RIVN

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

53
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

RIVN's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

SHAK

Shake Shack Inc.

71
Fundamentals58/ 100
Valuation76/ 100
Upside potential67/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

SHAK has the edge over RIVN overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

RIVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

SHAK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Strong

SHAK's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

RIVN PE Valuation

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SHAK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE639x1278x1917x2556x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE639x1278x1917x2556x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current71x$72.68—
Cheap75x$77.60+6.8%
Fair153x$158+117%
Expensive505x$520+616%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SHAK's PE is in its cheap range at 71x.

RIVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RIVN's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SHAK Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for SHAK to show an outlook.

RIVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$19.04
Downside-31%$8.82

Calculated from the latest close: $12.80 on Nov 12.

RIVN trails SHAK on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SHAK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+46%$106.16
Downside-23%$56.06

Calculated from the latest close: $72.68 on Nov 12.

SHAK has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RIVN, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RIVN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.25+$0.83
Q2 2026-$2.58+$0.62
Q1 2026-$2.92+$0.77
Q4 2025-$3.07+$1.62
Q3 2025-$3.08+$2.52
Q2 2025-$3.20+$2.76
Q1 2025-$3.69+$2.08
Q4 2024-$4.69+$1.05

RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.

SHAK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.48Q1 2024: $0.57Q2 2024: $0.64Q3 2024: $0.19Q4 2024: $0.24Q1 2025: $0.29Q2 2025: $0.47Q3 2025: $1.03Q4 2025: $1.09Q2 2026: $0.98Q3 2026: $0.94Q3 2026: $1.03
Q4 2023: $0.48Q1 2024: $0.57Q2 2024: $0.64Q3 2024: $0.19Q4 2024: $0.24Q1 2025: $0.29Q2 2025: $0.47Q3 2025: $1.03Q4 2025: $1.09Q2 2026: $0.98Q3 2026: $0.94Q3 2026: $1.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$1.030%
Q2 2026$0.94+100%
Q1 2026$0.98+238%
Q4 2025$1.09+354%
Q3 2025$1.03+442%
Q2 2025$0.47-27%
Q1 2025$0.29-49%
Q4 2024$0.24-50%

SHAK has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RIVN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+38%
Q2 2026$1.7B+27%
Q1 2026$1.4B+11%
Q4 2025$1.3B-26%
Q3 2025$1.6B+78%
Q2 2025$1.3B+13%
Q1 2025$1.2B+3%
Q4 2024$1.7B+32%

RIVN's revenue is growing: $2.2B last quarter, up 38% from the same quarter a year ago.

SHAK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $286MQ1 2024: $291MQ2 2024: $316MQ3 2024: $317MQ4 2024: $329MQ1 2025: $321MQ2 2025: $356MQ3 2025: $367MQ4 2025: $401MQ2 2026: $367MQ3 2026: $418MQ3 2026: $423M
Q4 2023: $286MQ1 2024: $291MQ2 2024: $316MQ3 2024: $317MQ4 2024: $329MQ1 2025: $321MQ2 2025: $356MQ3 2025: $367MQ4 2025: $401MQ2 2026: $367MQ3 2026: $418MQ3 2026: $423M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$423.3M+15%
Q2 2026$417.6M+17%
Q1 2026$366.7M+14%
Q4 2025$400.5M+22%
Q3 2025$367.4M+16%
Q2 2025$356.5M+13%
Q1 2025$320.9M+10%
Q4 2024$328.7M+15%

SHAK's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $423M last quarter, up 15% from the same quarter a year ago.

RIVN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.1B-$703M
Q2 2026-$849M-$451M
Q1 2026-$1.1B-$549M
Q4 2025-$1.1B-234%
Q3 2025-$421M+$732M
Q2 2025-$398M+$639M
Q1 2025-$526M+$997M
Q4 2024$856M+$2.3B

RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.

SHAK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $8MQ1 2024: −$2MQ2 2024: $21MQ3 2024: $7MQ4 2024: $10MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: $27MQ3 2025: $24MQ4 2025: $4MQ2 2026: −$39MQ3 2026: −$736,000Q3 2026: $13M
Q4 2023: $8MQ1 2024: −$2MQ2 2024: $21MQ3 2024: $7MQ4 2024: $10MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: $27MQ3 2025: $24MQ4 2025: $4MQ2 2026: −$39MQ3 2026: −$736,000Q3 2026: $13M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$13.1M-45%
Q2 2026-$736K-103%
Q1 2026-$38.7M-2170%
Q4 2025$4M-62%
Q3 2025$23.7M+237%
Q2 2025$26.9M+31%
Q1 2025$1.9M+$4.3M
Q4 2024$10.4M+23%

SHAK's free cash flow was −$22M over the past year, against $63M the year before.

RIVN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.1%+121M shares
1 year+19%+226M shares
3 years+52%+494M shares

RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.

SHAK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 44MQ1 2024: 41MQ2 2024: 41MQ3 2024: 40MQ4 2024: 44MQ1 2025: 42MQ2 2025: 42MQ3 2025: 42MQ4 2025: 42MQ2 2026: 40MQ3 2026: 42MQ3 2026: 42M
Q4 2023: 44MQ1 2024: 41MQ2 2024: 41MQ3 2024: 40MQ4 2024: 44MQ1 2025: 42MQ2 2025: 42MQ3 2025: 42MQ4 2025: 42MQ2 2026: 40MQ3 2026: 42MQ3 2026: 42M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+44K shares
1 year+0.1%+36K shares
3 years-4.7%-2.1M shares
5 years+7.1%+2.8M shares
Available history+30%+9.7M shares

SHAK has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RIVN Net Leverage

RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

SHAK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.5xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: -0.7xQ1 2025: -0.6xQ2 2025: -0.7xQ3 2025: -0.7xQ4 2025: -0.7xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.4x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.5xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: -0.7xQ1 2025: -0.6xQ2 2025: -0.7xQ3 2025: -0.7xQ4 2025: -0.7xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.7xNet Cash

SHAK has more cash than debt.

RIVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic25.6Neutral

RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

SHAK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.1Neutral
Stochastic75.5Neutral

SHAK's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 76 (neutral).

RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SHAK PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricSHAKSector medianRelative
PE71x18x292% above
PE %114736 pts below

SHAK is trading at 71x earnings, a 292% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

RIVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.33.9% below
20 week MA$15.115% below
50 week MA$15.919% below
100 week MA$14.713% below
200 week MA$15.115% below

RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

SHAK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$66.79% above
20 week MA$65.311% above
50 week MA$75.94.3% below
100 week MA$92.021% below
200 week MA$86.916% below

SHAK has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RIVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$130.0$96.8-25%
2022$96.8$19.1-80%
2023$19.1$23.5+23%
2024$23.5$13.7-42%
2025$13.7$20.9+53%
2026 YTD$20.9$12.8-39%

RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.

SHAK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$60.5$87.8+45%
2021$87.8$74.5-15%
2022$74.5$44.9-40%
2023$44.9$74.1+65%
2024$74.1$132.6+79%
2025$132.6$83.8-37%
2026 YTD$83.8$72.7-13%

SHAK has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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