RIVN

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

53
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

RIVN has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

SNOW

Snowflake Inc.

71
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

SNOW has the edge over RIVN overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

RIVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

SNOW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Strong
Unavailable

SNOW's revenue and cash flow are currently strong, but its profitability is under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

RIVN PE Valuation

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SNOW PE Valuation

SNOW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RIVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RIVN's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SNOW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for SNOW, with profitability improving.

RIVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$19.04
Downside-31%$8.82

Calculated from the latest close: $12.80 on Nov 12.

RIVN trails SNOW on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SNOW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+61%$479.82
Downside-35%$194.51

Calculated from the latest close: $298.70 on Nov 12.

SNOW has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RIVN, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RIVN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.25+$0.83
Q2 2026-$2.58+$0.62
Q1 2026-$2.92+$0.77
Q4 2025-$3.07+$1.62
Q3 2025-$3.08+$2.52
Q2 2025-$3.20+$2.76
Q1 2025-$3.69+$2.08
Q4 2024-$4.69+$1.05

RIVN has the edge over SNOW on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SNOW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-2.68Q1 2024: $-2.55Q2 2024: $-2.80Q3 2024: $-3.06Q4 2024: $-3.39Q1 2025: $-3.86Q2 2025: $-4.20Q3 2025: $-4.14Q4 2025: $-4.03Q1 2026: $-3.95Q2 2026: $-3.52Q3 2026: $-3.18Forward: $2.74
Q4 2023: $-2.68Q1 2024: $-2.55Q2 2024: $-2.80Q3 2024: $-3.06Q4 2024: $-3.39Q1 2025: $-3.86Q2 2025: $-4.20Q3 2025: $-4.14Q4 2025: $-4.03Q1 2026: $-3.95Q2 2026: $-3.52Q3 2026: $-3.18Forward: $2.74
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.74—
Q3 2026-$3.18+$0.96
Q2 2026-$3.52+$0.68
Q1 2026-$3.95-$0.09
Q4 2025-$4.03-$0.64
Q3 2025-$4.14-$1.08
Q2 2025-$4.20-$1.40
Q1 2025-$3.86-$1.31
Q4 2024-$3.39-$0.71

SNOW is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $3.18 per share over the past year, against $4.20 at its worst in early 2025.

RIVN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+38%
Q2 2026$1.7B+27%
Q1 2026$1.4B+11%
Q4 2025$1.3B-26%
Q3 2025$1.6B+78%
Q2 2025$1.3B+13%
Q1 2025$1.2B+3%
Q4 2024$1.7B+32%

RIVN's revenue is growing: $2.2B last quarter, up 38% from the same quarter a year ago.

SNOW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $734MQ1 2024: $775MQ2 2024: $829MQ3 2024: $869MQ4 2024: $942MQ1 2025: $987MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $1.4BQ3 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $734MQ1 2024: $775MQ2 2024: $829MQ3 2024: $869MQ4 2024: $942MQ1 2025: $987MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $1.4BQ3 2026: $1.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B+35%
Q2 2026$1.4B+33%
Q1 2026$1.3B+30%
Q4 2025$1.2B+29%
Q3 2025$1.1B+32%
Q2 2025$1B+26%
Q1 2025$986.8M+27%
Q4 2024$942.1M+28%

SNOW has the edge over RIVN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RIVN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.1B-$703M
Q2 2026-$849M-$451M
Q1 2026-$1.1B-$549M
Q4 2025-$1.1B-234%
Q3 2025-$421M+$732M
Q2 2025-$398M+$639M
Q1 2025-$526M+$997M
Q4 2024$856M+$2.3B

RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.

SNOW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $112MQ1 2024: $332MQ2 2024: $339MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $88MQ1 2025: $421MQ2 2025: $183MQ3 2025: $58MQ4 2025: $114MQ1 2026: $765MQ2 2026: $233MQ3 2026: $84M
Q4 2023: $112MQ1 2024: $332MQ2 2024: $339MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $88MQ1 2025: $421MQ2 2025: $183MQ3 2025: $58MQ4 2025: $114MQ1 2026: $765MQ2 2026: $233MQ3 2026: $84M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$83.8M+44%
Q2 2026$232.8M+27%
Q1 2026$765.1M+82%
Q4 2025$113.6M+29%
Q3 2025$58.2M-10%
Q2 2025$183.4M-46%
Q1 2025$421.4M+27%
Q4 2024$88.3M-21%

SNOW has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RIVN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.1%+121M shares
1 year+19%+226M shares
3 years+52%+494M shares

RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.

SNOW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 329MQ1 2024: 328MQ2 2024: 335MQ3 2024: 335MQ4 2024: 330MQ1 2025: 333MQ2 2025: 334MQ3 2025: 335MQ4 2025: 340MQ1 2026: 337MQ2 2026: 345MQ3 2026: 349M
Q4 2023: 329MQ1 2024: 328MQ2 2024: 335MQ3 2024: 335MQ4 2024: 330MQ1 2025: 333MQ2 2025: 334MQ3 2025: 335MQ4 2025: 340MQ1 2026: 337MQ2 2026: 345MQ3 2026: 349M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.1%+3.9M shares
1 year+4.2%+14M shares
3 years+6.7%+21.9M shares
5 years+17%+51.5M shares
Available history+47%+111M shares

SNOW has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RIVN Net Leverage

RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

SNOW Net Leverage

SNOW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

RIVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic25.6Neutral

RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

SNOW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI52.4Neutral
Stochastic25.2Neutral

SNOW's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 25 (neutral).

RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SNOW PE vs Technology Sector

SNOW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RIVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.33.9% below
20 week MA$15.115% below
50 week MA$15.919% below
100 week MA$14.713% below
200 week MA$15.115% below

RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

SNOW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$319.96.6% below
20 week MA$311.54.1% below
50 week MA$238.625% above
100 week MA$218.837% above
200 week MA$187.559% above

SNOW has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RIVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$130.0$96.8-25%
2022$96.8$19.1-80%
2023$19.1$23.5+23%
2024$23.5$13.7-42%
2025$13.7$20.9+53%
2026 YTD$20.9$12.8-39%

RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.

SNOW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$240.0$323.0+35%
2021$323.0$349.2+8.1%
2022$349.2$138.5-60%
2023$138.5$199.0+44%
2024$199.0$158.7-20%
2025$158.7$223.9+41%
2026 YTD$223.9$298.7+33%

SNOW has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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