RIVN
Rivian Automotive, Inc.
RIVN has the edge over RRR overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.
RRR
Red Rock Resorts, Inc.
RRR has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
RIVN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
RRR Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak |
RRR's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.
RIVN PE Valuation
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RRR PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 12x | $23.83 | -52% |
| Fair | 18x | $35.23 | -28% |
| Forward | 19x | $49.19 | — |
| Expensive | 21x | $40.91 | -17% |
| Current | 25x | $49.19 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
RRR's PE is in its expensive range at 25x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
RIVN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
RIVN has the edge over RRR on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
RRR Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for RRR, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
RIVN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.25 | +$0.83 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.58 | +$0.62 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.92 | +$0.77 |
| Q4 2025 | -$3.07 | +$1.62 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.08 | +$2.52 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.20 | +$2.76 |
| Q1 2025 | -$3.69 | +$2.08 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.69 | +$1.05 |
RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.
RRR Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.63 | +34% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.97 | -38% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.82 | -4.7% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.10 | +19% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.12 | +23% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.16 | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.96 | +5.3% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.60 | -9.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.53 | -14% |
RRR has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
RIVN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.2B | +38% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.7B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | -26% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.6B | +78% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.3B | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.2B | +3% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.7B | +32% |
RIVN has the edge over RRR on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -41% | +22 points |
| Q2 2026 | -50% | +35 points |
| Q1 2026 | -64% | -11 points |
| Q4 2025 | -65% | -27 points |
| Q3 2025 | -63% | +71 points |
| Q2 2025 | -86% | +33 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +70 points |
| Q4 2024 | -38% | +82 points |
RIVN's operating margin was −41% last quarter, up 22 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2021.
RRR Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $488.7M | +2.8% |
| Q2 2026 | $510.3M | -3% |
| Q1 2026 | $507.3M | +1.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $511.8M | +3.2% |
| Q3 2025 | $475.6M | +1.6% |
| Q2 2025 | $526.3M | +8.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $497.9M | +1.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $495.7M | +7.1% |
RRR's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $489M last quarter, up 2.8% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 5.5% | -22 points |
| Q2 2026 | 27% | -5.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 28% | -2.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 28% | -0.7 points |
| Q3 2025 | 28% | -0.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 32% | +3.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 31% | -0.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 29% | -8.4 points |
RRR has the edge over RIVN on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RIVN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.1B | -$703M |
| Q2 2026 | -$849M | -$451M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -$549M |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.1B | -234% |
| Q3 2025 | -$421M | +$732M |
| Q2 2025 | -$398M | +$639M |
| Q1 2025 | -$526M | +$997M |
| Q4 2024 | $856M | +$2.3B |
RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.
RRR Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$67.7M | -191% |
| Q2 2026 | $18.2M | -77% |
| Q1 2026 | $22.6M | -61% |
| Q4 2025 | $77.7M | -36% |
| Q3 2025 | $74.6M | +47% |
| Q2 2025 | $80.3M | +25% |
| Q1 2025 | $58M | +104% |
| Q4 2024 | $121.4M | +$149.4M |
RRR has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RIVN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +9.1% | +121M shares |
| 1 year | +19% | +226M shares |
| 3 years | +52% | +494M shares |
RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2021 | — |
| Q1 2021 | — |
| Q4 2020 | $6M |
| Q3 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
RRR Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.3% | -740K shares |
| 1 year | -43% | -44.6M shares |
| 3 years | -44% | -45.1M shares |
| 5 years | -50% | -58.4M shares |
| Available history | -17% | -11.5M shares |
RRR has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $26.7M |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $38.3M |
| Q4 2025 | $48.2M |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
RRR spent $113M buying back its own shares over the past year.
RIVN Net Leverage
RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
RRR Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 5.3x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 4.5x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 4.3x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 4.1x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 4.1x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 4.1x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 4.3x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 4.3x | High |
RRR's net debt is about 5.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 4.1 years a year ago.
RIVN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 25.6 | Neutral |
RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).
RRR Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 11.4 | Oversold |
RRR's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).
RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RRR PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | RRR | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 25x | 18x | 39% above |
| PE % | 90 | 47 | 43 pts above |
RRR is trading at 25x earnings, a 39% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
RIVN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $13.3 | 3.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $15.9 | 19% below |
| 100 week MA | $14.7 | 13% below |
| 200 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.
RRR Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $49.5 | 0.6% below |
| 20 week MA | $56.3 | 13% below |
| 50 week MA | $58.1 | 15% below |
| 100 week MA | $54.8 | 10% below |
| 200 week MA | $52.3 | 6% below |
RRR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 6% below its 200-week average.
RIVN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $130.0 | $96.8 | -25% |
| 2022 | $96.8 | $19.1 | -80% |
| 2023 | $19.1 | $23.5 | +23% |
| 2024 | $23.5 | $13.7 | -42% |
| 2025 | $13.7 | $20.9 | +53% |
| 2026 YTD | $20.9 | $12.8 | -39% |
RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.
RRR Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $24.0 | $25.5 | +6.4% |
| 2021 | $25.5 | $52.7 | +106% |
| 2022 | $52.7 | $40.1 | -24% |
| 2023 | $40.1 | $53.3 | +33% |
| 2024 | $53.3 | $46.2 | -13% |
| 2025 | $46.2 | $62.7 | +36% |
| 2026 YTD | $62.7 | $49.2 | -22% |
RRR has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.