RIVN

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

53
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

RIVN's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

RSI

Rush Street Interactive, Inc.

61
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

RSI has the edge over RIVN overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.

RIVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

RSI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Strong
Strong

RSI's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

RIVN PE Valuation

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RSI PE Valuation

RSI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RIVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RIVN's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RSI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for RSI, with profitability improving.

RIVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$19.04
Downside-31%$8.82

Calculated from the latest close: $12.80 on Nov 12.

RIVN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RSI, with less potential downside for the same potential upside.

RSI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$17.55
Downside-31%$8.09

Calculated from the latest close: $11.80 on Nov 12.

RSI trails RIVN on modeled risk to reward, with more potential downside for the same potential upside.

RIVN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.25+$0.83
Q2 2026-$2.58+$0.62
Q1 2026-$2.92+$0.77
Q4 2025-$3.07+$1.62
Q3 2025-$3.08+$2.52
Q2 2025-$3.20+$2.76
Q1 2025-$3.69+$2.08
Q4 2024-$4.69+$1.05

RSI has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is down 173% for RIVN versus RSI up 1,200%.

RSI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.27Q1 2024: $-0.17Q2 2024: $-0.09Q3 2024: $-0.02Q4 2024: $0.03Q1 2025: $0.09Q2 2025: $0.21Q3 2025: $0.26Forward: $0.73
Q4 2023: $-0.27Q1 2024: $-0.17Q2 2024: $-0.09Q3 2024: $-0.02Q4 2024: $0.03Q1 2025: $0.09Q2 2025: $0.21Q3 2025: $0.26Forward: $0.73
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.73+179%
Q3 2025$0.26+$0.28
Q2 2025$0.21+$0.30
Q1 2025$0.09+$0.26
Q4 2024$0.03+$0.30
Q3 2024-$0.02+$0.37
Q2 2024-$0.09+$0.34
Q1 2024-$0.17+$0.31
Q4 2023-$0.27+$0.34

RSI has returned to profit: it earned $0.26 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

RIVN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+38%
Q2 2026$1.7B+27%
Q1 2026$1.4B+11%
Q4 2025$1.3B-26%
Q3 2025$1.6B+78%
Q2 2025$1.3B+13%
Q1 2025$1.2B+3%
Q4 2024$1.7B+32%

RIVN's revenue is growing: $2.2B last quarter, up 38% from the same quarter a year ago.

RSI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $194MQ1 2024: $217MQ2 2024: $220MQ3 2024: $232MQ4 2024: $254MQ1 2025: $262MQ2 2025: $269MQ3 2025: $278MQ4 2025: $325MQ1 2026: $370MQ2 2026: $394MQ3 2026: $386M
Q4 2023: $194MQ1 2024: $217MQ2 2024: $220MQ3 2024: $232MQ4 2024: $254MQ1 2025: $262MQ2 2025: $269MQ3 2025: $278MQ4 2025: $325MQ1 2026: $370MQ2 2026: $394MQ3 2026: $386M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$385.9M+39%
Q2 2026$393.8M+46%
Q1 2026$370.4M+41%
Q4 2025$324.9M+28%
Q3 2025$277.9M+20%
Q2 2025$269.2M+22%
Q1 2025$262.4M+21%
Q4 2024$254.2M+31%

RSI has the edge over RIVN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RIVN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.1B-$703M
Q2 2026-$849M-$451M
Q1 2026-$1.1B-$549M
Q4 2025-$1.1B-234%
Q3 2025-$421M+$732M
Q2 2025-$398M+$639M
Q1 2025-$526M+$997M
Q4 2024$856M+$2.3B

RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.

RSI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $546,000Q1 2024: $31MQ2 2024: $20MQ3 2024: $29MQ4 2024: $26MQ1 2025: $29MQ2 2025: $26MQ3 2025: $41MQ4 2025: $69MQ1 2026: $20MQ2 2026: $52MQ3 2026: $70M
Q4 2023: $546,000Q1 2024: $31MQ2 2024: $20MQ3 2024: $29MQ4 2024: $26MQ1 2025: $29MQ2 2025: $26MQ3 2025: $41MQ4 2025: $69MQ1 2026: $20MQ2 2026: $52MQ3 2026: $70M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$70.3M+71%
Q2 2026$51.7M+102%
Q1 2026$19.9M-30%
Q4 2025$68.9M+168%
Q3 2025$41.2M+41%
Q2 2025$25.6M+29%
Q1 2025$28.6M-6.8%
Q4 2024$25.7M+4612%

RSI has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RIVN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.1%+121M shares
1 year+19%+226M shares
3 years+52%+494M shares

RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.

RSI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 69MQ1 2024: 76MQ2 2024: 80MQ3 2024: 233MQ1 2025: 234MQ2 2025: 235MQ3 2025: 236MQ4 2025: 236MQ1 2026: 107MQ2 2026: 116MQ3 2026: 121M
Q4 2023: 69MQ1 2024: 76MQ2 2024: 80MQ3 2024: 233MQ1 2025: 234MQ2 2025: 235MQ3 2025: 236MQ4 2025: 236MQ1 2026: 107MQ2 2026: 116MQ3 2026: 121M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+4.2%+4.9M shares
1 year-49%-116M shares
3 years+79%+53.5M shares
5 years+104%+61.7M shares

RSI has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RIVN Net Leverage

RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

RSI Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -61.5xQ2 2024: -9.2xQ3 2024: -5.5xQ4 2024: -4.1xQ1 2025: -3.2xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.5xQ4 2025: -2.7xQ1 2026: -2.1xQ2 2026: -1.9xQ3 2026: -1.9x
Q1 2024: -61.5xQ2 2024: -9.2xQ3 2024: -5.5xQ4 2024: -4.1xQ1 2025: -3.2xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.5xQ4 2025: -2.7xQ1 2026: -2.1xQ2 2026: -1.9xQ3 2026: -1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.9xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.9xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.7xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.2xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.1xNet Cash

RSI has more cash than debt.

RIVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic25.6Neutral

RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

RSI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI23.5Oversold
Stochastic3.4Oversold

RSI's weekly RSI is 24 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 3 (oversold).

RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RSI PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricRSISector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

RSI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RIVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.33.9% below
20 week MA$15.115% below
50 week MA$15.919% below
100 week MA$14.713% below
200 week MA$15.115% below

RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

RSI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$16.227% below
20 week MA$23.249% below
50 week MA$22.648% below
100 week MA$19.038% below
200 week MA$12.66.4% below

RSI is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 6.4% below its 200-week average.

RIVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$130.0$96.8-25%
2022$96.8$19.1-80%
2023$19.1$23.5+23%
2024$23.5$13.7-42%
2025$13.7$20.9+53%
2026 YTD$20.9$12.8-39%

RIVN has the edge over RSI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RSI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.62$23.9+149%
2021$23.9$17.0-29%
2022$17.0$3.02-82%
2023$3.02$4.49+49%
2024$4.49$13.7+206%
2025$13.7$19.5+42%
2026 YTD$19.5$11.8-39%

RSI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +206% in 2024 to −82% in 2022. It's down 39% so far in 2026.

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