RIVN

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

53
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

RIVN offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

SN

SharkNinja, Inc.

68
Fundamentals77/ 100
Valuation51/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

SN has the edge over RIVN overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

RIVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

SN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

SN's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

RIVN PE Valuation

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x36x53x71x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x36x53x71x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap26x$155-29%
Forward30x$220—
Fair36x$214-2.8%
Current37x$220—
Expensive55x$329+50%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SN's PE is in its fair range at 37x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

RIVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RIVN's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for SN, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RIVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$19.04
Downside-31%$8.82

Calculated from the latest close: $12.80 on Nov 12.

RIVN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SN, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$289.16
Downside-21%$173.27

Calculated from the latest close: $220.14 on Nov 12.

SN trails RIVN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RIVN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.25+$0.83
Q2 2026-$2.58+$0.62
Q1 2026-$2.92+$0.77
Q4 2025-$3.07+$1.62
Q3 2025-$3.08+$2.52
Q2 2025-$3.20+$2.76
Q1 2025-$3.69+$2.08
Q4 2024-$4.69+$1.05

RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.

SN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.20Q1 2024: $1.35Q2 2024: $1.74Q3 2024: $2.55Q4 2024: $3.11Q1 2025: $3.16Q2 2025: $3.66Q3 2025: $4.05Q4 2025: $4.94Q1 2026: $4.96Q2 2026: $4.90Q3 2026: $5.96Forward: $7.26
Q4 2023: $1.20Q1 2024: $1.35Q2 2024: $1.74Q3 2024: $2.55Q4 2024: $3.11Q1 2025: $3.16Q2 2025: $3.66Q3 2025: $4.05Q4 2025: $4.94Q1 2026: $4.96Q2 2026: $4.90Q3 2026: $5.96Forward: $7.26
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$7.26+22%
Q3 2026$5.96+47%
Q2 2026$4.90+34%
Q1 2026$4.96+57%
Q4 2025$4.94+59%
Q3 2025$4.05+59%
Q2 2025$3.66+110%
Q1 2025$3.16+134%
Q4 2024$3.11+159%

SN has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RIVN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+38%
Q2 2026$1.7B+27%
Q1 2026$1.4B+11%
Q4 2025$1.3B-26%
Q3 2025$1.6B+78%
Q2 2025$1.3B+13%
Q1 2025$1.2B+3%
Q4 2024$1.7B+32%

RIVN's revenue is growing: $2.2B last quarter, up 38% from the same quarter a year ago.

SN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $1.8BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.8BQ3 2026: $2B
Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $1.8BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.8BQ3 2026: $2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2B+21%
Q2 2026$1.8B+22%
Q1 2026$1.4B+16%
Q4 2025$2.1B+18%
Q3 2025$1.6B+14%
Q2 2025$1.4B+16%
Q1 2025$1.2B+15%
Q4 2024$1.8B+30%

SN's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since early 2023: $2B last quarter, up 21% from the same quarter a year ago.

RIVN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.1B-$703M
Q2 2026-$849M-$451M
Q1 2026-$1.1B-$549M
Q4 2025-$1.1B-234%
Q3 2025-$421M+$732M
Q2 2025-$398M+$639M
Q1 2025-$526M+$997M
Q4 2024$856M+$2.3B

RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.

SN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $131MQ1 2024: $17MQ2 2024: −$94MQ3 2024: −$65MQ4 2024: $441MQ1 2025: −$92MQ2 2025: −$37MQ3 2025: $86MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: −$190MQ2 2026: $383MQ3 2026: −$210M
Q4 2023: $131MQ1 2024: $17MQ2 2024: −$94MQ3 2024: −$65MQ4 2024: $441MQ1 2025: −$92MQ2 2025: −$37MQ3 2025: $86MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: −$190MQ2 2026: $383MQ3 2026: −$210M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$209.7M-343%
Q2 2026$382.6M+$419.2M
Q1 2026-$190.2M-$98.5M
Q4 2025$523.3M+19%
Q3 2025$86.2M+$151.2M
Q2 2025-$36.5M+$57.5M
Q1 2025-$91.7M-639%
Q4 2024$441.4M+237%

SN has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RIVN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.1%+121M shares
1 year+19%+226M shares
3 years+52%+494M shares

RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.

SN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 140MQ1 2024: 141MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 141MQ4 2024: 142MQ1 2025: 142MQ2 2025: 142MQ3 2025: 142MQ4 2025: 142MQ1 2026: 142MQ2 2026: 142MQ3 2026: 142M
Q4 2023: 140MQ1 2024: 141MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 141MQ4 2024: 142MQ1 2025: 142MQ2 2025: 142MQ3 2025: 142MQ4 2025: 142MQ1 2026: 142MQ2 2026: 142MQ3 2026: 142M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+14.5K shares
1 year-0.4%-598K shares
3 years+1.5%+2.1M shares

SN has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RIVN Net Leverage

RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

SN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.6xQ1 2024: 1.7xQ2 2024: 1.6xQ3 2024: 1.5xQ4 2024: 0.8xQ1 2025: 0.9xQ2 2025: 0.9xQ3 2025: 0.7xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: -0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 1.6xQ1 2024: 1.7xQ2 2024: 1.6xQ3 2024: 1.5xQ4 2024: 0.8xQ1 2025: 0.9xQ2 2025: 0.9xQ3 2025: 0.7xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: -0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20250.1xVery low
Q3 20250.7xVery low
Q2 20250.9xVery low
Q1 20250.9xVery low
Q4 20240.8xVery low

SN's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

RIVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic25.6Neutral

RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

SN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI74.4Overbought
Stochastic91.2Overbought

SN's weekly RSI is 74 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 91 (overbought).

RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricSNSector medianRelative
PE37x18x105% above
PE %523319 pts above

SN is trading at 37x earnings, a 105% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

RIVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.33.9% below
20 week MA$15.115% below
50 week MA$15.919% below
100 week MA$14.713% below
200 week MA$15.115% below

SN has stronger trend alignment. RIVN is above 0 of 5 weekly averages versus SN above 4 of 4.

SN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$197.412% above
20 week MA$179.523% above
50 week MA$142.355% above
100 week MA$120.782% above

SN is in an uptrend: it's above all four of its weekly moving averages, and 82% above its 100-week average.

RIVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$130.0$96.8-25%
2022$96.8$19.1-80%
2023$19.1$23.5+23%
2024$23.5$13.7-42%
2025$13.7$20.9+53%
2026 YTD$20.9$12.8-39%

RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.

SN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2023$26.9$51.2+90%
2024$51.2$97.3+90%
2025$97.3$114.0+17%
2026 YTD$114.0$220.1+93%

SN has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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