RIVN

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

53
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

RIVN's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

SVV

Savers Value Village, Inc.

73
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation88/ 100
Upside potential76/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

SVV has the edge over RIVN overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

RIVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

SVV Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Stable

SVV's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.

RIVN PE Valuation

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SVV PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE24x47x71x95x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE24x47x71x95x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward18x$10.09—
Current25x$10.09—
Cheap29x$11.79+17%
Fair57x$22.64+124%
Expensive72x$28.97+187%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SVV's PE is in its cheap range at 25x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

RIVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

RIVN has the edge over SVV on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

SVV Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for SVV, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RIVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$19.04
Downside-31%$8.82

Calculated from the latest close: $12.80 on Nov 12.

RIVN trails SVV on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

SVV Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+65%$16.69
Downside-20%$8.03

Calculated from the latest close: $10.09 on Nov 12.

SVV has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RIVN, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

RIVN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.25+$0.83
Q2 2026-$2.58+$0.62
Q1 2026-$2.92+$0.77
Q4 2025-$3.07+$1.62
Q3 2025-$3.08+$2.52
Q2 2025-$3.20+$2.76
Q1 2025-$3.69+$2.08
Q4 2024-$4.69+$1.05

RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.

SVV Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.34Q1 2024: $0.41Q2 2024: $0.23Q3 2024: $0.46Q4 2024: $0.17Q1 2025: $0.14Q2 2025: $0.20Q3 2025: $-0.02Q1 2026: $0.14Q2 2026: $0.14Q3 2026: $0.16Q4 2026: $0.40Forward: $0.57
Q4 2023: $0.34Q1 2024: $0.41Q2 2024: $0.23Q3 2024: $0.46Q4 2024: $0.17Q1 2025: $0.14Q2 2025: $0.20Q3 2025: $-0.02Q1 2026: $0.14Q2 2026: $0.14Q3 2026: $0.16Q4 2026: $0.40Forward: $0.57
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.57+43%
Q3 2026$0.40+$0.42
Q2 2026$0.16-20%
Q1 2026$0.140%
Q4 2025$0.14-18%
Q3 2025-$0.02-104%
Q2 2025$0.20-13%
Q1 2025$0.14-66%
Q4 2024$0.17-50%

SVV has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RIVN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+38%
Q2 2026$1.7B+27%
Q1 2026$1.4B+11%
Q4 2025$1.3B-26%
Q3 2025$1.6B+78%
Q2 2025$1.3B+13%
Q1 2025$1.2B+3%
Q4 2024$1.7B+32%

RIVN's revenue is growing: $2.2B last quarter, up 38% from the same quarter a year ago.

SVV Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $383MQ1 2024: $354MQ2 2024: $387MQ3 2024: $395MQ4 2024: $402MQ1 2025: $370MQ2 2025: $417MQ3 2025: $427MQ1 2026: $465MQ2 2026: $403MQ3 2026: $448MQ4 2026: $463M
Q4 2023: $383MQ1 2024: $354MQ2 2024: $387MQ3 2024: $395MQ4 2024: $402MQ1 2025: $370MQ2 2025: $417MQ3 2025: $427MQ1 2026: $465MQ2 2026: $403MQ3 2026: $448MQ4 2026: $463M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$463.1M+8.5%
Q2 2026$448.2M+7.4%
Q1 2026$403.2M+8.9%
Q4 2025$464.7M+16%
Q3 2025$426.9M+8.1%
Q2 2025$417.2M+7.9%
Q1 2025$370.1M+4.5%
Q4 2024$402M+5%

SVV's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since early 2021: $463M last quarter, up 8.5% from the same quarter a year ago.

RIVN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.1B-$703M
Q2 2026-$849M-$451M
Q1 2026-$1.1B-$549M
Q4 2025-$1.1B-234%
Q3 2025-$421M+$732M
Q2 2025-$398M+$639M
Q1 2025-$526M+$997M
Q4 2024$856M+$2.3B

RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.

