RIVN

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

53
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

RIVN's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

RVLV

Revolve Group, Inc.

60
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation78/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential24/ 100

RVLV has the edge over RIVN overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

RIVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

RVLV Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Under pressure
Strong

RVLV's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is under pressure.

RIVN PE Valuation

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RVLV PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE19x37x56x75x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE19x37x56x75x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current20x$18.75—
Forward21x$18.75—
Cheap23x$21.58+15%
Fair33x$30.57+63%
Expensive55x$51.31+174%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

RVLV's PE is in its cheap range at 20x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 21x.

RIVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

RIVN has the edge over RVLV on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

RVLV Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for RVLV, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RIVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$19.04
Downside-31%$8.82

Calculated from the latest close: $12.80 on Nov 12.

RIVN trails RVLV on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RVLV Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+45%$27.13
Downside-24%$14.28

Calculated from the latest close: $18.75 on Nov 12.

RVLV has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RIVN, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RIVN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.25+$0.83
Q2 2026-$2.58+$0.62
Q1 2026-$2.92+$0.77
Q4 2025-$3.07+$1.62
Q3 2025-$3.08+$2.52
Q2 2025-$3.20+$2.76
Q1 2025-$3.69+$2.08
Q4 2024-$4.69+$1.05

RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.

RVLV Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.38Q1 2024: $0.34Q2 2024: $0.45Q3 2024: $0.56Q4 2024: $0.69Q1 2025: $0.70Q2 2025: $0.63Q3 2025: $0.77Q4 2025: $0.86Q1 2026: $0.90Q2 2026: $1.02Q3 2026: $0.93Forward: $0.89
Q4 2023: $0.38Q1 2024: $0.34Q2 2024: $0.45Q3 2024: $0.56Q4 2024: $0.69Q1 2025: $0.70Q2 2025: $0.63Q3 2025: $0.77Q4 2025: $0.86Q1 2026: $0.90Q2 2026: $1.02Q3 2026: $0.93Forward: $0.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.89-4.5%
Q3 2026$0.93+21%
Q2 2026$1.02+62%
Q1 2026$0.90+29%
Q4 2025$0.86+25%
Q3 2025$0.77+38%
Q2 2025$0.63+40%
Q1 2025$0.70+106%
Q4 2024$0.69+82%

RVLV has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RIVN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+38%
Q2 2026$1.7B+27%
Q1 2026$1.4B+11%
Q4 2025$1.3B-26%
Q3 2025$1.6B+78%
Q2 2025$1.3B+13%
Q1 2025$1.2B+3%
Q4 2024$1.7B+32%

RIVN's revenue is growing: $2.2B last quarter, up 38% from the same quarter a year ago.

RVLV Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $258MQ1 2024: $271MQ2 2024: $282MQ3 2024: $283MQ4 2024: $294MQ1 2025: $297MQ2 2025: $309MQ3 2025: $296MQ4 2025: $324MQ1 2026: $343MQ2 2026: $347MQ3 2026: $356M
Q4 2023: $258MQ1 2024: $271MQ2 2024: $282MQ3 2024: $283MQ4 2024: $294MQ1 2025: $297MQ2 2025: $309MQ3 2025: $296MQ4 2025: $324MQ1 2026: $343MQ2 2026: $347MQ3 2026: $356M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$356M+20%
Q2 2026$347.4M+12%
Q1 2026$342.9M+16%
Q4 2025$324.4M+10%
Q3 2025$295.6M+4.4%
Q2 2025$309M+9.4%
Q1 2025$296.7M+9.7%
Q4 2024$293.7M+14%

RVLV's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $356M last quarter, up 20% from the same quarter a year ago.

RIVN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.1B-$703M
Q2 2026-$849M-$451M
Q1 2026-$1.1B-$549M
Q4 2025-$1.1B-234%
Q3 2025-$421M+$732M
Q2 2025-$398M+$639M
Q1 2025-$526M+$997M
Q4 2024$856M+$2.3B

RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.

