RIVN
Rivian Automotive, Inc.
RIVN's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
SMP
Standard Motor Products, Inc.
SMP has the edge over RIVN overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.
RIVN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
SMP Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy |
SMP's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.
RIVN PE Valuation
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SMP PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 9.2x | $43.95 | — |
| Cheap | 13x | $39.94 | -9.1% |
| Current | 14x | $43.95 | — |
| Fair | 18x | $54.47 | +24% |
| Expensive | 23x | $68.65 | +56% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SMP's PE is in its cheap range at 14x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.2x next year's earnings.
RIVN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
RIVN has the edge over SMP on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
SMP Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect SMP's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
RIVN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.25 | +$0.83 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.58 | +$0.62 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.92 | +$0.77 |
| Q4 2025 | -$3.07 | +$1.62 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.08 | +$2.52 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.20 | +$2.76 |
| Q1 2025 | -$3.69 | +$2.08 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.69 | +$1.05 |
RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.
SMP Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $4.80 | +58% |
| Q3 2026 | $3.04 | +116% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.23 | +26% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.03 | +44% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.84 | +48% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.41 | -13% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.77 | +1.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.41 | +1.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.24 | -19% |
SMP has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
RIVN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.2B | +38% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.7B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | -26% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.6B | +78% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.3B | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.2B | +3% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.7B | +32% |
RIVN's revenue is growing: $2.2B last quarter, up 38% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -41% | +22 points |
| Q2 2026 | -50% | +35 points |
| Q1 2026 | -64% | -11 points |
| Q4 2025 | -65% | -27 points |
| Q3 2025 | -63% | +71 points |
| Q2 2025 | -86% | +33 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +70 points |
| Q4 2024 | -38% | +82 points |
RIVN's operating margin was −41% last quarter, up 22 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2021.
SMP Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $507.8M | +1.8% |
| Q2 2026 | $501.6M | +1.6% |
| Q1 2026 | $451.2M | +9.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $385.1M | +12% |
| Q3 2025 | $498.8M | +25% |
| Q2 2025 | $493.9M | +27% |
| Q1 2025 | $413.4M | +25% |
| Q4 2024 | $343.4M | +18% |
SMP's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $508M last quarter, up 1.8% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 9.9% | +0.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 10% | +1.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 7.6% | +1.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | 5.6% | +4.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 9.6% | +0.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 8.7% | +2.3 points |
| Q1 2025 | 5.9% | +1.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 1.1% | -2.3 points |
SMP has the edge over RIVN on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RIVN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.1B | -$703M |
| Q2 2026 | -$849M | -$451M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -$549M |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.1B | -234% |
| Q3 2025 | -$421M | +$732M |
| Q2 2025 | -$398M | +$639M |
| Q1 2025 | -$526M | +$997M |
| Q4 2024 | $856M | +$2.3B |
RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.
SMP Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $140.3M | +72% |
| Q2 2026 | $92M | +108% |
| Q1 2026 | -$48.7M | +$20.7M |
| Q4 2025 | -$37.6M | -$26.2M |
| Q3 2025 | $81.5M | +5.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $44.2M | +94% |
| Q1 2025 | -$69.4M | -$13.6M |
| Q4 2024 | -$11.4M | -1702% |
SMP has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RIVN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +9.1% | +121M shares |
| 1 year | +19% | +226M shares |
| 3 years | +52% | +494M shares |
RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2021 | — |
| Q1 2021 | — |
| Q4 2020 | $6M |
| Q3 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
SMP Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +102K shares |
| 1 year | +1.8% | +395K shares |
| 3 years | +3.2% | +713K shares |
| 5 years | +1.9% | +423K shares |
| Available history | +0.6% | +148K shares |
SMP has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $37,000 |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $283,000 |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $19,000 |
SMP has spent almost nothing on buybacks in the past year.
RIVN Net Leverage
RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
SMP Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 3.0x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 4.0x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 4.8x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 4.6x | High |
SMP's net debt is about 1.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.1 years a year ago.
RIVN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 25.6 | Neutral |
RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).
SMP Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 79.6 | Neutral |
SMP's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (neutral).
RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SMP PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | SMP | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14x | 18x | 20% below |
| PE % | 24 | 47 | 23 pts below |
SMP is trading at 14x earnings, a 20% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
RIVN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $13.3 | 3.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $15.9 | 19% below |
| 100 week MA | $14.7 | 13% below |
| 200 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.
SMP Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $39.6 | 11% above |
| 20 week MA | $39.0 | 13% above |
| 50 week MA | $38.8 | 13% above |
| 100 week MA | $35.7 | 23% above |
| 200 week MA | $35.2 | 25% above |
SMP has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
RIVN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $130.0 | $96.8 | -25% |
| 2022 | $96.8 | $19.1 | -80% |
| 2023 | $19.1 | $23.5 | +23% |
| 2024 | $23.5 | $13.7 | -42% |
| 2025 | $13.7 | $20.9 | +53% |
| 2026 YTD | $20.9 | $12.8 | -39% |
RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.
SMP Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $53.4 | $41.4 | -22% |
| 2021 | $41.4 | $51.9 | +25% |
| 2022 | $51.9 | $35.0 | -32% |
| 2023 | $35.0 | $39.8 | +14% |
| 2024 | $39.8 | $31.0 | -22% |
| 2025 | $31.0 | $37.5 | +21% |
| 2026 YTD | $37.5 | $44.0 | +17% |
SMP has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.