RIVN

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

53
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

RIVN offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

SLGN

Silgan Holdings Inc.

54
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation46/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

SLGN has a slight edge over RIVN overall, supported by lower modeled downside.

RIVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

SLGN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Weak

SLGN's cash flow is currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

RIVN PE Valuation

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SLGN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward10x$40.71—
Cheap14x$34.15-16%
Fair16x$38.73-4.9%
Current16x$40.71—
Expensive18x$44.51+9.3%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SLGN's PE is in its fair range at 16x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 10x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

RIVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

RIVN has the edge over SLGN on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

SLGN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect SLGN's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

RIVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$19.04
Downside-31%$8.82

Calculated from the latest close: $12.80 on Nov 12.

RIVN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SLGN, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SLGN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$49.00
Downside-16%$34.17

Calculated from the latest close: $40.71 on Nov 12.

SLGN trails RIVN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RIVN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.25+$0.83
Q2 2026-$2.58+$0.62
Q1 2026-$2.92+$0.77
Q4 2025-$3.07+$1.62
Q3 2025-$3.08+$2.52
Q2 2025-$3.20+$2.76
Q1 2025-$3.69+$2.08
Q4 2024-$4.69+$1.05

RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.

SLGN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.98Q1 2024: $2.85Q2 2024: $2.85Q3 2024: $2.76Q4 2024: $2.58Q1 2025: $2.69Q2 2025: $2.81Q3 2025: $2.94Q4 2025: $2.70Q1 2026: $2.67Q2 2026: $2.56Q3 2026: $2.49Forward: $4.03
Q4 2023: $2.98Q1 2024: $2.85Q2 2024: $2.85Q3 2024: $2.76Q4 2024: $2.58Q1 2025: $2.69Q2 2025: $2.81Q3 2025: $2.94Q4 2025: $2.70Q1 2026: $2.67Q2 2026: $2.56Q3 2026: $2.49Forward: $4.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.03+62%
Q3 2026$2.49-15%
Q2 2026$2.56-8.9%
Q1 2026$2.67-0.7%
Q4 2025$2.70+4.7%
Q3 2025$2.94+6.5%
Q2 2025$2.81-1.4%
Q1 2025$2.69-5.6%
Q4 2024$2.58-13%

SLGN has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RIVN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+38%
Q2 2026$1.7B+27%
Q1 2026$1.4B+11%
Q4 2025$1.3B-26%
Q3 2025$1.6B+78%
Q2 2025$1.3B+13%
Q1 2025$1.2B+3%
Q4 2024$1.7B+32%

RIVN's revenue is growing: $2.2B last quarter, up 38% from the same quarter a year ago.

SLGN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.3BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.7BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $1.5BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.3BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.7BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $1.5BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2B+1.6%
Q2 2026$1.6B+6.8%
Q1 2026$1.6B+6.4%
Q4 2025$1.5B+4.1%
Q3 2025$2B+15%
Q2 2025$1.5B+11%
Q1 2025$1.5B+11%
Q4 2024$1.4B+5.3%

SLGN's revenue has grown year over year for eight quarters in a row: $2B last quarter, up 1.6% from the same quarter a year ago.

RIVN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.1B-$703M
Q2 2026-$849M-$451M
Q1 2026-$1.1B-$549M
Q4 2025-$1.1B-234%
Q3 2025-$421M+$732M
Q2 2025-$398M+$639M
Q1 2025-$526M+$997M
Q4 2024$856M+$2.3B

RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.

SLGN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1BQ1 2024: −$623MQ2 2024: −$35MQ3 2024: $252MQ4 2024: $865MQ1 2025: −$766MQ2 2025: −$294MQ3 2025: $261MQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: −$882MQ2 2026: −$259MQ3 2026: $265M
Q4 2023: $1BQ1 2024: −$623MQ2 2024: −$35MQ3 2024: $252MQ4 2024: $865MQ1 2025: −$766MQ2 2025: −$294MQ3 2025: $261MQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: −$882MQ2 2026: −$259MQ3 2026: $265M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$264.7M+1.5%
Q2 2026-$258.5M+$35.7M
Q1 2026-$882M-$115.7M
Q4 2025$1.2B+41%
Q3 2025$260.8M+3.3%
Q2 2025-$294.2M-$258.9M
Q1 2025-$766.3M-$143.3M
Q4 2024$865M-16%

SLGN has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RIVN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.1%+121M shares
1 year+19%+226M shares
3 years+52%+494M shares

RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.

SLGN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 109MQ1 2024: 107MQ2 2024: 107MQ3 2024: 107MQ4 2024: 107MQ1 2025: 107MQ2 2025: 107MQ3 2025: 107MQ4 2025: 107MQ1 2026: 106MQ2 2026: 106MQ3 2026: 106M
Q4 2023: 109MQ1 2024: 107MQ2 2024: 107MQ3 2024: 107MQ4 2024: 107MQ1 2025: 107MQ2 2025: 107MQ3 2025: 107MQ4 2025: 107MQ1 2026: 106MQ2 2026: 106MQ3 2026: 106M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+151K shares
1 year-0.8%-860K shares
3 years-2.6%-2.8M shares
5 years-4.7%-5.3M shares
Available history-5%-5.6M shares

SLGN has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RIVN Net Leverage

RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

SLGN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.1xQ1 2024: 5.4xQ2 2024: 5.5xQ3 2024: 5.3xQ4 2024: 5.3xQ1 2025: 6.6xQ2 2025: 7.0xQ3 2025: 6.3xQ4 2025: 4.5xQ1 2026: 5.8xQ2 2026: 6.2xQ3 2026: 5.9x
Q4 2023: 4.1xQ1 2024: 5.4xQ2 2024: 5.5xQ3 2024: 5.3xQ4 2024: 5.3xQ1 2025: 6.6xQ2 2025: 7.0xQ3 2025: 6.3xQ4 2025: 4.5xQ1 2026: 5.8xQ2 2026: 6.2xQ3 2026: 5.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20265.9xHigh
Q2 20266.2xHigh
Q1 20265.8xHigh
Q4 20254.5xHigh
Q3 20256.3xHigh
Q2 20257.0xHigh
Q1 20256.6xHigh
Q4 20245.3xHigh

SLGN's net debt is about 5.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 6.3 years a year ago.

RIVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic25.6Neutral

RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

SLGN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.1Neutral
Stochastic64.4Neutral

SLGN's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 64 (neutral).

RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SLGN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricSLGNSector medianRelative
PE16x18x9.3% below
PE %624715 pts above

SLGN is trading at 16x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

RIVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.33.9% below
20 week MA$15.115% below
50 week MA$15.919% below
100 week MA$14.713% below
200 week MA$15.115% below

RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

SLGN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$38.26.6% above
20 week MA$40.80.2% below
50 week MA$41.31.5% below
100 week MA$45.410% below
200 week MA$46.512% below

SLGN has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RIVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$130.0$96.8-25%
2022$96.8$19.1-80%
2023$19.1$23.5+23%
2024$23.5$13.7-42%
2025$13.7$20.9+53%
2026 YTD$20.9$12.8-39%

RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.

SLGN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$31.1$36.9+19%
2021$36.9$41.1+12%
2022$41.1$52.8+28%
2023$52.8$45.3-14%
2024$45.3$52.6+16%
2025$52.6$40.9-22%
2026 YTD$40.9$40.7-0.4%

SLGN has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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