RIVN

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

53
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

RIVN has the edge over TRIP overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

TRIP

Tripadvisor, Inc.

34
Fundamentals29/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

TRIP trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

RIVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

TRIP Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Weak
Under pressure
Strong

TRIP's balance sheet is currently strong, but its revenue, profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

RIVN PE Valuation

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TRIP PE Valuation

TRIP has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RIVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

RIVN has the edge over TRIP on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

TRIP Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong decline
Decline
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect TRIP's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RIVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$19.04
Downside-31%$8.82

Calculated from the latest close: $12.80 on Nov 12.

RIVN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TRIP, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TRIP Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+51%$10.94
Downside-34%$4.75

Calculated from the latest close: $7.25 on Nov 12.

TRIP trails RIVN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RIVN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.25+$0.83
Q2 2026-$2.58+$0.62
Q1 2026-$2.92+$0.77
Q4 2025-$3.07+$1.62
Q3 2025-$3.08+$2.52
Q2 2025-$3.20+$2.76
Q1 2025-$3.69+$2.08
Q4 2024-$4.69+$1.05

RIVN has the edge over TRIP on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TRIP Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.08Q1 2024: $0.17Q2 2024: $0.17Q3 2024: $0.25Q4 2024: $0.04Q1 2025: $0.39Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.66Q4 2025: $0.31Q1 2026: $0.11Q2 2026: $0.02Q3 2026: $-3.07Forward: $0.61
Q4 2023: $0.08Q1 2024: $0.17Q2 2024: $0.17Q3 2024: $0.25Q4 2024: $0.04Q1 2025: $0.39Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.66Q4 2025: $0.31Q1 2026: $0.11Q2 2026: $0.02Q3 2026: $-3.07Forward: $0.61
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.61—
Q3 2026-$3.07-565%
Q2 2026$0.02-96%
Q1 2026$0.11-72%
Q4 2025$0.31+675%
Q3 2025$0.66+164%
Q2 2025$0.50+194%
Q1 2025$0.39+129%
Q4 2024$0.04-50%

TRIP has swung to a loss: it lost $3.07 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

RIVN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+38%
Q2 2026$1.7B+27%
Q1 2026$1.4B+11%
Q4 2025$1.3B-26%
Q3 2025$1.6B+78%
Q2 2025$1.3B+13%
Q1 2025$1.2B+3%
Q4 2024$1.7B+32%

RIVN has the edge over TRIP on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TRIP Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $390MQ1 2024: $395MQ2 2024: $497MQ3 2024: $532MQ4 2024: $411MQ1 2025: $398MQ2 2025: $529MQ3 2025: $553MQ4 2025: $411MQ1 2026: $382MQ2 2026: $442MQ3 2026: $436M
Q4 2023: $390MQ1 2024: $395MQ2 2024: $497MQ3 2024: $532MQ4 2024: $411MQ1 2025: $398MQ2 2025: $529MQ3 2025: $553MQ4 2025: $411MQ1 2026: $382MQ2 2026: $442MQ3 2026: $436M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$436.4M-21%
Q2 2026$441.9M-16%
Q1 2026$382.4M-3.9%
Q4 2025$411M0%
Q3 2025$553M+3.9%
Q2 2025$529M+6.4%
Q1 2025$398M+0.8%
Q4 2024$411M+5.4%

TRIP's revenue has slid since its 2025 peak: $436M last quarter, down 21% from the same quarter a year ago.

RIVN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.1B-$703M
Q2 2026-$849M-$451M
Q1 2026-$1.1B-$549M
Q4 2025-$1.1B-234%
Q3 2025-$421M+$732M
Q2 2025-$398M+$639M
Q1 2025-$526M+$997M
Q4 2024$856M+$2.3B

RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.

TRIP Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$35MQ1 2024: $123MQ2 2024: $36MQ3 2024: −$63MQ4 2024: −$26MQ1 2025: $83MQ2 2025: $177MQ3 2025: $25MQ4 2025: −$122MQ1 2026: $101MQ2 2026: $138MQ3 2026: −$137M
Q4 2023: −$35MQ1 2024: $123MQ2 2024: $36MQ3 2024: −$63MQ4 2024: −$26MQ1 2025: $83MQ2 2025: $177MQ3 2025: $25MQ4 2025: −$122MQ1 2026: $101MQ2 2026: $138MQ3 2026: −$137M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$136.7M-647%
Q2 2026$137.7M-22%
Q1 2026$101.3M+22%
Q4 2025-$122M-$96M
Q3 2025$25M+$88M
Q2 2025$177M+392%
Q1 2025$83M-33%
Q4 2024-$26M+$9M

TRIP's free cash flow was −$20M over the past year, against $259M the year before.

RIVN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.1%+121M shares
1 year+19%+226M shares
3 years+52%+494M shares

RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.

TRIP Total Shares

Q4 2023: 145MQ1 2024: 138MQ2 2024: 145MQ3 2024: 144MQ4 2024: 145MQ1 2025: 141MQ2 2025: 130MQ3 2025: 124MQ4 2025: 131MQ1 2026: 115MQ2 2026: 118MQ3 2026: 118M
Q4 2023: 145MQ1 2024: 138MQ2 2024: 145MQ3 2024: 144MQ4 2024: 145MQ1 2025: 141MQ2 2025: 130MQ3 2025: 124MQ4 2025: 131MQ1 2026: 115MQ2 2026: 118MQ3 2026: 118M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-384K shares
1 year-5%-6.2M shares
3 years-18%-25.8M shares
5 years-19%-27M shares
Available history-16%-23.2M shares

TRIP has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RIVN Net Leverage

RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

TRIP Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.6xQ3 2024: -1.3xQ4 2024: -1.3xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2025: -0.2xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: 0.8xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: -0.1x
Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.6xQ3 2024: -1.3xQ4 2024: -1.3xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2025: -0.2xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: 0.8xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: -0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.8xVery low
Q3 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 2024-1.3xNet Cash
Q3 2024-1.3xNet Cash

TRIP has more cash than debt.

RIVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic25.6Neutral

RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

TRIP Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.1Neutral
Stochastic9.6Oversold

TRIP's weekly RSI is 32 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TRIP PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricTRIPSector medianRelative
PE461x18x2,458% above
PE %964749 pts above

TRIP has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RIVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.33.9% below
20 week MA$15.115% below
50 week MA$15.919% below
100 week MA$14.713% below
200 week MA$15.115% below

RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

TRIP Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$8.4714% below
20 week MA$10.430% below
50 week MA$11.336% below
100 week MA$13.446% below
200 week MA$16.055% below

TRIP is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 55% below its 200-week average.

RIVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$130.0$96.8-25%
2022$96.8$19.1-80%
2023$19.1$23.5+23%
2024$23.5$13.7-42%
2025$13.7$20.9+53%
2026 YTD$20.9$12.8-39%

RIVN has the edge over TRIP on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

TRIP Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$30.3$26.0-14%
2021$26.0$27.3+4.8%
2022$27.3$17.9-35%
2023$17.9$21.5+21%
2024$21.5$14.6-32%
2025$14.6$14.1-3.2%
2026 YTD$14.1$7.25-49%

TRIP has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 49% so far in 2026.

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