RIVN
Rivian Automotive, Inc.
RIVN has the edge over THO overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.
THO
Thor Industries, Inc.
THO's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
RIVN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
THO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy |
THO's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its revenue and cash flow are under pressure.
RIVN PE Valuation
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
THO PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 5.6x | $18.83 | -76% |
| Fair | 19x | $63.46 | -18% |
| Forward | 20x | $77.29 | — |
| Expensive | 23x | $78.24 | +1.2% |
| Current | 23x | $77.29 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
THO's PE is in its expensive range at 23x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
RIVN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
RIVN has the edge over THO on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
THO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for THO, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
RIVN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.25 | +$0.83 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.58 | +$0.62 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.92 | +$0.77 |
| Q4 2025 | -$3.07 | +$1.62 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.08 | +$2.52 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.20 | +$2.76 |
| Q1 2025 | -$3.69 | +$2.08 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.69 | +$1.05 |
RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.
THO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $3.92 | +16% |
| Q3 2026 | $3.38 | -30% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.96 | +19% |
| Q1 2026 | $5.63 | +49% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.28 | +35% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.84 | -2% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.18 | -15% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.78 | -25% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.92 | -28% |
THO has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
RIVN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.2B | +38% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.7B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | -26% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.6B | +78% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.3B | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.2B | +3% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.7B | +32% |
RIVN has the edge over THO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -41% | +22 points |
| Q2 2026 | -50% | +35 points |
| Q1 2026 | -64% | -11 points |
| Q4 2025 | -65% | -27 points |
| Q3 2025 | -63% | +71 points |
| Q2 2025 | -86% | +33 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +70 points |
| Q4 2024 | -38% | +82 points |
RIVN's operating margin was −41% last quarter, up 22 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2021.
THO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.3B | -8.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.8B | -3.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.1B | +5.3% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.4B | +11% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.5B | -0.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.9B | +3.3% |
| Q1 2025 | $2B | -8.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.1B | -14% |
THO's revenue fell from its 2022 peak and has held roughly level since: $2.3B last quarter, down 8.4% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.2% | -3.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 4.8% | -0.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 1% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 1.4% | +1.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5.7% | +0.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 5.4% | +0.3 points |
| Q1 2025 | -0.1% | -0.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | -0.1% | -2.9 points |
THO has the edge over RIVN on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RIVN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.1B | -$703M |
| Q2 2026 | -$849M | -$451M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -$549M |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.1B | -234% |
| Q3 2025 | -$421M | +$732M |
| Q2 2025 | -$398M | +$639M |
| Q1 2025 | -$526M | +$997M |
| Q4 2024 | $856M | +$2.3B |
RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.
THO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $189.9M | -14% |
| Q2 2026 | $196M | -12% |
| Q1 2026 | -$145.2M | -2588% |
| Q4 2025 | -$74.8M | -1270% |
| Q3 2025 | $221.6M | -26% |
| Q2 2025 | $222.5M | -1.3% |
| Q1 2025 | $5.8M | +$146.1M |
| Q4 2024 | $6.4M | -67% |
THO has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RIVN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +9.1% | +121M shares |
| 1 year | +19% | +226M shares |
| 3 years | +52% | +494M shares |
RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2021 | — |
| Q1 2021 | — |
| Q4 2020 | $6M |
| Q3 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
THO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.3% | +163K shares |
| 1 year | -1.6% | -838K shares |
| 3 years | -2.4% | -1.3M shares |
| 5 years | -5.6% | -3.1M shares |
| Available history | -4.8% | -2.7M shares |
THO has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $34.3M |
| Q2 2026 | $50.5M |
| Q1 2026 | $25.2M |
| Q4 2025 | $5M |
| Q3 2025 | $50.9M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | $1.7M |
| Q4 2024 | — |
THO spent $115M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 119% from the year before.
RIVN Net Leverage
RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
THO Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 1.0x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.9x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.1x | Healthy |
THO's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
RIVN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 25.6 | Neutral |
RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).
THO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 50.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 65.0 | Neutral |
THO's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 65 (neutral).
RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
THO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | THO | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 23x | 18x | 27% above |
| PE % | 82 | 47 | 35 pts above |
THO is trading at 23x earnings, a 27% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
RIVN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $13.3 | 3.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $15.9 | 19% below |
| 100 week MA | $14.7 | 13% below |
| 200 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.
THO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $72.0 | 7.3% above |
| 20 week MA | $74.3 | 4% above |
| 50 week MA | $84.6 | 8.7% below |
| 100 week MA | $89.2 | 13% below |
| 200 week MA | $94.8 | 19% below |
THO has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
RIVN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $130.0 | $96.8 | -25% |
| 2022 | $96.8 | $19.1 | -80% |
| 2023 | $19.1 | $23.5 | +23% |
| 2024 | $23.5 | $13.7 | -42% |
| 2025 | $13.7 | $20.9 | +53% |
| 2026 YTD | $20.9 | $12.8 | -39% |
RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.
THO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $74.4 | $102.4 | +38% |
| 2021 | $102.4 | $100.9 | -1.5% |
| 2022 | $100.9 | $77.3 | -23% |
| 2023 | $77.3 | $118.3 | +53% |
| 2024 | $118.3 | $95.4 | -19% |
| 2025 | $95.4 | $106.2 | +11% |
| 2026 YTD | $106.2 | $77.3 | -27% |
THO has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.