RVLV Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: $37MQ2 2024: −$26MQ3 2024: $8MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $43MQ2 2025: $10MQ3 2025: $7MQ4 2025: −$13MQ1 2026: $44MQ2 2026: −$11MQ3 2026: −$27M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: $37MQ2 2024: −$26MQ3 2024: $8MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $43MQ2 2025: $10MQ3 2025: $7MQ4 2025: −$13MQ1 2026: $44MQ2 2026: −$11MQ3 2026: −$27M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$27.4M-465%
Q2 2026-$11.1M-206%
Q1 2026$44.5M+2.5%
Q4 2025-$13.3M-736%
Q3 2025$7.5M-6.5%
Q2 2025$10.4M+$36.1M
Q1 2025$43.4M+18%
Q4 2024$2.1M+$7M

RVLV's free cash flow was −$7M over the past year, against $63M the year before.

RIVN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.1%+121M shares
1 year+19%+226M shares
3 years+52%+494M shares

RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.

RVLV Total Shares

Q4 2023: 74MQ1 2024: 72MQ2 2024: 72MQ3 2024: 72MQ4 2024: 72MQ1 2025: 72MQ2 2025: 72MQ3 2025: 72MQ4 2025: 72MQ1 2026: 72MQ2 2026: 72MQ3 2026: 72M
Q4 2023: 74MQ1 2024: 72MQ2 2024: 72MQ3 2024: 72MQ4 2024: 72MQ1 2025: 72MQ2 2025: 72MQ3 2025: 72MQ4 2025: 72MQ1 2026: 72MQ2 2026: 72MQ3 2026: 72M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-140K shares
1 year-0.2%-145K shares
3 years-2.5%-1.9M shares
5 years-4%-3M shares
Available history-0.1%-45K shares

RVLV has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RIVN Net Leverage

RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

RVLV Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -9.0xQ1 2024: -11.2xQ2 2024: -7.3xQ3 2024: -5.4xQ4 2024: -4.6xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -5.0xQ3 2025: -4.5xQ4 2025: -3.7xQ1 2026: -4.2xQ2 2026: -3.7xQ3 2026: -3.4x
Q4 2023: -9.0xQ1 2024: -11.2xQ2 2024: -7.3xQ3 2024: -5.4xQ4 2024: -4.6xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -5.0xQ3 2025: -4.5xQ4 2025: -3.7xQ1 2026: -4.2xQ2 2026: -3.7xQ3 2026: -3.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-3.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-3.7xNet Cash
Q1 2026-4.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.7xNet Cash
Q3 2025-4.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-5.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-4.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.6xNet Cash

RVLV has more cash than debt.

RIVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic25.6Neutral

RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

RVLV Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.0Neutral
Stochastic19.2Oversold

RVLV's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RVLV PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricRVLVSector medianRelative
PE20x18x12% above
PE %24745 pts below

RVLV is trading at 20x earnings, a 12% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

RIVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.33.9% below
20 week MA$15.115% below
50 week MA$15.919% below
100 week MA$14.713% below
200 week MA$15.115% below

RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

RVLV Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$21.111% below
20 week MA$22.416% below
50 week MA$23.921% below
100 week MA$23.721% below
200 week MA$21.914% below

RVLV is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 14% below its 200-week average.

RIVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$130.0$96.8-25%
2022$96.8$19.1-80%
2023$19.1$23.5+23%
2024$23.5$13.7-42%
2025$13.7$20.9+53%
2026 YTD$20.9$12.8-39%

RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.

RVLV Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$19.0$30.5+61%
2021$30.5$56.4+85%
2022$56.4$23.4-59%
2023$23.4$16.6-29%
2024$16.6$33.6+103%
2025$33.6$30.4-9.4%
2026 YTD$30.4$18.8-38%

RVLV has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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