RIVN

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

53
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

RIVN offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

SBH

Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc.

55
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation39/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential24/ 100

SBH has a slight edge over RIVN overall, supported by lower modeled downside.

RIVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

SBH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy

SBH's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

RIVN PE Valuation

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SBH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.4x11x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.4x11x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.1x$12.33-33%
Fair7.9x$15.93-13%
Forward8.2x$18.41—
Current9.1x$18.41—
Expensive9.8x$19.70+7%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SBH's PE is in its expensive range at 9.1x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 8.2x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

RIVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

RIVN has the edge over SBH on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

SBH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect SBH's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

RIVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$19.04
Downside-31%$8.82

Calculated from the latest close: $12.80 on Nov 12.

RIVN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SBH, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SBH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$23.59
Downside-24%$14.08

Calculated from the latest close: $18.41 on Nov 12.

SBH trails RIVN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RIVN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.25+$0.83
Q2 2026-$2.58+$0.62
Q1 2026-$2.92+$0.77
Q4 2025-$3.07+$1.62
Q3 2025-$3.08+$2.52
Q2 2025-$3.20+$2.76
Q1 2025-$3.69+$2.08
Q4 2024-$4.69+$1.05

RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.

SBH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.58Q1 2024: $1.48Q2 2024: $1.38Q3 2024: $1.43Q4 2024: $1.66Q1 2025: $1.77Q2 2025: $1.85Q3 2025: $1.89Q4 2025: $1.76Q1 2026: $1.81Q2 2026: $1.92Q3 2026: $2.02Forward: $2.26
Q4 2023: $1.58Q1 2024: $1.48Q2 2024: $1.38Q3 2024: $1.43Q4 2024: $1.66Q1 2025: $1.77Q2 2025: $1.85Q3 2025: $1.89Q4 2025: $1.76Q1 2026: $1.81Q2 2026: $1.92Q3 2026: $2.02Forward: $2.26
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.26+12%
Q3 2026$2.02+6.9%
Q2 2026$1.92+3.8%
Q1 2026$1.81+2.3%
Q4 2025$1.76+6%
Q3 2025$1.89+32%
Q2 2025$1.85+34%
Q1 2025$1.77+20%
Q4 2024$1.66+5.1%

SBH has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RIVN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+38%
Q2 2026$1.7B+27%
Q1 2026$1.4B+11%
Q4 2025$1.3B-26%
Q3 2025$1.6B+78%
Q2 2025$1.3B+13%
Q1 2025$1.2B+3%
Q4 2024$1.7B+32%

RIVN has the edge over SBH on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SBH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $931MQ1 2024: $908MQ2 2024: $942MQ3 2024: $935MQ4 2024: $938MQ1 2025: $883MQ2 2025: $933MQ3 2025: $947MQ4 2025: $943MQ1 2026: $903MQ2 2026: $935MQ3 2026: $953M
Q4 2023: $931MQ1 2024: $908MQ2 2024: $942MQ3 2024: $935MQ4 2024: $938MQ1 2025: $883MQ2 2025: $933MQ3 2025: $947MQ4 2025: $943MQ1 2026: $903MQ2 2026: $935MQ3 2026: $953M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$952.5M+0.6%
Q2 2026$935.5M+0.2%
Q1 2026$903.4M+2.3%
Q4 2025$943.2M+0.6%
Q3 2025$947.1M+1.3%
Q2 2025$933.3M-1%
Q1 2025$883.1M-2.8%
Q4 2024$937.9M+0.7%

SBH's revenue has held roughly level: $953M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

RIVN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.1B-$703M
Q2 2026-$849M-$451M
Q1 2026-$1.1B-$549M
Q4 2025-$1.1B-234%
Q3 2025-$421M+$732M
Q2 2025-$398M+$639M
Q1 2025-$526M+$997M
Q4 2024$856M+$2.3B

RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.

SBH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $20MQ1 2024: $23MQ2 2024: $29MQ3 2024: $73MQ4 2024: $13MQ1 2025: $32MQ2 2025: $49MQ3 2025: $78MQ4 2025: $57MQ1 2026: $44MQ2 2026: $62MQ3 2026: $47M
Q4 2023: $20MQ1 2024: $23MQ2 2024: $29MQ3 2024: $73MQ4 2024: $13MQ1 2025: $32MQ2 2025: $49MQ3 2025: $78MQ4 2025: $57MQ1 2026: $44MQ2 2026: $62MQ3 2026: $47M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$46.9M-40%
Q2 2026$61.6M+25%
Q1 2026$44.1M+37%
Q4 2025$57.5M+329%
Q3 2025$78M+6.4%
Q2 2025$49.1M+71%
Q1 2025$32.2M+41%
Q4 2024$13.4M-35%

SBH has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RIVN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.1%+121M shares
1 year+19%+226M shares
3 years+52%+494M shares

RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.

SBH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 109MQ1 2024: 107MQ2 2024: 106MQ3 2024: 107MQ4 2024: 105MQ1 2025: 104MQ2 2025: 103MQ3 2025: 104MQ4 2025: 101MQ1 2026: 100MQ2 2026: 98MQ3 2026: 99M
Q4 2023: 109MQ1 2024: 107MQ2 2024: 106MQ3 2024: 107MQ4 2024: 105MQ1 2025: 104MQ2 2025: 103MQ3 2025: 104MQ4 2025: 101MQ1 2026: 100MQ2 2026: 98MQ3 2026: 99M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.9%+902K shares
1 year-4.8%-5M shares
3 years-9.6%-10.5M shares
5 years-13%-15.4M shares
Available history-16%-18.3M shares

SBH has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RIVN Net Leverage

RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

SBH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.3xQ1 2024: 2.4xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.2xQ4 2024: 2.0xQ1 2025: 1.9xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.7xQ1 2026: 1.7xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.5x
Q4 2023: 2.3xQ1 2024: 2.4xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.2xQ4 2024: 2.0xQ1 2025: 1.9xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.7xQ1 2026: 1.7xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.5xHealthy
Q2 20261.5xHealthy
Q1 20261.7xHealthy
Q4 20251.7xHealthy
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.8xHealthy
Q1 20251.9xHealthy
Q4 20242.0xHealthy

SBH's net debt is about 1.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.7 years a year ago.

RIVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic25.6Neutral

RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

SBH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI65.5Neutral
Stochastic72.0Neutral

SBH's weekly RSI is 65 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 72 (neutral).

RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SBH PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricSBHSector medianRelative
PE9.1x18x49% below
PE %764729 pts above

SBH is trading at 9.1x earnings, a 49% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

RIVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.33.9% below
20 week MA$15.115% below
50 week MA$15.919% below
100 week MA$14.713% below
200 week MA$15.115% below

RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

SBH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$17.36.5% above
20 week MA$16.413% above
50 week MA$15.221% above
100 week MA$13.239% above
200 week MA$12.646% above

SBH has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RIVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$130.0$96.8-25%
2022$96.8$19.1-80%
2023$19.1$23.5+23%
2024$23.5$13.7-42%
2025$13.7$20.9+53%
2026 YTD$20.9$12.8-39%

RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.

SBH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$18.1$12.7-30%
2021$12.7$18.6+47%
2022$18.6$12.5-33%
2023$12.5$13.3+6.4%
2024$13.3$10.8-18%
2025$10.8$15.0+38%
2026 YTD$15.0$18.4+23%

SBH has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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