RIVN

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

53
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

RIVN has the edge over SKY overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

SKY

Champion Homes, Inc.

49
Fundamentals49/ 100
Valuation30/ 100
Upside potential43/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

SKY trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

RIVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

SKY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Strong

SKY's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

RIVN PE Valuation

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SKY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE12x24x37x49x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE12x24x37x49x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$38.27-59%
Fair23x$77.11-16%
Current27x$92.29—
Expensive34x$115+24%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SKY's PE is in its fair range at 27x.

RIVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RIVN's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SKY Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for SKY to show an outlook.

RIVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$19.04
Downside-31%$8.82

Calculated from the latest close: $12.80 on Nov 12.

RIVN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SKY, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

SKY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+24%$114.18
Downside-31%$63.25

Calculated from the latest close: $92.29 on Nov 12.

SKY trails RIVN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

RIVN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.25+$0.83
Q2 2026-$2.58+$0.62
Q1 2026-$2.92+$0.77
Q4 2025-$3.07+$1.62
Q3 2025-$3.08+$2.52
Q2 2025-$3.20+$2.76
Q1 2025-$3.69+$2.08
Q4 2024-$4.69+$1.05

RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.

SKY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.50Q1 2024: $2.53Q2 2024: $2.43Q3 2024: $2.58Q4 2024: $2.83Q1 2025: $3.42Q2 2025: $3.76Q3 2025: $3.85Q4 2025: $3.76Q1 2026: $3.66Q2 2026: $3.42Q3 2026: $3.36
Q4 2023: $3.50Q1 2024: $2.53Q2 2024: $2.43Q3 2024: $2.58Q4 2024: $2.83Q1 2025: $3.42Q2 2025: $3.76Q3 2025: $3.85Q4 2025: $3.76Q1 2026: $3.66Q2 2026: $3.42Q3 2026: $3.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$3.36-13%
Q2 2026$3.42-9%
Q1 2026$3.66+7%
Q4 2025$3.76+33%
Q3 2025$3.85+49%
Q2 2025$3.76+55%
Q1 2025$3.42+35%
Q4 2024$2.83-19%

SKY has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RIVN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+38%
Q2 2026$1.7B+27%
Q1 2026$1.4B+11%
Q4 2025$1.3B-26%
Q3 2025$1.6B+78%
Q2 2025$1.3B+13%
Q1 2025$1.2B+3%
Q4 2024$1.7B+32%

RIVN's revenue is growing: $2.2B last quarter, up 38% from the same quarter a year ago.

SKY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $559MQ1 2024: $536MQ2 2024: $628MQ3 2024: $617MQ4 2024: $645MQ1 2025: $594MQ2 2025: $701MQ3 2025: $684MQ4 2025: $657MQ1 2026: $621MQ2 2026: $710MQ3 2026: $727M
Q4 2023: $559MQ1 2024: $536MQ2 2024: $628MQ3 2024: $617MQ4 2024: $645MQ1 2025: $594MQ2 2025: $701MQ3 2025: $684MQ4 2025: $657MQ1 2026: $621MQ2 2026: $710MQ3 2026: $727M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$727M+6.2%
Q2 2026$710.2M+1.3%
Q1 2026$621.3M+4.6%
Q4 2025$656.6M+1.8%
Q3 2025$684.4M+11%
Q2 2025$701.3M+12%
Q1 2025$593.9M+11%
Q4 2024$644.9M+15%

SKY's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $727M last quarter, up 6.2% from the same quarter a year ago.

RIVN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.1B-$703M
Q2 2026-$849M-$451M
Q1 2026-$1.1B-$549M
Q4 2025-$1.1B-234%
Q3 2025-$421M+$732M
Q2 2025-$398M+$639M
Q1 2025-$526M+$997M
Q4 2024$856M+$2.3B

RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.

SKY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $71MQ1 2024: −$8MQ2 2024: $74MQ3 2024: $46MQ4 2024: $37MQ1 2025: $33MQ2 2025: $66MQ3 2025: $67MQ4 2025: $93MQ1 2026: $43MQ2 2026: $63MQ3 2026: $31M
Q4 2023: $71MQ1 2024: −$8MQ2 2024: $74MQ3 2024: $46MQ4 2024: $37MQ1 2025: $33MQ2 2025: $66MQ3 2025: $67MQ4 2025: $93MQ1 2026: $43MQ2 2026: $63MQ3 2026: $31M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$30.8M-54%
Q2 2026$62.6M-5.7%
Q1 2026$43.5M+30%
Q4 2025$92.9M+149%
Q3 2025$67M+46%
Q2 2025$66.4M-10%
Q1 2025$33.4M+$41.3M
Q4 2024$37.3M-48%

SKY has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RIVN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.1%+121M shares
1 year+19%+226M shares
3 years+52%+494M shares

RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.

SKY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 58MQ1 2024: 58MQ2 2024: 58MQ3 2024: 58MQ4 2024: 58MQ1 2025: 58MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 57MQ4 2025: 56MQ1 2026: 57MQ2 2026: 55MQ3 2026: 54M
Q4 2023: 58MQ1 2024: 58MQ2 2024: 58MQ3 2024: 58MQ4 2024: 58MQ1 2025: 58MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 57MQ4 2025: 56MQ1 2026: 57MQ2 2026: 55MQ3 2026: 54M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-680K shares
1 year-3.9%-2.2M shares
3 years-5.6%-3.2M shares
5 years-4.8%-2.7M shares
Available history-4.1%-2.3M shares

SKY has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RIVN Net Leverage

RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

SKY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.8xQ1 2024: -2.2xQ2 2024: -2.5xQ3 2024: -2.4xQ4 2024: -2.3xQ1 2025: -2.1xQ2 2025: -1.9xQ3 2025: -1.9xQ4 2025: -2.1xQ1 2026: -2.1xQ2 2026: -2.7xQ3 2026: -2.5x
Q4 2023: -1.8xQ1 2024: -2.2xQ2 2024: -2.5xQ3 2024: -2.4xQ4 2024: -2.3xQ1 2025: -2.1xQ2 2025: -1.9xQ3 2025: -1.9xQ4 2025: -2.1xQ1 2026: -2.1xQ2 2026: -2.7xQ3 2026: -2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.7xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-2.3xNet Cash

SKY has more cash than debt.

RIVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic25.6Neutral

RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

SKY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI58.3Neutral
Stochastic66.0Neutral

SKY's weekly RSI is 58 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 66 (neutral).

RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SKY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricSKYSector medianRelative
PE27x18x52% above
PE %634716 pts above

SKY is trading at 27x earnings, a 52% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

RIVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.33.9% below
20 week MA$15.115% below
50 week MA$15.919% below
100 week MA$14.713% below
200 week MA$15.115% below

RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

SKY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$85.18.5% above
20 week MA$85.87.6% above
50 week MA$83.710% above
100 week MA$82.312% above
200 week MA$78.518% above

SKY has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RIVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$130.0$96.8-25%
2022$96.8$19.1-80%
2023$19.1$23.5+23%
2024$23.5$13.7-42%
2025$13.7$20.9+53%
2026 YTD$20.9$12.8-39%

RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.

SKY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$31.4$31.7+0.7%
2021$31.7$76.2+141%
2022$76.2$52.6-31%
2023$52.6$74.3+41%
2024$74.3$88.4+19%
2025$88.4$85.5-3.2%
2026 YTD$85.5$92.3+7.9%

SKY has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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