RIVN

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

53
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

RIVN lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect losses to shrink, though they disagree widely on how much.

SDA

SunCar Technology Group Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score SDA yet.

RIVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

SDA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Under pressure
Stable
Weak

SDA's cash flow is currently stable, but its profitability and balance sheet are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue.

RIVN PE Valuation

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SDA PE Valuation

SDA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RIVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RIVN's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SDA Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for SDA to show an outlook.

RIVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$19.04
Downside-31%$8.82

Calculated from the latest close: $12.80 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare RIVN and SDA's risk to reward.

SDA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $0.28 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare RIVN and SDA's risk to reward.

RIVN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.25+$0.83
Q2 2026-$2.58+$0.62
Q1 2026-$2.92+$0.77
Q4 2025-$3.07+$1.62
Q3 2025-$3.08+$2.52
Q2 2025-$3.20+$2.76
Q1 2025-$3.69+$2.08
Q4 2024-$4.69+$1.05

RIVN has the edge over SDA in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

SDA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2022: $0.15Q2 2023: $0.08Q4 2023: $-0.31Q2 2024: $-0.94Q4 2024: $-0.72
Q4 2022: $0.15Q2 2023: $0.08Q4 2023: $-0.31Q2 2024: $-0.94Q4 2024: $-0.72
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q4 2024-$0.72-$0.41
Q2 2024-$0.94-1275%
Q4 2023-$0.31-307%

SDA has swung to a loss: it lost $0.72 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

RIVN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+38%
Q2 2026$1.7B+27%
Q1 2026$1.4B+11%
Q4 2025$1.3B-26%
Q3 2025$1.6B+78%
Q2 2025$1.3B+13%
Q1 2025$1.2B+3%
Q4 2024$1.7B+32%

RIVN has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is up 38% for RIVN versus up 28% for SDA.

SDA Quarterly Revenue

Q2 2022: $62MQ3 2022: $79MQ4 2022: $79MQ2 2023: $159MQ4 2023: $204MQ2 2024: $203MQ4 2024: $442MQ1 2025: $103MQ2 2025: $120MQ3 2025: $116MQ4 2025: $151MQ1 2026: $131M
Q2 2022: $62MQ3 2022: $79MQ4 2022: $79MQ2 2023: $159MQ4 2023: $204MQ2 2024: $203MQ4 2024: $442MQ1 2025: $103MQ2 2025: $120MQ3 2025: $116MQ4 2025: $151MQ1 2026: $131M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q1 2026$131.2M+28%
Q4 2025$151.2M-66%
Q2 2025$119.7M-41%
Q4 2024$441.9M+116%
Q2 2024$203.1M+27%
Q4 2023$204.4M+159%
Q2 2023$159.4M+156%
Q4 2022$78.8M+16%

SDA's revenue is recovering but still below its 2024 peak: $131M last quarter, up 28% from the same quarter a year ago.

RIVN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.1B-$703M
Q2 2026-$849M-$451M
Q1 2026-$1.1B-$549M
Q4 2025-$1.1B-234%
Q3 2025-$421M+$732M
Q2 2025-$398M+$639M
Q1 2025-$526M+$997M
Q4 2024$856M+$2.3B

SDA has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is up 153% versus its history, compared with RIVN at down 2.1%.

SDA Free Cash Flow

Q2 2022: −$584,569Q3 2022: −$2MQ4 2022: −$2MQ2 2023: −$21MQ4 2023: −$11MQ2 2024: −$3MQ4 2024: $11MQ1 2025: −$9MQ2 2025: $2,999Q3 2025: −$2MQ4 2025: $17MQ1 2026: −$8M
Q2 2022: −$584,569Q3 2022: −$2MQ4 2022: −$2MQ2 2023: −$21MQ4 2023: −$11MQ2 2024: −$3MQ4 2024: $11MQ1 2025: −$9MQ2 2025: $2,999Q3 2025: −$2MQ4 2025: $17MQ1 2026: −$8M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q1 2026-$8M+$1.3M
Q4 2025$16.7M+48%
Q2 2025$3K+$2.9M
Q4 2024$11.3M+$22.7M
Q2 2024-$2.9M+$18.2M
Q4 2023-$11.5M-$9.6M
Q2 2023-$21.1M-$20.5M
Q4 2022-$1.9M-$1.1M

SDA's free cash flow has turned positive after four years mostly in the red: $7M over the past year.

RIVN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.1%+121M shares
1 year+19%+226M shares
3 years+52%+494M shares

RIVN has the edge over SDA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SDA Total Shares

Q2 2022: 8MQ3 2022: 83MQ4 2022: 7MQ2 2023: 81MQ4 2023: 85MQ2 2024: 94MQ4 2024: 96MQ1 2025: 102MQ1 2026: 102M
Q2 2022: 8MQ3 2022: 83MQ4 2022: 7MQ2 2023: 81MQ4 2023: 85MQ2 2024: 94MQ4 2024: 96MQ1 2025: 102MQ1 2026: 102M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-423K shares
1 year+19%+16.6M shares

SDA has 102M diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.

RIVN Net Leverage

RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

SDA Net Leverage

Q2 2022: 6.2xQ3 2022: 0.1xQ4 2022: 5.9xQ2 2023: 1.0xQ4 2025: 5.7xQ1 2026: 4.3x
Q2 2022: 6.2xQ3 2022: 0.1xQ4 2022: 5.9xQ2 2023: 1.0xQ4 2025: 5.7xQ1 2026: 4.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 20264.3xHigh
Q4 20255.7xHigh
Q2 20231.0xVery low
Q4 20225.9xHigh
Q3 20220.1xVery low
Q2 20226.2xHigh
Q1 20220.1xVery low
Q4 20212.9xModerate

SDA's net debt is about 4.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from less than a year a year ago.

RIVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic25.6Neutral

RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

SDA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.0Neutral
Stochastic19.0Oversold

SDA's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SDA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricSDASector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

SDA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RIVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.33.9% below
20 week MA$15.115% below
50 week MA$15.919% below
100 week MA$14.713% below
200 week MA$15.115% below

RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

SDA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$0.3622% below
20 week MA$0.5852% below
50 week MA$1.2077% below
100 week MA$2.5089% below
200 week MA$6.3096% below

SDA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 96% below its 200-week average.

RIVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$130.0$96.8-25%
2022$96.8$19.1-80%
2023$19.1$23.5+23%
2024$23.5$13.7-42%
2025$13.7$20.9+53%
2026 YTD$20.9$12.8-39%

RIVN has the edge over SDA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SDA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$9.80$9.92+1.2%
2022$9.92$10.3+3.7%
2023$10.3$8.25-20%
2024$8.25$9.57+16%
2025$9.57$2.06-78%
2026 YTD$2.06$0.28-86%

SDA is down 86% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in three of the previous five years.

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