RIVN

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

53
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

RIVN offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

SIG

Signet Jewelers Limited

60
Fundamentals70/ 100
Valuation34/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

SIG has the edge over RIVN overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

RIVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

SIG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

SIG's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

RIVN PE Valuation

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SIG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE26x53x79x105x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE26x53x79x105x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.8x$58.67-50%
Forward9.2x$118—
Fair10x$87.57-26%
Expensive14x$118+0.1%
Current14x$118—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SIG's PE is in its expensive range at 14x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.2x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

RIVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

RIVN has the edge over SIG on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

SIG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect SIG's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

RIVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$19.04
Downside-31%$8.82

Calculated from the latest close: $12.80 on Nov 12.

RIVN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SIG, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SIG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$160.34
Downside-23%$90.46

Calculated from the latest close: $118.22 on Nov 12.

SIG trails RIVN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RIVN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.25+$0.83
Q2 2026-$2.58+$0.62
Q1 2026-$2.92+$0.77
Q4 2025-$3.07+$1.62
Q3 2025-$3.08+$2.52
Q2 2025-$3.20+$2.76
Q1 2025-$3.69+$2.08
Q4 2024-$4.69+$1.05

RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.

SIG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $8.59Q1 2024: $15.01Q2 2024: $12.32Q3 2024: $8.66Q4 2024: $8.71Q1 2025: $-0.81Q2 2025: $0.87Q3 2025: $2.93Q4 2025: $3.30Q1 2026: $7.08Q2 2026: $7.08Q3 2026: $8.63Forward: $12.80
Q4 2023: $8.59Q1 2024: $15.01Q2 2024: $12.32Q3 2024: $8.66Q4 2024: $8.71Q1 2025: $-0.81Q2 2025: $0.87Q3 2025: $2.93Q4 2025: $3.30Q1 2026: $7.08Q2 2026: $7.08Q3 2026: $8.63Forward: $12.80
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$12.80+48%
Q3 2026$8.63+195%
Q2 2026$7.08+714%
Q1 2026$7.08+$7.89
Q4 2025$3.30-62%
Q3 2025$2.93-66%
Q2 2025$0.87-93%
Q1 2025-$0.81-105%
Q4 2024$8.71+1.4%

SIG has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RIVN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+38%
Q2 2026$1.7B+27%
Q1 2026$1.4B+11%
Q4 2025$1.3B-26%
Q3 2025$1.6B+78%
Q2 2025$1.3B+13%
Q1 2025$1.2B+3%
Q4 2024$1.7B+32%

RIVN has the edge over SIG on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SIG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.5BQ2 2024: $1.5BQ3 2024: $1.5BQ4 2024: $1.3BQ1 2025: $2.4BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.5BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $2.3BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.5BQ2 2024: $1.5BQ3 2024: $1.5BQ4 2024: $1.3BQ1 2025: $2.4BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.5BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $2.3BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $1.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B-0.5%
Q2 2026$1.6B+0.8%
Q1 2026$2.3B-0.3%
Q4 2025$1.4B+3.1%
Q3 2025$1.5B+3%
Q2 2025$1.5B+2%
Q1 2025$2.4B-5.8%
Q4 2024$1.3B-3.1%

SIG's revenue fell from its 2022 peak and has held roughly level since: $1.5B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

RIVN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.1B-$703M
Q2 2026-$849M-$451M
Q1 2026-$1.1B-$549M
Q4 2025-$1.1B-234%
Q3 2025-$421M+$732M
Q2 2025-$398M+$639M
Q1 2025-$526M+$997M
Q4 2024$856M+$2.3B

RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.

SIG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $716MQ2 2024: −$182MQ3 2024: $16MQ4 2024: −$139MQ1 2025: $742MQ2 2025: −$212MQ3 2025: $62MQ4 2025: −$2MQ1 2026: $676MQ2 2026: −$169MQ3 2026: $31M
Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $716MQ2 2024: −$182MQ3 2024: $16MQ4 2024: −$139MQ1 2025: $742MQ2 2025: −$212MQ3 2025: $62MQ4 2025: −$2MQ1 2026: $676MQ2 2026: −$169MQ3 2026: $31M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$30.8M-51%
Q2 2026-$169.2M+$42.7M
Q1 2026$676.4M-8.9%
Q4 2025-$1.5M+$137M
Q3 2025$62.3M+294%
Q2 2025-$211.9M-$30.4M
Q1 2025$742.1M+3.6%
Q4 2024-$138.5M-1089%

SIG has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RIVN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.1%+121M shares
1 year+19%+226M shares
3 years+52%+494M shares

RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.

SIG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 46MQ1 2024: 54MQ2 2024: 45MQ3 2024: 45MQ4 2024: 45MQ1 2025: 44MQ2 2025: 43MQ3 2025: 41MQ4 2025: 41MQ1 2026: 42MQ2 2026: 40MQ3 2026: 39M
Q4 2023: 46MQ1 2024: 54MQ2 2024: 45MQ3 2024: 45MQ4 2024: 45MQ1 2025: 44MQ2 2025: 43MQ3 2025: 41MQ4 2025: 41MQ1 2026: 42MQ2 2026: 40MQ3 2026: 39M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.7%-1.1M shares
1 year-4.4%-1.8M shares
3 years-28%-15M shares
5 years-24%-12.7M shares
Available history-24%-12.5M shares

SIG has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RIVN Net Leverage

RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

SIG Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.7xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -0.8xQ3 2024: -0.8xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: -2.3xQ2 2025: -1.0xQ3 2025: -0.8xQ4 2025: -0.6xQ1 2026: -1.6xQ2 2026: -1.1xQ3 2026: -0.9x
Q4 2023: -0.7xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -0.8xQ3 2024: -0.8xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: -2.3xQ2 2025: -1.0xQ3 2025: -0.8xQ4 2025: -0.6xQ1 2026: -1.6xQ2 2026: -1.1xQ3 2026: -0.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.6xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.8xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q4 20240.2xVery low

SIG has more cash than debt.

RIVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic25.6Neutral

RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

SIG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic80.9Overbought

SIG's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 81 (overbought).

RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SIG PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricSIGSector medianRelative
PE14x18x24% below
PE %834736 pts above

SIG is trading at 14x earnings, a 24% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

RIVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.33.9% below
20 week MA$15.115% below
50 week MA$15.919% below
100 week MA$14.713% below
200 week MA$15.115% below

RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

SIG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$112.15.5% above
20 week MA$98.919% above
50 week MA$92.428% above
100 week MA$84.141% above
200 week MA$84.540% above

SIG has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RIVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$130.0$96.8-25%
2022$96.8$19.1-80%
2023$19.1$23.5+23%
2024$23.5$13.7-42%
2025$13.7$20.9+53%
2026 YTD$20.9$12.8-39%

RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.

SIG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$21.0$26.2+25%
2021$26.2$83.5+219%
2022$83.5$68.1-19%
2023$68.1$107.3+58%
2024$107.3$82.0-24%
2025$82.0$85.2+4%
2026 YTD$85.2$118.2+39%

SIG has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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