RIVN
Rivian Automotive, Inc.
RIVN has a slight edge over SABR overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.
SABR
Sabre Corporation
SABR offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
RIVN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
SABR Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak |
SABR's revenue is currently stable, but its profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.
RIVN PE Valuation
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SABR PE Valuation
SABR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings.
RIVN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
RIVN has the edge over SABR on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
SABR Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect SABR to return to profit, with revenue growing.
RIVN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.25 | +$0.83 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.58 | +$0.62 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.92 | +$0.77 |
| Q4 2025 | -$3.07 | +$1.62 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.08 | +$2.52 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.20 | +$2.76 |
| Q1 2025 | -$3.69 | +$2.08 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.69 | +$1.05 |
RIVN has the edge over SABR on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
SABR Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.09 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.21 | -117% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.83 | +$2.75 |
| Q1 2026 | $1.27 | +$1.72 |
| Q4 2025 | $1.34 | +$2.07 |
| Q3 2025 | $1.22 | +$1.99 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.92 | +$0.30 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.45 | +$0.98 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.73 | +$0.83 |
SABR has swung to a loss: it lost $0.21 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
RIVN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.2B | +38% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.7B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | -26% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.6B | +78% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.3B | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.2B | +3% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.7B | +32% |
RIVN has the edge over SABR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -41% | +22 points |
| Q2 2026 | -50% | +35 points |
| Q1 2026 | -64% | -11 points |
| Q4 2025 | -65% | -27 points |
| Q3 2025 | -63% | +71 points |
| Q2 2025 | -86% | +33 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +70 points |
| Q4 2024 | -38% | +82 points |
RIVN's operating margin was −41% last quarter, up 22 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2021.
SABR Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $738.4M | +3.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $712M | +3.6% |
| Q1 2026 | $760.3M | -2.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $666.5M | -6.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $715.2M | -6.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $687.1M | -10% |
| Q1 2025 | $776.6M | -0.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $714.7M | +4% |
SABR's revenue fell from its 2019 peak and has held roughly level since: $738M last quarter, up 3.2% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 15% | +1.7 points |
| Q2 2026 | 13% | +0.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 15% | +1.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 3.2% | -4.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 13% | +3.9 points |
| Q2 2025 | 13% | +5 points |
| Q1 2025 | 13% | +0.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 8% | +2.6 points |
SABR has the edge over RIVN on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RIVN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.1B | -$703M |
| Q2 2026 | -$849M | -$451M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -$549M |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.1B | -234% |
| Q3 2025 | -$421M | +$732M |
| Q2 2025 | -$398M | +$639M |
| Q1 2025 | -$526M | +$997M |
| Q4 2024 | $856M | +$2.3B |
RIVN has the edge over SABR on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
SABR Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$47.5M | -454% |
| Q2 2026 | $9.7M | +$232.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$155.4M | -$56.9M |
| Q4 2025 | $115.8M | +74% |
| Q3 2025 | $13.4M | +78% |
| Q2 2025 | -$222.5M | -2877% |
| Q1 2025 | -$98.5M | -$2.7M |
| Q4 2024 | $66.6M | -14% |
SABR has burned cash in most quarters: −$77M over the past year, against −$241M the year before.
RIVN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +9.1% | +121M shares |
| 1 year | +19% | +226M shares |
| 3 years | +52% | +494M shares |
RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2021 | — |
| Q1 2021 | — |
| Q4 2020 | $6M |
| Q3 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
SABR Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +1.1% | +4.3M shares |
| 1 year | -6% | -25.6M shares |
| 3 years | +17% | +58.5M shares |
| 5 years | +25% | +80.9M shares |
| Available history | +46% | +127M shares |
SABR has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q3 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
| Q4 2019 | — |
RIVN Net Leverage
RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
SABR Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.4x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 8.4x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 8.6x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 8.6x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 7.9x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 10.6x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 10.7x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 10.4x | High |
SABR's net debt is about 8.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 7.9 years a year ago.
RIVN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 25.6 | Neutral |
RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).
SABR Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 51.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 26.2 | Neutral |
SABR's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).
RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SABR PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | SABR | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 0.9x | 18x | 95% below |
| PE % | 5 | 47 | 42 pts below |
SABR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RIVN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $13.3 | 3.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $15.9 | 19% below |
| 100 week MA | $14.7 | 13% below |
| 200 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.
SABR Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $1.81 | 5% above |
| 20 week MA | $1.94 | 2.1% below |
| 50 week MA | $1.69 | 12% above |
| 100 week MA | $2.18 | 13% below |
| 200 week MA | $2.98 | 36% below |
SABR has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
RIVN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $130.0 | $96.8 | -25% |
| 2022 | $96.8 | $19.1 | -80% |
| 2023 | $19.1 | $23.5 | +23% |
| 2024 | $23.5 | $13.7 | -42% |
| 2025 | $13.7 | $20.9 | +53% |
| 2026 YTD | $20.9 | $12.8 | -39% |
RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.
SABR Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $22.9 | $11.4 | -50% |
| 2021 | $11.4 | $8.91 | -22% |
| 2022 | $8.91 | $5.94 | -33% |
| 2023 | $5.94 | $4.40 | -26% |
| 2024 | $4.40 | $3.67 | -17% |
| 2025 | $3.67 | $1.39 | -62% |
| 2026 YTD | $1.39 | $1.90 | +37% |
SABR has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.