RIVN

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

53
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

RIVN has the edge over STRT overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

STRT

Strattec Security Corporation

43
Fundamentals46/ 100
Valuation33/ 100
Upside potential47/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

STRT trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

RIVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

STRT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Stable
Strong

STRT's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue, profitability and cash flow are stable.

RIVN PE Valuation

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

STRT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE144x288x432x576x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE144x288x432x576x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$43.33-31%
Forward13x$62.38—
Fair14x$56.31-9.7%
Current15x$62.38—
Expensive28x$116+85%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

STRT's PE is in its fair range at 15x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 13x.

RIVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

RIVN has the edge over STRT on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

STRT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Decline
Stable
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect STRT's earnings to decline, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.

RIVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$19.04
Downside-31%$8.82

Calculated from the latest close: $12.80 on Nov 12.

RIVN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than STRT, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

STRT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$81.47
Downside-34%$41.28

Calculated from the latest close: $62.38 on Nov 12.

STRT trails RIVN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

RIVN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.25+$0.83
Q2 2026-$2.58+$0.62
Q1 2026-$2.92+$0.77
Q4 2025-$3.07+$1.62
Q3 2025-$3.08+$2.52
Q2 2025-$3.20+$2.76
Q1 2025-$3.69+$2.08
Q4 2024-$4.69+$1.05

RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.

STRT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.05Q1 2024: $0.99Q2 2024: $4.07Q3 2024: $3.94Q4 2024: $4.00Q1 2025: $4.95Q2 2025: $4.58Q3 2025: $5.73Q4 2025: $6.61Q1 2026: $6.07Q2 2026: $5.00Q3 2026: $4.12Forward: $4.75
Q4 2023: $0.05Q1 2024: $0.99Q2 2024: $4.07Q3 2024: $3.94Q4 2024: $4.00Q1 2025: $4.95Q2 2025: $4.58Q3 2025: $5.73Q4 2025: $6.61Q1 2026: $6.07Q2 2026: $5.00Q3 2026: $4.12Forward: $4.75
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.75+15%
Q3 2026$4.12-28%
Q2 2026$5.00+9.2%
Q1 2026$6.07+23%
Q4 2025$6.61+65%
Q3 2025$5.73+45%
Q2 2025$4.58+13%
Q1 2025$4.95+400%
Q4 2024$4.00+7900%

STRT has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RIVN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+38%
Q2 2026$1.7B+27%
Q1 2026$1.4B+11%
Q4 2025$1.3B-26%
Q3 2025$1.6B+78%
Q2 2025$1.3B+13%
Q1 2025$1.2B+3%
Q4 2024$1.7B+32%

RIVN has the edge over STRT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

STRT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $119MQ1 2024: $141MQ2 2024: $143MQ3 2024: $139MQ4 2024: $130MQ1 2025: $144MQ2 2025: $152MQ3 2025: $152MQ4 2025: $138MQ1 2026: $138MQ2 2026: $152MQ3 2026: $147M
Q4 2023: $119MQ1 2024: $141MQ2 2024: $143MQ3 2024: $139MQ4 2024: $130MQ1 2025: $144MQ2 2025: $152MQ3 2025: $152MQ4 2025: $138MQ1 2026: $138MQ2 2026: $152MQ3 2026: $147M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$147.2M-3.4%
Q2 2026$151.8M-0.1%
Q1 2026$137.6M-4.5%
Q4 2025$137.5M+5.9%
Q3 2025$152.4M+9.6%
Q2 2025$152M+6.3%
Q1 2025$144.1M+2.4%
Q4 2024$129.9M+9.6%

STRT's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $147M last quarter, down 3.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

RIVN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.1B-$703M
Q2 2026-$849M-$451M
Q1 2026-$1.1B-$549M
Q4 2025-$1.1B-234%
Q3 2025-$421M+$732M
Q2 2025-$398M+$639M
Q1 2025-$526M+$997M
Q4 2024$856M+$2.3B

RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.

STRT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$2MQ2 2024: $16MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $9MQ1 2025: $20MQ2 2025: $27MQ3 2025: $10MQ4 2025: $11MQ1 2026: $10MQ2 2026: $8MQ3 2026: $10M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$2MQ2 2024: $16MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $9MQ1 2025: $20MQ2 2025: $27MQ3 2025: $10MQ4 2025: $11MQ1 2026: $10MQ2 2026: $8MQ3 2026: $10M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$9.6M-2.2%
Q2 2026$8.2M-70%
Q1 2026$9.7M-50%
Q4 2025$11.3M+32%
Q3 2025$9.8M+5.8%
Q2 2025$27.2M+72%
Q1 2025$19.6M+$21.5M
Q4 2024$8.5M+$13M

STRT has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RIVN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.1%+121M shares
1 year+19%+226M shares
3 years+52%+494M shares

RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.

STRT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4MQ1 2024: 4MQ2 2024: 4MQ3 2024: 4MQ4 2024: 4MQ1 2025: 4MQ2 2025: 4MQ3 2025: 4MQ4 2025: 4MQ1 2026: 4MQ2 2026: 4MQ3 2026: 4M
Q4 2023: 4MQ1 2024: 4MQ2 2024: 4MQ3 2024: 4MQ4 2024: 4MQ1 2025: 4MQ2 2025: 4MQ3 2025: 4MQ4 2025: 4MQ1 2026: 4MQ2 2026: 4MQ3 2026: 4M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.7%-69K shares
1 year-1.8%-74K shares
3 years+2%+79K shares
5 years+4.1%+160K shares
Available history+8.3%+312K shares

STRT has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RIVN Net Leverage

RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

STRT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: -0.9xQ1 2025: -1.3xQ2 2025: -2.0xQ3 2025: -2.0xQ4 2025: -2.1xQ1 2026: -2.4xQ2 2026: -2.6xQ3 2026: -3.0x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: -0.9xQ1 2025: -1.3xQ2 2025: -2.0xQ3 2025: -2.0xQ4 2025: -2.1xQ1 2026: -2.4xQ2 2026: -2.6xQ3 2026: -3.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-3.0xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.6xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.4xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.9xNet Cash

STRT has more cash than debt.

RIVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic25.6Neutral

RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

STRT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI36.2Neutral
Stochastic8.9Oversold

STRT's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 9 (oversold).

RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

STRT PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricSTRTSector medianRelative
PE15x18x16% below
PE %644717 pts above

STRT is trading at 15x earnings, a 16% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

RIVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.33.9% below
20 week MA$15.115% below
50 week MA$15.919% below
100 week MA$14.713% below
200 week MA$15.115% below

RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

STRT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$63.11.2% below
20 week MA$72.914% below
50 week MA$76.619% below
100 week MA$65.44.7% below
200 week MA$45.637% above

STRT has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RIVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$130.0$96.8-25%
2022$96.8$19.1-80%
2023$19.1$23.5+23%
2024$23.5$13.7-42%
2025$13.7$20.9+53%
2026 YTD$20.9$12.8-39%

RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.

STRT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$22.0$51.4+134%
2021$51.4$37.4-27%
2022$37.4$20.4-45%
2023$20.4$25.3+24%
2024$25.3$41.3+63%
2025$41.3$79.5+92%
2026 YTD$79.5$62.4-22%

STRT has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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