RIVN

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

53
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

RIVN has the edge over UA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

UA

Under Armour, Inc.

44
Fundamentals42/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

UA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

RIVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

UA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Weak

UA's revenue is currently stable, but its profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

RIVN PE Valuation

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

UA PE Valuation

UA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 42x next year's earnings.

RIVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

RIVN has the edge over UA on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

UA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Stable
Improving
Moderate
High

Analysts expect UA to return to profit, with revenue holding steady.

RIVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$19.04
Downside-31%$8.82

Calculated from the latest close: $12.80 on Nov 12.

RIVN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than UA, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

UA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+45%$6.86
Downside-31%$3.27

Calculated from the latest close: $4.74 on Nov 12.

UA trails RIVN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RIVN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.25+$0.83
Q2 2026-$2.58+$0.62
Q1 2026-$2.92+$0.77
Q4 2025-$3.07+$1.62
Q3 2025-$3.08+$2.52
Q2 2025-$3.20+$2.76
Q1 2025-$3.69+$2.08
Q4 2024-$4.69+$1.05

RIVN has the edge over UA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

UA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.88Q1 2024: $0.54Q2 2024: $-0.18Q3 2024: $-0.03Q4 2024: $-0.29Q1 2025: $-0.47Q2 2025: $0.22Q3 2025: $-0.21Q4 2025: $-1.22Q1 2026: $-1.16Q2 2026: $-1.15Q3 2026: $-1.11Forward: $0.11
Q4 2023: $0.88Q1 2024: $0.54Q2 2024: $-0.18Q3 2024: $-0.03Q4 2024: $-0.29Q1 2025: $-0.47Q2 2025: $0.22Q3 2025: $-0.21Q4 2025: $-1.22Q1 2026: $-1.16Q2 2026: $-1.15Q3 2026: $-1.11Forward: $0.11
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.11—
Q3 2026-$1.11-$0.90
Q2 2026-$1.15-623%
Q1 2026-$1.16-$0.69
Q4 2025-$1.22-$0.93
Q3 2025-$0.21-$0.18
Q2 2025$0.22+$0.40
Q1 2025-$0.47-187%
Q4 2024-$0.29-133%

UA is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $1.11 per share over the past year, against $1.64 at its worst in late 2020.

RIVN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+38%
Q2 2026$1.7B+27%
Q1 2026$1.4B+11%
Q4 2025$1.3B-26%
Q3 2025$1.6B+78%
Q2 2025$1.3B+13%
Q1 2025$1.2B+3%
Q4 2024$1.7B+32%

RIVN has the edge over UA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

UA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.5BQ1 2024: $1.3BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.2BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $1.5BQ1 2024: $1.3BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.2BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B-6.9%
Q2 2026$1.1B-3.2%
Q1 2026$1.2B-0.8%
Q4 2025$1.3B-5.2%
Q3 2025$1.3B-4.7%
Q2 2025$1.1B-4.2%
Q1 2025$1.2B-11%
Q4 2024$1.4B-5.7%

UA's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $1.2B last quarter, down 6.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

RIVN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.1B-$703M
Q2 2026-$849M-$451M
Q1 2026-$1.1B-$549M
Q4 2025-$1.1B-234%
Q3 2025-$421M+$732M
Q2 2025-$398M+$639M
Q1 2025-$526M+$997M
Q4 2024$856M+$2.3B

RIVN has the edge over UA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

UA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $380MQ1 2024: −$157MQ2 2024: $107MQ3 2024: −$367MQ4 2024: $263MQ1 2025: −$231MQ2 2025: $13MQ3 2025: −$90MQ4 2025: $262MQ1 2026: −$347MQ2 2026: $95MQ3 2026: −$102M
Q4 2023: $380MQ1 2024: −$157MQ2 2024: $107MQ3 2024: −$367MQ4 2024: $263MQ1 2025: −$231MQ2 2025: $13MQ3 2025: −$90MQ4 2025: $262MQ1 2026: −$347MQ2 2026: $95MQ3 2026: −$102M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$101.7M-$11.4M
Q2 2026$94.5M+601%
Q1 2026-$347.3M-$116.3M
Q4 2025$261.9M-0.4%
Q3 2025-$90.3M+$276.9M
Q2 2025$13.5M-87%
Q1 2025-$231M-$74.3M
Q4 2024$262.9M-31%

UA's free cash flow was −$93M over the past year, against −$45M the year before.

RIVN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.1%+121M shares
1 year+19%+226M shares
3 years+52%+494M shares

RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.

UA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 448MQ1 2024: 451MQ2 2024: 436MQ3 2024: 436MQ4 2024: 437MQ1 2025: 432MQ2 2025: 427MQ3 2025: 428MQ4 2025: 425MQ1 2026: 427MQ2 2026: 432MQ3 2026: 430M
Q4 2023: 448MQ1 2024: 451MQ2 2024: 436MQ3 2024: 436MQ4 2024: 437MQ1 2025: 432MQ2 2025: 427MQ3 2025: 428MQ4 2025: 425MQ1 2026: 427MQ2 2026: 432MQ3 2026: 430M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.5%-2.3M shares
1 year+0.3%+1.3M shares
3 years-5.3%-24M shares
5 years-9.2%-43.4M shares
Available history-5.4%-24.6M shares

UA has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RIVN Net Leverage

RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

UA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.9xQ1 2024: -0.5xQ2 2024: -5.6xQ3 2024: 0.8xQ4 2024: -8.2xQ2 2025: 0.3xQ3 2025: 9.0x
Q4 2023: -0.9xQ1 2024: -0.5xQ2 2024: -5.6xQ3 2024: 0.8xQ4 2024: -8.2xQ2 2025: 0.3xQ3 2025: 9.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20259.0xHigh
Q2 20250.3xVery low
Q4 2024-8.2xNet Cash
Q3 20240.8xVery low
Q2 2024-5.6xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.5xNet Cash
Q4 2023-0.9xNet Cash
Q3 20230.1xVery low

UA's net debt is about 9.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

RIVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic25.6Neutral

RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

UA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic30.4Neutral

UA's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 30 (neutral).

RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

UA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricUASector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

UA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RIVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.33.9% below
20 week MA$15.115% below
50 week MA$15.919% below
100 week MA$14.713% below
200 week MA$15.115% below

RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

UA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$4.700.9% above
20 week MA$5.3812% below
50 week MA$5.6416% below
100 week MA$5.7518% below
200 week MA$6.6429% below

UA has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RIVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$130.0$96.8-25%
2022$96.8$19.1-80%
2023$19.1$23.5+23%
2024$23.5$13.7-42%
2025$13.7$20.9+53%
2026 YTD$20.9$12.8-39%

RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.

UA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$19.3$15.1-22%
2021$15.1$17.6+17%
2022$17.6$8.60-51%
2023$8.60$8.35-2.9%
2024$8.35$7.56-9.5%
2025$7.56$4.43-41%
2026 YTD$4.43$4.74+7%

UA has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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