RIVN

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

53
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

RIVN offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

TCOM

Trip.com Group Limited

54
Fundamentals54/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

TCOM has a slight edge over RIVN overall, supported by lower modeled downside.

RIVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

TCOM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Strong
Strong

TCOM's cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

RIVN PE Valuation

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TCOM PE Valuation

TCOM has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RIVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

RIVN has the edge over TCOM on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

TCOM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TCOM, with profitability holding steady.

RIVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$19.04
Downside-31%$8.82

Calculated from the latest close: $12.80 on Nov 12.

RIVN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TCOM, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TCOM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$55.40
Downside-21%$33.95

Calculated from the latest close: $43.21 on Nov 12.

TCOM trails RIVN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RIVN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.25+$0.83
Q2 2026-$2.58+$0.62
Q1 2026-$2.92+$0.77
Q4 2025-$3.07+$1.62
Q3 2025-$3.08+$2.52
Q2 2025-$3.20+$2.76
Q1 2025-$3.69+$2.08
Q4 2024-$4.69+$1.05

RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.

TCOM Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $2.39Q4 2023: $2.21Q1 2024: $2.42Q2 2024: $3.11Q3 2024: $3.57Q4 2024: $3.75Q1 2025: $3.70Q2 2025: $3.91Q3 2025: $6.72Q4 2025: $7.16Q1 2026: $6.79Q2 2026: $5.16
Q3 2023: $2.39Q4 2023: $2.21Q1 2024: $2.42Q2 2024: $3.11Q3 2024: $3.57Q4 2024: $3.75Q1 2025: $3.70Q2 2025: $3.91Q3 2025: $6.72Q4 2025: $7.16Q1 2026: $6.79Q2 2026: $5.16
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$5.16+32%
Q1 2026$6.79+84%
Q4 2025$7.16+91%
Q3 2025$6.72+88%
Q2 2025$3.91+26%
Q1 2025$3.70+53%
Q4 2024$3.75+70%
Q3 2024$3.57+49%

TCOM has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RIVN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+38%
Q2 2026$1.7B+27%
Q1 2026$1.4B+11%
Q4 2025$1.3B-26%
Q3 2025$1.6B+78%
Q2 2025$1.3B+13%
Q1 2025$1.2B+3%
Q4 2024$1.7B+32%

RIVN's revenue is growing: $2.2B last quarter, up 38% from the same quarter a year ago.

TCOM Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $2.1BQ4 2023: $1.5BQ1 2024: $1.8BQ2 2024: $1.9BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $1.9BQ1 2025: $2.1BQ2 2025: $2.2BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $2.3BQ1 2026: $2.4BQ2 2026: $2.4B
Q3 2023: $2.1BQ4 2023: $1.5BQ1 2024: $1.8BQ2 2024: $1.9BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $1.9BQ1 2025: $2.1BQ2 2025: $2.2BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $2.3BQ1 2026: $2.4BQ2 2026: $2.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$2.4B+5.5%
Q1 2026$2.4B+16%
Q4 2025$2.3B+19%
Q3 2025$2.8B+16%
Q2 2025$2.2B+16%
Q1 2025$2.1B+16%
Q4 2024$1.9B+23%
Q3 2024$2.4B+16%

TCOM's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $2.4B last quarter, up 5.5% from the same quarter a year ago.

RIVN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.1B-$703M
Q2 2026-$849M-$451M
Q1 2026-$1.1B-$549M
Q4 2025-$1.1B-234%
Q3 2025-$421M+$732M
Q2 2025-$398M+$639M
Q1 2025-$526M+$997M
Q4 2024$856M+$2.3B

RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.

TCOM Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $8MQ4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $304MQ2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $2BQ1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
Q3 2023: $8MQ4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $304MQ2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $2BQ1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$0$0
Q1 2026$0$0
Q4 2025$2B+$2B
Q3 2025$0$0
Q2 2025$0$0
Q1 2025$0-100%
Q4 2024$0$0
Q3 2024$0-100%

TCOM has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RIVN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.1%+121M shares
1 year+19%+226M shares
3 years+52%+494M shares

RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.

TCOM Total Shares

Q3 2023: 674MQ4 2023: 668MQ1 2024: 676MQ2 2024: 688MQ3 2024: 688MQ4 2024: 698MQ1 2025: 702MQ2 2025: 696MQ3 2025: 695MQ4 2025: 700MQ1 2026: 682MQ2 2026: 632M
Q3 2023: 674MQ4 2023: 668MQ1 2024: 676MQ2 2024: 688MQ3 2024: 688MQ4 2024: 698MQ1 2025: 702MQ2 2025: 696MQ3 2025: 695MQ4 2025: 700MQ1 2026: 682MQ2 2026: 632M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-7.2%-49.3M shares
1 year-9.1%-63.4M shares
3 years-5.9%-39.6M shares
5 years-0.5%-3.1M shares
Available history+5.1%+30.7M shares

TCOM has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RIVN Net Leverage

RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

TCOM Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 0.9xQ4 2023: 0.3xQ1 2024: 0.4xQ2 2024: 0.4xQ3 2024: 0.2xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -0.6xQ2 2025: -0.8xQ3 2025: -0.7xQ4 2025: -0.4xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -0.9x
Q3 2023: 0.9xQ4 2023: 0.3xQ1 2024: 0.4xQ2 2024: 0.4xQ3 2024: 0.2xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -0.6xQ2 2025: -0.8xQ3 2025: -0.7xQ4 2025: -0.4xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -0.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.4xNet Cash
Q3 20240.2xVery low

TCOM has more cash than debt.

RIVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic25.6Neutral

RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

TCOM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI47.3Neutral
Stochastic49.2Neutral

TCOM's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 49 (neutral).

RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TCOM PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricTCOMSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

TCOM has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RIVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.33.9% below
20 week MA$15.115% below
50 week MA$15.919% below
100 week MA$14.713% below
200 week MA$15.115% below

RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

TCOM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$40.46.9% above
20 week MA$42.22.4% above
50 week MA$50.715% below
100 week MA$58.126% below
200 week MA$50.615% below

TCOM has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RIVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$130.0$96.8-25%
2022$96.8$19.1-80%
2023$19.1$23.5+23%
2024$23.5$13.7-42%
2025$13.7$20.9+53%
2026 YTD$20.9$12.8-39%

RIVN has the edge over TCOM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

TCOM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$34.6$32.0-7.6%
2021$32.0$23.8-26%
2022$23.8$34.0+43%
2023$34.0$36.0+5.9%
2024$36.0$70.6+96%
2025$70.6$72.5+2.7%
2026 YTD$72.5$43.2-40%

TCOM is down 40% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in four of the previous six years.

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