RIVN

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

53
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

RIVN offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

TPR

Tapestry, Inc.

71
Fundamentals87/ 100
Valuation39/ 100
Upside potential81/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

TPR has the edge over RIVN overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

RIVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

TPR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Strong
Strong

TPR's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong, and its revenue is stable.

RIVN PE Valuation

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TPR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x148x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x148x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap10x$79.97-40%
Fair13x$104-22%
Forward16x$133—
Current17x$133—
Expensive39x$303+128%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TPR's PE is in its fair range at 17x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 16x next year's earnings.

RIVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RIVN's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

TPR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TPR, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RIVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$19.04
Downside-31%$8.82

Calculated from the latest close: $12.80 on Nov 12.

RIVN trails TPR on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

TPR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+54%$204.34
Downside-13%$116.05

Calculated from the latest close: $132.63 on Nov 12.

TPR has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RIVN, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

RIVN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.25+$0.83
Q2 2026-$2.58+$0.62
Q1 2026-$2.92+$0.77
Q4 2025-$3.07+$1.62
Q3 2025-$3.08+$2.52
Q2 2025-$3.20+$2.76
Q1 2025-$3.69+$2.08
Q4 2024-$4.69+$1.05

RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.

TPR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.96Q1 2024: $3.78Q2 2024: $3.50Q3 2024: $3.45Q4 2024: $3.44Q1 2025: $3.79Q2 2025: $0.82Q3 2025: $1.31Q4 2025: $2.61Q1 2026: $3.31Q2 2026: $7.27Q3 2026: $7.75Forward: $8.46
Q4 2023: $3.96Q1 2024: $3.78Q2 2024: $3.50Q3 2024: $3.45Q4 2024: $3.44Q1 2025: $3.79Q2 2025: $0.82Q3 2025: $1.31Q4 2025: $2.61Q1 2026: $3.31Q2 2026: $7.27Q3 2026: $7.75Forward: $8.46
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$8.46+9.2%
Q3 2026$7.75+492%
Q2 2026$7.27+787%
Q1 2026$3.31-13%
Q4 2025$2.61-24%
Q3 2025$1.31-62%
Q2 2025$0.82-77%
Q1 2025$3.79+0.3%
Q4 2024$3.44-13%

TPR has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RIVN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+38%
Q2 2026$1.7B+27%
Q1 2026$1.4B+11%
Q4 2025$1.3B-26%
Q3 2025$1.6B+78%
Q2 2025$1.3B+13%
Q1 2025$1.2B+3%
Q4 2024$1.7B+32%

RIVN's revenue is growing: $2.2B last quarter, up 38% from the same quarter a year ago.

TPR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $1.6BQ3 2024: $1.5BQ4 2024: $2.2BQ1 2025: $1.6BQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $1.7BQ4 2025: $2.5BQ1 2026: $1.9BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $1.9B
Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $1.6BQ3 2024: $1.5BQ4 2024: $2.2BQ1 2025: $1.6BQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $1.7BQ4 2025: $2.5BQ1 2026: $1.9BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $1.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.9B+11%
Q2 2026$1.9B+8.9%
Q1 2026$1.9B+21%
Q4 2025$2.5B+14%
Q3 2025$1.7B+13%
Q2 2025$1.7B+8.3%
Q1 2025$1.6B+6.9%
Q4 2024$2.2B+5.3%

TPR's revenue has grown year over year for eight quarters in a row: $1.9B last quarter, up 11% from the same quarter a year ago.

RIVN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.1B-$703M
Q2 2026-$849M-$451M
Q1 2026-$1.1B-$549M
Q4 2025-$1.1B-234%
Q3 2025-$421M+$732M
Q2 2025-$398M+$639M
Q1 2025-$526M+$997M
Q4 2024$856M+$2.3B

RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.

TPR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $804MQ1 2024: $79MQ2 2024: $210MQ3 2024: $94MQ4 2024: $475MQ1 2025: $113MQ2 2025: $412MQ3 2025: $80MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $226MQ2 2026: $469MQ3 2026: $149M
Q4 2023: $804MQ1 2024: $79MQ2 2024: $210MQ3 2024: $94MQ4 2024: $475MQ1 2025: $113MQ2 2025: $412MQ3 2025: $80MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $226MQ2 2026: $469MQ3 2026: $149M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$149M+86%
Q2 2026$469M+14%
Q1 2026$225.8M+99%
Q4 2025$1B+118%
Q3 2025$80.2M-15%
Q2 2025$411.5M+96%
Q1 2025$113.4M+44%
Q4 2024$475.1M-41%

TPR has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RIVN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.1%+121M shares
1 year+19%+226M shares
3 years+52%+494M shares

RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.

TPR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 232MQ1 2024: 234MQ2 2024: 233MQ3 2024: 236MQ4 2024: 225MQ1 2025: 214MQ2 2025: 223MQ3 2025: 216MQ4 2025: 210MQ1 2026: 208MQ2 2026: 210MQ3 2026: 205M
Q4 2023: 232MQ1 2024: 234MQ2 2024: 233MQ3 2024: 236MQ4 2024: 225MQ1 2025: 214MQ2 2025: 223MQ3 2025: 216MQ4 2025: 210MQ1 2026: 208MQ2 2026: 210MQ3 2026: 205M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.7%-5.7M shares
1 year-5.1%-11M shares
3 years-12%-28M shares
5 years-28%-80.7M shares
Available history-26%-72.2M shares

TPR has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RIVN Net Leverage

RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

TPR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.7xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.9xQ3 2024: 0.7xQ4 2024: 1.3xQ1 2025: 1.2xQ2 2025: 2.3xQ3 2025: 3.0xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 1.3xQ2 2026: 0.7xQ3 2026: 0.9x
Q4 2023: 0.7xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.9xQ3 2024: 0.7xQ4 2024: 1.3xQ1 2025: 1.2xQ2 2025: 2.3xQ3 2025: 3.0xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 1.3xQ2 2026: 0.7xQ3 2026: 0.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.9xVery low
Q2 20260.7xVery low
Q1 20261.3xHealthy
Q4 20251.6xHealthy
Q3 20253.0xModerate
Q2 20252.3xModerate
Q1 20251.2xHealthy
Q4 20241.3xHealthy

TPR's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.0 years a year ago.

RIVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic25.6Neutral

RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

TPR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI52.7Neutral
Stochastic32.5Neutral

TPR's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 33 (neutral).

RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TPR PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricTPRSector medianRelative
PE17x18x5% below
PE %654718 pts above

TPR is trading at 17x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

RIVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.33.9% below
20 week MA$15.115% below
50 week MA$15.919% below
100 week MA$14.713% below
200 week MA$15.115% below

RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

TPR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$120.110% above
20 week MA$129.22.6% above
50 week MA$135.52.1% below
100 week MA$112.018% above
200 week MA$76.673% above

TPR has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RIVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$130.0$96.8-25%
2022$96.8$19.1-80%
2023$19.1$23.5+23%
2024$23.5$13.7-42%
2025$13.7$20.9+53%
2026 YTD$20.9$12.8-39%

RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.

TPR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$26.9$30.9+15%
2021$30.9$41.3+34%
2022$41.3$37.4-9.3%
2023$37.4$36.8-1.6%
2024$36.8$65.9+79%
2025$65.9$131.3+99%
2026 YTD$131.3$132.6+1%

TPR has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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