RIVN

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

53
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

RIVN offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

TRS

TriMas Corporation

68
Fundamentals35/ 100
Valuation95/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

TRS has the edge over RIVN overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

RIVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

TRS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Healthy
Under pressure
Strong

TRS's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its revenue and cash flow are under pressure.

RIVN PE Valuation

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TRS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x23x34x46x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x23x34x46x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current1.6x$37.62—
Cheap12x$286+661%
Forward19x$37.62—
Fair21x$504+1238%
Expensive33x$795+2012%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TRS's PE is in its cheap range at 1.6x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 19x.

RIVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

RIVN has the edge over TRS on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

TRS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect TRS's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

RIVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$19.04
Downside-31%$8.82

Calculated from the latest close: $12.80 on Nov 12.

RIVN trails TRS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TRS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$51.17
Downside-23%$29.05

Calculated from the latest close: $37.62 on Nov 12.

TRS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RIVN, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RIVN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.25+$0.83
Q2 2026-$2.58+$0.62
Q1 2026-$2.92+$0.77
Q4 2025-$3.07+$1.62
Q3 2025-$3.08+$2.52
Q2 2025-$3.20+$2.76
Q1 2025-$3.69+$2.08
Q4 2024-$4.69+$1.05

RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.

TRS Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $1.22Q4 2023: $0.97Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.98Q3 2024: $0.64Q4 2024: $0.59Q1 2025: $0.77Q2 2025: $0.91Q3 2025: $1.08Q4 2025: $2.97Q1 2026: $24.07Q2 2026: $24.03Forward: $2.03
Q3 2023: $1.22Q4 2023: $0.97Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.98Q3 2024: $0.64Q4 2024: $0.59Q1 2025: $0.77Q2 2025: $0.91Q3 2025: $1.08Q4 2025: $2.97Q1 2026: $24.07Q2 2026: $24.03Forward: $2.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.03-92%
Q2 2026$24.03+2541%
Q1 2026$24.07+3026%
Q4 2025$2.97+403%
Q3 2025$1.08+69%
Q2 2025$0.91-7.1%
Q1 2025$0.77-21%
Q4 2024$0.59-39%
Q3 2024$0.64-48%

TRS has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RIVN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+38%
Q2 2026$1.7B+27%
Q1 2026$1.4B+11%
Q4 2025$1.3B-26%
Q3 2025$1.6B+78%
Q2 2025$1.3B+13%
Q1 2025$1.2B+3%
Q4 2024$1.7B+32%

RIVN has the edge over TRS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TRS Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $235MQ4 2023: $210MQ1 2024: $227MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $229MQ4 2024: $228MQ1 2025: $242MQ2 2025: $275MQ3 2025: $269MQ4 2025: $155MQ1 2026: $168MQ2 2026: $175M
Q3 2023: $235MQ4 2023: $210MQ1 2024: $227MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $229MQ4 2024: $228MQ1 2025: $242MQ2 2025: $275MQ3 2025: $269MQ4 2025: $155MQ1 2026: $168MQ2 2026: $175M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$174.6M-36%
Q1 2026$168.3M-30%
Q4 2025$155.5M-32%
Q3 2025$269.3M+17%
Q2 2025$274.8M+14%
Q1 2025$241.7M+6.4%
Q4 2024$228.1M+8.8%
Q3 2024$229.4M-2.5%

TRS's revenue has slid since its 2025 peak: $175M last quarter, down 36% from the same quarter a year ago.

RIVN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.1B-$703M
Q2 2026-$849M-$451M
Q1 2026-$1.1B-$549M
Q4 2025-$1.1B-234%
Q3 2025-$421M+$732M
Q2 2025-$398M+$639M
Q1 2025-$526M+$997M
Q4 2024$856M+$2.3B

RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.

