RIVN
Rivian Automotive, Inc.
RIVN offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
ROL
Rollins, Inc.
ROL has the edge over RIVN overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.
RIVN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
ROL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy |
ROL's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.
RIVN PE Valuation
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ROL PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 31x | $37.91 | — |
| Current | 35x | $37.91 | — |
| Cheap | 48x | $52.17 | +38% |
| Fair | 53x | $57.70 | +52% |
| Expensive | 60x | $65.31 | +72% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ROL's PE is in its cheap range at 35x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 31x.
RIVN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
RIVN has the edge over ROL on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.
ROL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect ROL's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken.
RIVN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.25 | +$0.83 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.58 | +$0.62 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.92 | +$0.77 |
| Q4 2025 | -$3.07 | +$1.62 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.08 | +$2.52 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.20 | +$2.76 |
| Q1 2025 | -$3.69 | +$2.08 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.69 | +$1.05 |
RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.
ROL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.20 | +11% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.09 | +1.9% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.10 | +8.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.09 | +10% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.09 | +14% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.07 | +10% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.01 | +6.3% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.99 | +10% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.96 | +7.9% |
ROL has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
RIVN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.2B | +38% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.7B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | -26% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.6B | +78% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.3B | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.2B | +3% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.7B | +32% |
RIVN's revenue is growing: $2.2B last quarter, up 38% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -41% | +22 points |
| Q2 2026 | -50% | +35 points |
| Q1 2026 | -64% | -11 points |
| Q4 2025 | -65% | -27 points |
| Q3 2025 | -63% | +71 points |
| Q2 2025 | -86% | +33 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +70 points |
| Q4 2024 | -38% | +82 points |
RIVN's operating margin was −41% last quarter, up 22 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2021.
ROL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.1B | +6.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.1B | +7.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $906.4M | +10% |
| Q4 2025 | $912.9M | +9.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $1B | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $999.5M | +12% |
| Q1 2025 | $822.5M | +9.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $832.2M | +10% |
ROL's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $1.1B last quarter, up 6.2% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 20% | -1.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 19% | -1.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 16% | -1.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 18% | -0.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 22% | +1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 20% | -0.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 17% | -0.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 18% | -0.3 points |
ROL has the edge over RIVN on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RIVN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.1B | -$703M |
| Q2 2026 | -$849M | -$451M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -$549M |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.1B | -234% |
| Q3 2025 | -$421M | +$732M |
| Q2 2025 | -$398M | +$639M |
| Q1 2025 | -$526M | +$997M |
| Q4 2024 | $856M | +$2.3B |
RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.
ROL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $235.5M | +29% |
| Q2 2026 | $166.1M | -1.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $111.2M | -21% |
| Q4 2025 | $159M | -14% |
| Q3 2025 | $182.8M | +31% |
| Q2 2025 | $168M | +23% |
| Q1 2025 | $140.1M | +17% |
| Q4 2024 | $184M | +30% |
ROL has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RIVN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +9.1% | +121M shares |
| 1 year | +19% | +226M shares |
| 3 years | +52% | +494M shares |
RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2021 | — |
| Q1 2021 | — |
| Q4 2020 | $6M |
| Q3 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
ROL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.5% | -2.4M shares |
| 1 year | -1.2% | -5.7M shares |
| 3 years | -2.4% | -12M shares |
| 5 years | -2.7% | -13.1M shares |
| Available history | -2.5% | -12.2M shares |
ROL has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $120.1M |
| Q2 2026 | $20M |
| Q1 2026 | $22.4M |
| Q4 2025 | $198.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $3.7M |
| Q2 2025 | $251,000 |
| Q1 2025 | $14.7M |
| Q4 2024 | $72,000 |
ROL spent $361M buying back its own shares over the past year, more than ten times what it spent the year before.
RIVN Net Leverage
RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
ROL Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.4x | Very low |
ROL's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
RIVN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 25.6 | Neutral |
RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).
ROL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 45.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 72.8 | Neutral |
ROL's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).
RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ROL PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | ROL | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 35x | 18x | 93% above |
| PE % | 4 | 47 | 43 pts below |
ROL is trading at 35x earnings, a 93% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
RIVN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $13.3 | 3.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $15.9 | 19% below |
| 100 week MA | $14.7 | 13% below |
| 200 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.
ROL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $33.9 | 12% above |
| 20 week MA | $36.5 | 3.7% above |
| 50 week MA | $48.2 | 21% below |
| 100 week MA | $51.5 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $47.3 | 20% below |
ROL has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
RIVN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $130.0 | $96.8 | -25% |
| 2022 | $96.8 | $19.1 | -80% |
| 2023 | $19.1 | $23.5 | +23% |
| 2024 | $23.5 | $13.7 | -42% |
| 2025 | $13.7 | $20.9 | +53% |
| 2026 YTD | $20.9 | $12.8 | -39% |
RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.
ROL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $21.8 | $40.1 | +84% |
| 2021 | $40.1 | $32.8 | -18% |
| 2022 | $32.8 | $37.1 | +13% |
| 2023 | $37.1 | $43.7 | +18% |
| 2024 | $43.7 | $46.7 | +6.9% |
| 2025 | $46.7 | $60.6 | +30% |
| 2026 YTD | $60.6 | $37.9 | -37% |
ROL has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.