SVV Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $54MQ1 2024: −$28MQ2 2024: $30MQ3 2024: −$3MQ4 2024: $30MQ1 2025: −$20MQ2 2025: $22MQ3 2025: −$6MQ1 2026: $53MQ2 2026: −$10MQ3 2026: $45MQ4 2026: $29M
Q4 2023: $54MQ1 2024: −$28MQ2 2024: $30MQ3 2024: −$3MQ4 2024: $30MQ1 2025: −$20MQ2 2025: $22MQ3 2025: −$6MQ1 2026: $53MQ2 2026: −$10MQ3 2026: $45MQ4 2026: $29M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$29.2M+$35.5M
Q2 2026$44.8M+104%
Q1 2026-$9.9M+$10.3M
Q4 2025$53.2M+77%
Q3 2025-$6.3M-$3.3M
Q2 2025$21.9M-26%
Q1 2025-$20.2M+$8.1M
Q4 2024$30.1M-44%

SVV has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RIVN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.1%+121M shares
1 year+19%+226M shares
3 years+52%+494M shares

RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.

SVV Total Shares

Q4 2023: 156MQ1 2024: 161MQ2 2024: 168MQ3 2024: 166MQ4 2024: 167MQ1 2025: 159MQ2 2025: 162MQ3 2025: 156MQ1 2026: 163MQ2 2026: 155MQ3 2026: 159MQ4 2026: 159M
Q4 2023: 156MQ1 2024: 161MQ2 2024: 168MQ3 2024: 166MQ4 2024: 167MQ1 2025: 159MQ2 2025: 162MQ3 2025: 156MQ1 2026: 163MQ2 2026: 155MQ3 2026: 159MQ4 2026: 159M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+63K shares
1 year+2.2%+3.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-1.1M shares
5 years-0.8%-1.3M shares
Available history-0.8%-1.3M shares

SVV has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RIVN Net Leverage

RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

SVV Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.1xQ1 2024: 3.1xQ2 2024: 3.4xQ3 2024: 3.0xQ4 2024: 3.0xQ1 2025: 3.2xQ2 2025: 3.2xQ3 2025: 3.6xQ1 2026: 3.1xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.8xQ4 2026: 2.5x
Q4 2023: 3.1xQ1 2024: 3.1xQ2 2024: 3.4xQ3 2024: 3.0xQ4 2024: 3.0xQ1 2025: 3.2xQ2 2025: 3.2xQ3 2025: 3.6xQ1 2026: 3.1xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.8xQ4 2026: 2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.5xModerate
Q2 20262.8xModerate
Q1 20263.1xElevated
Q4 20253.1xElevated
Q3 20253.6xElevated
Q2 20253.2xElevated
Q1 20253.2xElevated
Q4 20243.0xModerate

SVV's net debt is about 2.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.5 years a year ago.

RIVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic25.6Neutral

RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

SVV Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.1Neutral
Stochastic28.0Neutral

SVV's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SVV PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricSVVSector medianRelative
PE25x18x40% above
PE %133522 pts below

SVV is trading at 25x earnings, a 40% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

RIVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.33.9% below
20 week MA$15.115% below
50 week MA$15.919% below
100 week MA$14.713% below
200 week MA$15.115% below

SVV has stronger trend alignment. RIVN is above 0 of 5 weekly averages versus SVV above 4 of 4.

SVV Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.565.5% above
20 week MA$9.951.4% above
50 week MA$9.486.4% above
100 week MA$9.882.1% above

SVV is in an uptrend: it's above all four of its weekly moving averages, and 2.1% above its 100-week average.

RIVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$130.0$96.8-25%
2022$96.8$19.1-80%
2023$19.1$23.5+23%
2024$23.5$13.7-42%
2025$13.7$20.9+53%
2026 YTD$20.9$12.8-39%

RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.

SVV Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2023$23.7$17.4-27%
2024$17.4$10.3-41%
2025$10.3$9.43-8.5%
2026 YTD$9.43$10.1+7%

SVV has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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