RIVN

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

53
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

RIVN offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

SCI

Service Corporation International

54
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation51/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

SCI has a slight edge over RIVN overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

RIVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

SCI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Weak

SCI's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

RIVN PE Valuation

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SCI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.9x14x21x27x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.9x14x21x27x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap15x$60.18-20%
Forward18x$74.97—
Current19x$74.97—
Fair20x$80.86+7.9%
Expensive22x$88.36+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SCI's PE is in its fair range at 19x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

RIVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

RIVN has the edge over SCI on the outlook, with more favorable revenue and profitability expectations.

SCI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Stable
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect SCI's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.

RIVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$19.04
Downside-31%$8.82

Calculated from the latest close: $12.80 on Nov 12.

RIVN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SCI, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SCI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+18%$88.33
Downside-14%$64.55

Calculated from the latest close: $74.97 on Nov 12.

SCI trails RIVN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RIVN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.25+$0.83
Q2 2026-$2.58+$0.62
Q1 2026-$2.92+$0.77
Q4 2025-$3.07+$1.62
Q3 2025-$3.08+$2.52
Q2 2025-$3.20+$2.76
Q1 2025-$3.69+$2.08
Q4 2024-$4.69+$1.05

RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.

SCI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.53Q1 2024: $3.49Q2 2024: $3.44Q3 2024: $3.45Q4 2024: $3.53Q1 2025: $3.62Q2 2025: $3.67Q3 2025: $3.69Q4 2025: $3.80Q1 2026: $3.79Q2 2026: $3.83Q3 2026: $4.03Forward: $4.22
Q4 2023: $3.53Q1 2024: $3.49Q2 2024: $3.44Q3 2024: $3.45Q4 2024: $3.53Q1 2025: $3.62Q2 2025: $3.67Q3 2025: $3.69Q4 2025: $3.80Q1 2026: $3.79Q2 2026: $3.83Q3 2026: $4.03Forward: $4.22
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.22+4.8%
Q3 2026$4.03+9.2%
Q2 2026$3.83+4.4%
Q1 2026$3.79+4.7%
Q4 2025$3.80+7.6%
Q3 2025$3.69+7%
Q2 2025$3.67+6.7%
Q1 2025$3.62+3.7%
Q4 2024$3.530%

SCI has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RIVN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+38%
Q2 2026$1.7B+27%
Q1 2026$1.4B+11%
Q4 2025$1.3B-26%
Q3 2025$1.6B+78%
Q2 2025$1.3B+13%
Q1 2025$1.2B+3%
Q4 2024$1.7B+32%

RIVN's revenue is growing: $2.2B last quarter, up 38% from the same quarter a year ago.

SCI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $1BQ2 2024: $1BQ3 2024: $1BQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $1.1BQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $1BQ2 2024: $1BQ3 2024: $1BQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $1.1BQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+4.6%
Q2 2026$1.1B+3.6%
Q1 2026$1.1B+2.1%
Q4 2025$1.1B+1.7%
Q3 2025$1.1B+4.4%
Q2 2025$1.1B+3%
Q1 2025$1.1B+2.8%
Q4 2024$1.1B+3.5%

SCI's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $1.1B last quarter, up 4.6% from the same quarter a year ago.

RIVN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.1B-$703M
Q2 2026-$849M-$451M
Q1 2026-$1.1B-$549M
Q4 2025-$1.1B-234%
Q3 2025-$421M+$732M
Q2 2025-$398M+$639M
Q1 2025-$526M+$997M
Q4 2024$856M+$2.3B

RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.

SCI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $184MQ1 2024: $140MQ2 2024: $101MQ3 2024: $163MQ4 2024: $152MQ1 2025: $233MQ2 2025: $83MQ3 2025: $151MQ4 2025: $87MQ1 2026: $254MQ2 2026: $143MQ3 2026: $197M
Q4 2023: $184MQ1 2024: $140MQ2 2024: $101MQ3 2024: $163MQ4 2024: $152MQ1 2025: $233MQ2 2025: $83MQ3 2025: $151MQ4 2025: $87MQ1 2026: $254MQ2 2026: $143MQ3 2026: $197M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$197.4M+31%
Q2 2026$142.9M+71%
Q1 2026$253.9M+9%
Q4 2025$87.2M-43%
Q3 2025$150.7M-7.5%
Q2 2025$83.4M-17%
Q1 2025$233M+66%
Q4 2024$151.8M-17%

SCI has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RIVN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.1%+121M shares
1 year+19%+226M shares
3 years+52%+494M shares

RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.

SCI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 152MQ1 2024: 148MQ2 2024: 147MQ3 2024: 146MQ4 2024: 147MQ1 2025: 145MQ2 2025: 143MQ3 2025: 141MQ4 2025: 143MQ1 2026: 140MQ2 2026: 138MQ3 2026: 137M
Q4 2023: 152MQ1 2024: 148MQ2 2024: 147MQ3 2024: 146MQ4 2024: 147MQ1 2025: 145MQ2 2025: 143MQ3 2025: 141MQ4 2025: 143MQ1 2026: 140MQ2 2026: 138MQ3 2026: 137M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.8%-1.1M shares
1 year-3%-4.2M shares
3 years-9.9%-15.1M shares
5 years-19%-32.8M shares
Available history-26%-48.3M shares

SCI has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RIVN Net Leverage

RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

SCI Net Leverage

Q3 2024: 4.1xQ4 2024: 4.0xQ1 2025: 3.9xQ2 2025: 4.0xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 4.0xQ1 2026: 4.1xQ2 2026: 4.1xQ3 2026: 4.0x
Q3 2024: 4.1xQ4 2024: 4.0xQ1 2025: 3.9xQ2 2025: 4.0xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 4.0xQ1 2026: 4.1xQ2 2026: 4.1xQ3 2026: 4.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20264.0xHigh
Q2 20264.1xHigh
Q1 20264.1xHigh
Q4 20254.0xHigh
Q3 20254.0xElevated
Q2 20254.0xHigh
Q1 20253.9xElevated
Q4 20244.0xElevated

SCI's net debt is about 4.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

RIVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic25.6Neutral

RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

SCI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.2Neutral
Stochastic31.6Neutral

SCI's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 32 (neutral).

RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SCI PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricSCISector medianRelative
PE19x18x3.2% above
PE %344713 pts below

SCI is trading at 19x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

RIVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.33.9% below
20 week MA$15.115% below
50 week MA$15.919% below
100 week MA$14.713% below
200 week MA$15.115% below

RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

SCI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$77.73.5% below
20 week MA$80.26.5% below
50 week MA$79.75.9% below
100 week MA$79.55.7% below
200 week MA$74.60.5% above

SCI has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RIVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$130.0$96.8-25%
2022$96.8$19.1-80%
2023$19.1$23.5+23%
2024$23.5$13.7-42%
2025$13.7$20.9+53%
2026 YTD$20.9$12.8-39%

RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.

SCI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$46.1$48.7+5.6%
2021$48.7$69.7+43%
2022$69.7$70.2+0.8%
2023$70.2$68.5-2.5%
2024$68.5$80.8+18%
2025$80.8$78.0-3.5%
2026 YTD$78.0$75.0-3.8%

SCI has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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