RIVN

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

53
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

RIVN has the edge over THCH overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

THCH

TH International Limited

38
Fundamentals32/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

THCH trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

RIVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

THCH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

THCH's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

RIVN PE Valuation

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

THCH PE Valuation

THCH has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RIVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

RIVN has the edge over THCH on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

THCH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses steady
Stable
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect THCH's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady.

RIVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$19.04
Downside-31%$8.82

Calculated from the latest close: $12.80 on Nov 12.

RIVN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than THCH, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

THCH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+55%$1.92
Downside-35%$0.80

Calculated from the latest close: $1.24 on Nov 12.

THCH trails RIVN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RIVN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.25+$0.83
Q2 2026-$2.58+$0.62
Q1 2026-$2.92+$0.77
Q4 2025-$3.07+$1.62
Q3 2025-$3.08+$2.52
Q2 2025-$3.20+$2.76
Q1 2025-$3.69+$2.08
Q4 2024-$4.69+$1.05

RIVN has the edge over THCH on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

THCH Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-4.75Q4 2023: $-4.53Q1 2024: $-4.01Q2 2024: $-3.10Q3 2024: $-2.75Q4 2024: $-1.91Q1 2025: $-1.50Q2 2025: $-1.63Q3 2025: $-1.56Q4 2025: $-1.99Q1 2026: $-2.23Q2 2026: $-2.33
Q3 2023: $-4.75Q4 2023: $-4.53Q1 2024: $-4.01Q2 2024: $-3.10Q3 2024: $-2.75Q4 2024: $-1.91Q1 2025: $-1.50Q2 2025: $-1.63Q3 2025: $-1.56Q4 2025: $-1.99Q1 2026: $-2.23Q2 2026: $-2.33
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$2.33-$0.70
Q1 2026-$2.23-$0.73
Q4 2025-$1.99-$0.08
Q3 2025-$1.56+$1.19
Q2 2025-$1.63+$1.47
Q1 2025-$1.50+$2.51
Q4 2024-$1.91+$2.62
Q3 2024-$2.75+$2.00

THCH is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.33 per share over the past year, against $5.40 at its worst in mid-2023.

RIVN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+38%
Q2 2026$1.7B+27%
Q1 2026$1.4B+11%
Q4 2025$1.3B-26%
Q3 2025$1.6B+78%
Q2 2025$1.3B+13%
Q1 2025$1.2B+3%
Q4 2024$1.7B+32%

RIVN has the edge over THCH on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

THCH Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $65MQ4 2023: $59MQ1 2024: $50MQ2 2024: $55MQ3 2024: $54MQ4 2024: $50MQ1 2025: $45MQ2 2025: $52MQ3 2025: $54MQ4 2025: $46MQ1 2026: $38MQ2 2026: $41M
Q3 2023: $65MQ4 2023: $59MQ1 2024: $50MQ2 2024: $55MQ3 2024: $54MQ4 2024: $50MQ1 2025: $45MQ2 2025: $52MQ3 2025: $54MQ4 2025: $46MQ1 2026: $38MQ2 2026: $41M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$40.9M-22%
Q1 2026$38.3M-15%
Q4 2025$45.7M-8.5%
Q3 2025$53.7M-0.4%
Q2 2025$52.4M-4.9%
Q1 2025$45.1M-9.5%
Q4 2024$49.9M-15%
Q3 2024$54M-17%

THCH's revenue has slid since its 2023 peak: $41M last quarter, down 22% from the same quarter a year ago.

RIVN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.1B-$703M
Q2 2026-$849M-$451M
Q1 2026-$1.1B-$549M
Q4 2025-$1.1B-234%
Q3 2025-$421M+$732M
Q2 2025-$398M+$639M
Q1 2025-$526M+$997M
Q4 2024$856M+$2.3B

RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.

THCH Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: −$5MQ4 2023: −$56MQ1 2024: −$4MQ2 2024: $5MQ3 2024: −$2MQ4 2024: −$5MQ1 2025: −$32,866Q2 2025: −$176,334Q3 2025: −$257,072Q4 2025: −$11MQ1 2026: −$4MQ2 2026: $5M
Q3 2023: −$5MQ4 2023: −$56MQ1 2024: −$4MQ2 2024: $5MQ3 2024: −$2MQ4 2024: −$5MQ1 2025: −$32,866Q2 2025: −$176,334Q3 2025: −$257,072Q4 2025: −$11MQ1 2026: −$4MQ2 2026: $5M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$5.1M+$5.3M
Q1 2026-$3.5M-$3.5M
Q4 2025-$11.3M-$6.5M
Q3 2025-$257.1K+$1.7M
Q2 2025-$176.3K-104%
Q1 2025-$32.9K+$4M
Q4 2024-$4.7M+$51.2M
Q3 2024-$2M+$2.6M

THCH has the edge over RIVN on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RIVN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.1%+121M shares
1 year+19%+226M shares
3 years+52%+494M shares

RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.

THCH Total Shares

Q3 2023: 32MQ4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 32MQ2 2024: 38MQ3 2024: 32MQ4 2024: 32MQ1 2025: 33MQ2 2025: 33MQ3 2025: 33MQ4 2025: 33MQ1 2026: 33MQ2 2026: 33M
Q3 2023: 32MQ4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 32MQ2 2024: 38MQ3 2024: 32MQ4 2024: 32MQ1 2025: 33MQ2 2025: 33MQ3 2025: 33MQ4 2025: 33MQ1 2026: 33MQ2 2026: 33M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year0%-4.3K shares
3 years+6.7%+2M shares
5 years+21%+5.6M shares
Available history+21%+5.6M shares

THCH has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RIVN Net Leverage

RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

THCH Net Leverage

THCH's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

RIVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic25.6Neutral

RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

THCH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.7Neutral
Stochastic33.1Neutral

THCH's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 33 (neutral).

RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

THCH PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

THCH has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RIVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.33.9% below
20 week MA$15.115% below
50 week MA$15.919% below
100 week MA$14.713% below
200 week MA$15.115% below

RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

THCH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1.176% above
20 week MA$1.4011% below
50 week MA$1.7931% below
100 week MA$2.3247% below
200 week MA$6.0780% below

THCH has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RIVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$130.0$96.8-25%
2022$96.8$19.1-80%
2023$19.1$23.5+23%
2024$23.5$13.7-42%
2025$13.7$20.9+53%
2026 YTD$20.9$12.8-39%

RIVN has the edge over THCH on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

THCH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$49.1$48.9-0.4%
2022$48.9$15.7-68%
2023$15.7$8.75-44%
2024$8.75$3.73-57%
2025$3.73$2.19-41%
2026 YTD$2.19$1.24-43%

THCH has finished every year since 2021 lower, and it's down 43% so far in 2026.

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