TRS Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $21MQ4 2023: $11MQ1 2024: −$17MQ2 2024: $8MQ3 2024: $10MQ4 2024: $12MQ1 2025: −$4MQ2 2025: $13MQ3 2025: $23MQ4 2025: $37MQ1 2026: −$25MQ2 2026: −$45M
Q3 2023: $21MQ4 2023: $11MQ1 2024: −$17MQ2 2024: $8MQ3 2024: $10MQ4 2024: $12MQ1 2025: −$4MQ2 2025: $13MQ3 2025: $23MQ4 2025: $37MQ1 2026: −$25MQ2 2026: −$45M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$45M-440%
Q1 2026-$24.6M-$20.9M
Q4 2025$36.8M+204%
Q3 2025$22.8M+125%
Q2 2025$13.2M+76%
Q1 2025-$3.8M+$13.2M
Q4 2024$12.1M+6.7%
Q3 2024$10.2M-52%

TRS has the edge over RIVN on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RIVN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.1%+121M shares
1 year+19%+226M shares
3 years+52%+494M shares

RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.

TRS Total Shares

Q3 2023: 42MQ4 2023: 42MQ1 2024: 41MQ2 2024: 41MQ3 2024: 41MQ4 2024: 41MQ1 2025: 41MQ2 2025: 41MQ3 2025: 41MQ4 2025: 40MQ1 2026: 37MQ2 2026: 36M
Q3 2023: 42MQ4 2023: 42MQ1 2024: 41MQ2 2024: 41MQ3 2024: 41MQ4 2024: 41MQ1 2025: 41MQ2 2025: 41MQ3 2025: 41MQ4 2025: 40MQ1 2026: 37MQ2 2026: 36M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-3.2%-1.2M shares
1 year-12%-4.7M shares
3 years-13%-5.4M shares
5 years-16%-7.1M shares
Available history-20%-9.2M shares

TRS has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RIVN Net Leverage

RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

TRS Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 2.6xQ4 2023: 2.9xQ1 2024: 3.1xQ2 2024: 3.2xQ3 2024: 3.6xQ4 2024: 3.4xQ1 2025: 3.3xQ2 2025: 3.0xQ3 2025: 2.7xQ4 2025: 4.5xQ1 2026: -11.5xQ2 2026: -14.4x
Q3 2023: 2.6xQ4 2023: 2.9xQ1 2024: 3.1xQ2 2024: 3.2xQ3 2024: 3.6xQ4 2024: 3.4xQ1 2025: 3.3xQ2 2025: 3.0xQ3 2025: 2.7xQ4 2025: 4.5xQ1 2026: -11.5xQ2 2026: -14.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-14.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-11.5xNet Cash
Q4 20254.5xHigh
Q3 20252.7xModerate
Q2 20253.0xElevated
Q1 20253.3xElevated
Q4 20243.4xElevated
Q3 20243.6xElevated

TRS has more cash than debt.

RIVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic25.6Neutral

RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

TRS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic27.0Neutral

TRS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TRS PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricTRSSector medianRelative
PE1.6x18x91% below
PE %04747 pts below

TRS is trading at 1.6x earnings, a 91% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

RIVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.33.9% below
20 week MA$15.115% below
50 week MA$15.919% below
100 week MA$14.713% below
200 week MA$15.115% below

RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

TRS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$38.62.6% below
20 week MA$39.44.4% below
50 week MA$38.21.5% below
100 week MA$33.612% above
200 week MA$29.926% above

TRS has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RIVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$130.0$96.8-25%
2022$96.8$19.1-80%
2023$19.1$23.5+23%
2024$23.5$13.7-42%
2025$13.7$20.9+53%
2026 YTD$20.9$12.8-39%

RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.

TRS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$31.2$32.0+2.6%
2021$32.0$34.8+8.5%
2022$34.8$27.8-20%
2023$27.8$25.3-8.7%
2024$25.3$24.6-3%
2025$24.6$36.1+47%
2026 YTD$36.1$37.6+4.1%

TRS has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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