RIVN

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

53
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

RIVN's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

SE

Sea Limited

69
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation71/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

SE has the edge over RIVN overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

RIVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

SE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Stable
Strong

SE's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

RIVN PE Valuation

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE403x807x1210x1614x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE403x807x1210x1614x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current29x$74.52—
Cheap37x$95.38+28%
Fair93x$242+224%
Expensive688x$1,783+2293%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SE's PE is in its cheap range at 29x.

RIVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

RIVN has the edge over SE on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

SE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for SE, but weaker profitability.

RIVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$19.04
Downside-31%$8.82

Calculated from the latest close: $12.80 on Nov 12.

RIVN trails SE on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+48%$110.15
Downside-19%$60.05

Calculated from the latest close: $74.52 on Nov 12.

SE has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RIVN, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RIVN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.25+$0.83
Q2 2026-$2.58+$0.62
Q1 2026-$2.92+$0.77
Q4 2025-$3.07+$1.62
Q3 2025-$3.08+$2.52
Q2 2025-$3.20+$2.76
Q1 2025-$3.69+$2.08
Q4 2024-$4.69+$1.05

RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.

SE Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $1.13Q4 2023: $0.24Q1 2024: $0.05Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $0.17Q4 2024: $0.75Q1 2025: $1.42Q2 2025: $1.97Q3 2025: $2.30Q4 2025: $2.54Q1 2026: $2.58Q2 2026: $2.59
Q3 2023: $1.13Q4 2023: $0.24Q1 2024: $0.05Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $0.17Q4 2024: $0.75Q1 2025: $1.42Q2 2025: $1.97Q3 2025: $2.30Q4 2025: $2.54Q1 2026: $2.58Q2 2026: $2.59
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$2.59+31%
Q1 2026$2.58+82%
Q4 2025$2.54+239%
Q3 2025$2.30+1253%
Q2 2025$1.97+$2.32
Q1 2025$1.42+2740%
Q4 2024$0.75+213%
Q3 2024$0.17-85%

SE has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RIVN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+38%
Q2 2026$1.7B+27%
Q1 2026$1.4B+11%
Q4 2025$1.3B-26%
Q3 2025$1.6B+78%
Q2 2025$1.3B+13%
Q1 2025$1.2B+3%
Q4 2024$1.7B+32%

RIVN's revenue is growing: $2.2B last quarter, up 38% from the same quarter a year ago.

SE Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $3.3BQ4 2023: $3.6BQ1 2024: $3.7BQ2 2024: $3.8BQ3 2024: $4.3BQ4 2024: $5BQ1 2025: $4.8BQ2 2025: $5.3BQ3 2025: $6BQ4 2025: $6.9BQ1 2026: $7.1BQ2 2026: $7.8B
Q3 2023: $3.3BQ4 2023: $3.6BQ1 2024: $3.7BQ2 2024: $3.8BQ3 2024: $4.3BQ4 2024: $5BQ1 2025: $4.8BQ2 2025: $5.3BQ3 2025: $6BQ4 2025: $6.9BQ1 2026: $7.1BQ2 2026: $7.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$7.8B+48%
Q1 2026$7.1B+47%
Q4 2025$6.9B+38%
Q3 2025$6B+38%
Q2 2025$5.3B+38%
Q1 2025$4.8B+30%
Q4 2024$5B+37%
Q3 2024$4.3B+31%

SE has the edge over RIVN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RIVN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.1B-$703M
Q2 2026-$849M-$451M
Q1 2026-$1.1B-$549M
Q4 2025-$1.1B-234%
Q3 2025-$421M+$732M
Q2 2025-$398M+$639M
Q1 2025-$526M+$997M
Q4 2024$856M+$2.3B

RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.

SE Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $556MQ4 2023: $264MQ1 2024: $440MQ2 2024: $552MQ3 2024: $1BQ4 2024: $932MQ1 2025: $757MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $1BQ4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $919MQ2 2026: $1.1B
Q3 2023: $556MQ4 2023: $264MQ1 2024: $440MQ2 2024: $552MQ3 2024: $1BQ4 2024: $932MQ1 2025: $757MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $1BQ4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $919MQ2 2026: $1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$1.1B-18%
Q1 2026$918.9M+21%
Q4 2025$0-100%
Q3 2025$1B+0.8%
Q2 2025$1.4B+153%
Q1 2025$756.9M+72%
Q4 2024$931.8M+252%
Q3 2024$1B+86%

SE has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RIVN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.1%+121M shares
1 year+19%+226M shares
3 years+52%+494M shares

RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.

SE Total Shares

Q3 2023: 565MQ4 2023: 570MQ1 2024: 571MQ2 2024: 574MQ3 2024: 574MQ4 2024: 610MQ1 2025: 635MQ2 2025: 592MQ3 2025: 636MQ4 2025: 640MQ1 2026: 636MQ2 2026: 654M
Q3 2023: 565MQ4 2023: 570MQ1 2024: 571MQ2 2024: 574MQ3 2024: 574MQ4 2024: 610MQ1 2025: 635MQ2 2025: 592MQ3 2025: 636MQ4 2025: 640MQ1 2026: 636MQ2 2026: 654M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.9%+18.3M shares
1 year+11%+62.4M shares
3 years+9.3%+55.7M shares
5 years+25%+131M shares
Available history+41%+191M shares

SE has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RIVN Net Leverage

RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

SE Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 0.9xQ4 2023: 1.7xQ1 2024: 2.1xQ2 2024: 3.0xQ3 2024: 2.2xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.2xQ2 2025: 1.0xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: -1.2xQ1 2026: -1.0xQ2 2026: 0.2x
Q3 2023: 0.9xQ4 2023: 1.7xQ1 2024: 2.1xQ2 2024: 3.0xQ3 2024: 2.2xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.2xQ2 2025: 1.0xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: -1.2xQ1 2026: -1.0xQ2 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 2026-1.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.2xNet Cash
Q3 20250.5xVery low
Q2 20251.0xHealthy
Q1 20251.2xHealthy
Q4 20241.4xHealthy
Q3 20242.2xModerate

SE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from a year a year ago.

RIVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic25.6Neutral

RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

SE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.3Neutral
Stochastic5.6Oversold

SE's weekly RSI is 32 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricSESector medianRelative
PE29x18x60% above
PE %14746 pts below

SE is trading at 29x earnings, a 60% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

RIVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.33.9% below
20 week MA$15.115% below
50 week MA$15.919% below
100 week MA$14.713% below
200 week MA$15.115% below

RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

SE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$85.413% below
20 week MA$100.025% below
50 week MA$100.926% below
100 week MA$123.840% below
200 week MA$94.221% below

SE is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 21% below its 200-week average.

RIVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$130.0$96.8-25%
2022$96.8$19.1-80%
2023$19.1$23.5+23%
2024$23.5$13.7-42%
2025$13.7$20.9+53%
2026 YTD$20.9$12.8-39%

RIVN has the edge over SE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$39.3$193.2+392%
2021$193.2$222.1+15%
2022$222.1$49.9-78%
2023$49.9$40.5-19%
2024$40.5$108.7+168%
2025$108.7$127.9+18%
2026 YTD$127.9$74.5-42%

SE's yearly returns have swung widely, from +392% in 2020 to −78% in 2022. It's down 42% so far in 2026.

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