RIVN
Rivian Automotive, Inc.
RIVN offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
TXRH
Texas Roadhouse, Inc.
TXRH has a slight edge over RIVN overall, supported by lower modeled downside.
RIVN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
TXRH Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
TXRH's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
RIVN PE Valuation
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
TXRH PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 25x | $158 | -15% |
| Fair | 28x | $177 | -4.7% |
| Current | 29x | $186 | — |
| Expensive | 34x | $219 | +18% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TXRH's PE is in its fair range at 29x.
RIVN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect RIVN's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
TXRH Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for TXRH to show an outlook.
RIVN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.25 | +$0.83 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.58 | +$0.62 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.92 | +$0.77 |
| Q4 2025 | -$3.07 | +$1.62 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.08 | +$2.52 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.20 | +$2.76 |
| Q1 2025 | -$3.69 | +$2.08 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.69 | +$1.05 |
RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.
TXRH Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $6.37 | -2.6% |
| Q2 2026 | $6.26 | -4.4% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.27 | -3.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $6.10 | -5.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $6.54 | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.55 | +19% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.48 | +31% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.47 | +43% |
TXRH has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
RIVN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.2B | +38% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.7B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | -26% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.6B | +78% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.3B | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.2B | +3% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.7B | +32% |
RIVN's revenue is growing: $2.2B last quarter, up 38% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -41% | +22 points |
| Q2 2026 | -50% | +35 points |
| Q1 2026 | -64% | -11 points |
| Q4 2025 | -65% | -27 points |
| Q3 2025 | -63% | +71 points |
| Q2 2025 | -86% | +33 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +70 points |
| Q4 2024 | -38% | +82 points |
RIVN's operating margin was −41% last quarter, up 22 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2021.
TXRH Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.6B | +9.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.7B | +11% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.6B | +13% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.5B | +3.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.4B | +13% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.5B | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.4B | +9.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.4B | +23% |
TXRH's revenue has grown year over year for 23 quarters in a row: $1.6B last quarter, up 9.5% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 6.5% | -0.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 8.5% | -1.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 9% | -0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 6.5% | -3.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 6.8% | -1.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 9.7% | -1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 9.3% | -0.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 9.6% | +2.5 points |
TXRH has the edge over RIVN on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RIVN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.1B | -$703M |
| Q2 2026 | -$849M | -$451M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -$549M |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.1B | -234% |
| Q3 2025 | -$421M | +$732M |
| Q2 2025 | -$398M | +$639M |
| Q1 2025 | -$526M | +$997M |
| Q4 2024 | $856M | +$2.3B |
RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.
TXRH Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $11.1M | -25% |
| Q2 2026 | $81.5M | +128% |
| Q1 2026 | $178.9M | +12% |
| Q4 2025 | $131.3M | +1.2% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.7M | -69% |
| Q2 2025 | $35.7M | -36% |
| Q1 2025 | $160.4M | -3.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $129.7M | +82% |
TXRH has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RIVN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +9.1% | +121M shares |
| 1 year | +19% | +226M shares |
| 3 years | +52% | +494M shares |
RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2021 | — |
| Q1 2021 | — |
| Q4 2020 | $6M |
| Q3 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
TXRH Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.2% | -135K shares |
| 1 year | -1% | -691K shares |
| 3 years | -1.8% | -1.2M shares |
| 5 years | -6.2% | -4.4M shares |
| Available history | -7.2% | -5.1M shares |
TXRH has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $12.4M |
| Q2 2026 | $43.7M |
| Q1 2026 | $28.2M |
| Q4 2025 | $50M |
| Q3 2025 | $40M |
| Q2 2025 | $10.3M |
| Q1 2025 | $50.2M |
| Q4 2024 | $35.3M |
TXRH spent $134M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 1.1% from the year before.
RIVN Net Leverage
RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
TXRH Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
TXRH has more cash than debt.
RIVN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 25.6 | Neutral |
RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).
TXRH Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 47.9 | Neutral |
TXRH's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 48 (neutral).
RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
TXRH PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | TXRH | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 29x | 18x | 62% above |
| PE % | 58 | 47 | 11 pts above |
TXRH is trading at 29x earnings, a 62% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
RIVN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $13.3 | 3.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $15.9 | 19% below |
| 100 week MA | $14.7 | 13% below |
| 200 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.
TXRH Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $170.5 | 9.1% above |
| 20 week MA | $185.0 | 0.5% above |
| 50 week MA | $178.9 | 4% above |
| 100 week MA | $177.4 | 4.8% above |
| 200 week MA | $156.4 | 19% above |
TXRH has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
RIVN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $130.0 | $96.8 | -25% |
| 2022 | $96.8 | $19.1 | -80% |
| 2023 | $19.1 | $23.5 | +23% |
| 2024 | $23.5 | $13.7 | -42% |
| 2025 | $13.7 | $20.9 | +53% |
| 2026 YTD | $20.9 | $12.8 | -39% |
RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.
TXRH Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $55.0 | $80.0 | +45% |
| 2021 | $80.0 | $88.8 | +11% |
| 2022 | $88.8 | $96.3 | +8.5% |
| 2023 | $96.3 | $122.2 | +27% |
| 2024 | $122.2 | $181.9 | +49% |
| 2025 | $181.9 | $170.8 | -6.1% |
| 2026 YTD | $170.8 | $186.0 | +8.9% |
TXRH has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.