RIVN
Rivian Automotive, Inc.
RIVN has the edge over STKS overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
STKS
The ONE Group Hospitality, Inc.
STKS has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
RIVN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
STKS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Stable | |
| Weak |
STKS's revenue and cash flow are currently stable, but its profitability and balance sheet are under pressure.
RIVN PE Valuation
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
STKS PE Valuation
STKS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RIVN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect RIVN's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
STKS Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for STKS to show an outlook.
RIVN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.25 | +$0.83 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.58 | +$0.62 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.92 | +$0.77 |
| Q4 2025 | -$3.07 | +$1.62 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.08 | +$2.52 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.20 | +$2.76 |
| Q1 2025 | -$3.69 | +$2.08 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.69 | +$1.05 |
RIVN has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is down 173% for RIVN versus STKS down 331%.
STKS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2024 | -$0.80 | -633% |
| Q2 2024 | -$0.38 | -246% |
| Q1 2024 | $0.00 | -100% |
| Q4 2023 | $0.15 | -63% |
| Q3 2023 | $0.15 | -65% |
| Q2 2023 | $0.26 | -66% |
| Q1 2023 | $0.37 | -64% |
| Q4 2022 | $0.40 | -57% |
STKS lost $1.85 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.
RIVN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.2B | +38% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.7B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | -26% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.6B | +78% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.3B | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.2B | +3% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.7B | +32% |
RIVN has the edge over STKS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -41% | +22 points |
| Q2 2026 | -50% | +35 points |
| Q1 2026 | -64% | -11 points |
| Q4 2025 | -65% | -27 points |
| Q3 2025 | -63% | +71 points |
| Q2 2025 | -86% | +33 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +70 points |
| Q4 2024 | -38% | +82 points |
RIVN's operating margin was −41% last quarter, up 22 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2021.
STKS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $177M | -1.8% |
| Q2 2026 | $200.5M | -3.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $212.8M | +0.8% |
| Q4 2025 | $207M | -6.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $180.2M | -7.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $207.4M | +20% |
| Q1 2025 | $211.1M | +148% |
| Q4 2024 | $221.9M | +147% |
STKS's revenue fell from its 2024 peak and has held roughly level since: $177M last quarter, down 1.8% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -3.3% | +1.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 3.3% | +3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 6.5% | +1.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.2% | -3.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | -4.4% | -2.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | 0.3% | -0.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 5.1% | +5.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 5.8% | +0.3 points |
STKS has the edge over RIVN on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RIVN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.1B | -$703M |
| Q2 2026 | -$849M | -$451M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -$549M |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.1B | -234% |
| Q3 2025 | -$421M | +$732M |
| Q2 2025 | -$398M | +$639M |
| Q1 2025 | -$526M | +$997M |
| Q4 2024 | $856M | +$2.3B |
RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.
STKS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.8M | +$3.3M |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.8M | +$13.2M |
| Q1 2026 | $11.7M | +$17.5M |
| Q4 2025 | -$329K | -145% |
| Q3 2025 | -$6.1M | -2238% |
| Q2 2025 | -$15M | +$8M |
| Q1 2025 | -$5.8M | -$388K |
| Q4 2024 | $733K | +77% |
STKS has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RIVN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +9.1% | +121M shares |
| 1 year | +19% | +226M shares |
| 3 years | +52% | +494M shares |
RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2021 | — |
| Q1 2021 | — |
| Q4 2020 | $6M |
| Q3 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
STKS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +175K shares |
| 1 year | +8.7% | +2.7M shares |
| 3 years | +6.8% | +2.1M shares |
| 5 years | -2.1% | -733K shares |
| Available history | +14% | +4M shares |
STKS has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $201,000 |
| Q2 2025 | $598,000 |
| Q1 2025 | $307,000 |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | $2.3M |
| Q4 2023 | $193,000 |
| Q3 2023 | $3.5M |
RIVN Net Leverage
RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
STKS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 5.3x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 5.5x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 6.0x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 6.6x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 5.6x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 5.3x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 5.2x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 6.8x | High |
STKS's net debt is about 5.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 5.6 years a year ago.
RIVN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 25.6 | Neutral |
RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).
STKS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 27.4 | Oversold |
| Stochastic | 8.9 | Oversold |
STKS's weekly RSI is 27 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 9 (oversold).
RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
STKS PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | STKS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
STKS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RIVN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $13.3 | 3.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $15.9 | 19% below |
| 100 week MA | $14.7 | 13% below |
| 200 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.
STKS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $1.30 | 18% below |
| 20 week MA | $1.58 | 33% below |
| 50 week MA | $1.80 | 41% below |
| 100 week MA | $2.42 | 56% below |
| 200 week MA | $3.98 | 73% below |
STKS is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 73% below its 200-week average.
RIVN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $130.0 | $96.8 | -25% |
| 2022 | $96.8 | $19.1 | -80% |
| 2023 | $19.1 | $23.5 | +23% |
| 2024 | $23.5 | $13.7 | -42% |
| 2025 | $13.7 | $20.9 | +53% |
| 2026 YTD | $20.9 | $12.8 | -39% |
RIVN has the edge over STKS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
STKS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $3.37 | $3.56 | +5.6% |
| 2021 | $3.56 | $12.8 | +260% |
| 2022 | $12.8 | $6.36 | -50% |
| 2023 | $6.36 | $6.12 | -3.8% |
| 2024 | $6.12 | $2.91 | -52% |
| 2025 | $2.91 | $1.80 | -38% |
| 2026 YTD | $1.80 | $1.06 | -41% |
STKS has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 41% so far in 2026.