68.723% above
200 week MA$52.562% above

URBN has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RIVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$130.0$96.8-25%
2022$96.8$19.1-80%
2023$19.1$23.5+23%
2024$23.5$13.7-42%
2025$13.7$20.9+53%
2026 YTD$20.9$12.8-39%

RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.

URBN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$27.8$26.8-3.6%
2021$26.8$29.1+8.8%
2022$29.1$24.1-17%
2023$24.1$35.7+48%
2024$35.7$55.8+56%
2025$55.8$77.1+38%
2026 YTD$77.1$84.8+10%

URBN has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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