RIVN
Rivian Automotive, Inc.
RIVN has the edge over SPWH overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
SPWH
Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings, Inc.
SPWH has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
RIVN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
SPWH Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Stable | |
| Weak |
SPWH's revenue and cash flow are currently stable, but its profitability and balance sheet are under pressure.
RIVN PE Valuation
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SPWH PE Valuation
SPWH has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RIVN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
RIVN has the edge over SPWH on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
SPWH Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect SPWH's losses to shrink, with revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
RIVN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.25 | +$0.83 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.58 | +$0.62 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.92 | +$0.77 |
| Q4 2025 | -$3.07 | +$1.62 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.08 | +$2.52 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.20 | +$2.76 |
| Q1 2025 | -$3.69 | +$2.08 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.69 | +$1.05 |
RIVN has the edge over SPWH on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
SPWH Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.23 | -$0.26 |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.30 | -$0.35 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.30 | -$0.43 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.98 | -$0.13 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.97 | -$0.07 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.95 | -$0.12 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.87 | -$0.10 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.85 | -$0.57 |
SPWH lost $1.23 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.
RIVN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.2B | +38% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.7B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | -26% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.6B | +78% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.3B | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.2B | +3% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.7B | +32% |
RIVN has the edge over SPWH on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -41% | +22 points |
| Q2 2026 | -50% | +35 points |
| Q1 2026 | -64% | -11 points |
| Q4 2025 | -65% | -27 points |
| Q3 2025 | -63% | +71 points |
| Q2 2025 | -86% | +33 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +70 points |
| Q4 2024 | -38% | +82 points |
RIVN's operating margin was −41% last quarter, up 22 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2021.
SPWH Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $295.6M | +0.6% |
| Q2 2026 | $256.1M | +2.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $334.9M | -1.6% |
| Q4 2025 | $331.3M | +2.2% |
| Q3 2025 | $293.9M | +1.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $249.1M | +2% |
| Q1 2025 | $340.4M | -8.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $324.3M | -4.8% |
SPWH's revenue fell from its 2021 peak and has held roughly level since: $296M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.4% | +0.7 points |
| Q2 2026 | -7.1% | +0.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | -5.6% | -6.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 1.3% | +0.3 points |
| Q3 2025 | -1.1% | +0.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | -7.9% | +0.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 1.1% | +3.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 1% | +0.1 points |
SPWH has the edge over RIVN on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RIVN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.1B | -$703M |
| Q2 2026 | -$849M | -$451M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -$549M |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.1B | -234% |
| Q3 2025 | -$421M | +$732M |
| Q2 2025 | -$398M | +$639M |
| Q1 2025 | -$526M | +$997M |
| Q4 2024 | $856M | +$2.3B |
RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.
SPWH Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$15.5M | +$18.4M |
| Q2 2026 | -$59.6M | +$4.4M |
| Q1 2026 | $98.1M | +98% |
| Q4 2025 | $8.7M | +$14.9M |
| Q3 2025 | -$33.9M | -340% |
| Q2 2025 | -$64M | -$26.1M |
| Q1 2025 | $49.6M | -18% |
| Q4 2024 | -$6.2M | -127% |
SPWH has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RIVN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +9.1% | +121M shares |
| 1 year | +19% | +226M shares |
| 3 years | +52% | +494M shares |
RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2021 | — |
| Q1 2021 | — |
| Q4 2020 | $6M |
| Q3 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
SPWH Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.7% | +280K shares |
| 1 year | +1.7% | +668K shares |
| 3 years | +4.1% | +1.5M shares |
| 5 years | -13% | -5.7M shares |
| Available history | -10% | -4.5M shares |
SPWH has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | $2.1M |
| Q2 2023 | $696,000 |
| Q1 2023 | $2.3M |
| Q4 2022 | $10.4M |
RIVN Net Leverage
RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
SPWH Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 15.1x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 20.9x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 24.4x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 0.9x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 1.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 1.9x | Healthy |
SPWH's net debt is about 15 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.8 years a year ago.
RIVN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 25.6 | Neutral |
RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).
SPWH Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 49.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 27.3 | Neutral |
SPWH's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).
RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SPWH PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | SPWH | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
SPWH has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RIVN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $13.3 | 3.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $15.9 | 19% below |
| 100 week MA | $14.7 | 13% below |
| 200 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.
SPWH Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $1.11 | 9% above |
| 20 week MA | $1.16 | 4.3% above |
| 50 week MA | $1.29 | 6.2% below |
| 100 week MA | $1.85 | 35% below |
| 200 week MA | $3.18 | 62% below |
SPWH has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
RIVN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $130.0 | $96.8 | -25% |
| 2022 | $96.8 | $19.1 | -80% |
| 2023 | $19.1 | $23.5 | +23% |
| 2024 | $23.5 | $13.7 | -42% |
| 2025 | $13.7 | $20.9 | +53% |
| 2026 YTD | $20.9 | $12.8 | -39% |
RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.
SPWH Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $8.04 | $17.9 | +123% |
| 2021 | $17.9 | $11.5 | -36% |
| 2022 | $11.5 | $9.13 | -21% |
| 2023 | $9.13 | $4.26 | -53% |
| 2024 | $4.26 | $2.65 | -38% |
| 2025 | $2.65 | $1.36 | -49% |
| 2026 YTD | $1.36 | $1.21 | -11% |
SPWH has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.