RIGL

Rigel Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

64
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

RIGL has a slight edge over UNH overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

UNH

UnitedHealth Group Incorporated

62
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation56/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

UNH has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

RIGL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Strong
Strong
Strong

RIGL's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong, but its revenue is under pressure.

UNH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Healthy

UNH's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

RIGL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE30x60x90x120x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE30x60x90x120x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap2x$31.38-31%
Current2.8x$45.69—
Fair6.3x$102+122%
Forward13x$45.69—
Expensive20x$329+620%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

RIGL has the edge over UNH in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

UNH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward18x$405—
Cheap19x$325-20%
Fair23x$410+1.2%
Current23x$405—
Expensive30x$526+30%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

UNH's PE is in its fair range at 23x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

RIGL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for RIGL, but weaker profitability.

UNH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect UNH's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RIGL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+54%$70.20
Downside-35%$29.62

Calculated from the latest close: $45.69 on Nov 12.

RIGL trails UNH on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

UNH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$550.65
Downside-15%$346.07

Calculated from the latest close: $405.13 on Nov 12.

UNH has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RIGL, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RIGL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.40Q1 2024: $-1.10Q2 2024: $-0.76Q3 2024: $0.24Q4 2024: $0.99Q1 2025: $2.12Q2 2025: $5.46Q3 2025: $6.22Q4 2025: $19.48Q1 2026: $19.29Q2 2026: $16.89Q3 2026: $16.08Forward: $3.54
Q4 2023: $-1.40Q1 2024: $-1.10Q2 2024: $-0.76Q3 2024: $0.24Q4 2024: $0.99Q1 2025: $2.12Q2 2025: $5.46Q3 2025: $6.22Q4 2025: $19.48Q1 2026: $19.29Q2 2026: $16.89Q3 2026: $16.08Forward: $3.54
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.54-78%
Q3 2026$16.08+159%
Q2 2026$16.89+209%
Q1 2026$19.29+810%
Q4 2025$19.48+1868%
Q3 2025$6.22+2492%
Q2 2025$5.46+$6.22
Q1 2025$2.12+$3.22
Q4 2024$0.99+$2.39

RIGL has the edge over UNH on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

UNH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$22.65+29%
Q3 2026$17.55-8.5%
Q2 2026$15.58-33%
Q1 2026$13.28-44%
Q4 2025$13.23-15%
Q3 2025$19.17+25%
Q2 2025$23.09+53%
Q1 2025$23.89+46%
Q4 2024$15.51-35%

UNH's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $17.55 over the past year, against $23.89 in early 2025.

RIGL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $36MQ1 2024: $30MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $55MQ4 2024: $58MQ1 2025: $53MQ2 2025: $102MQ3 2025: $69MQ4 2025: $70MQ1 2026: $59MQ2 2026: $79MQ3 2026: $81M
Q4 2023: $36MQ1 2024: $30MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $55MQ4 2024: $58MQ1 2025: $53MQ2 2025: $102MQ3 2025: $69MQ4 2025: $70MQ1 2026: $59MQ2 2026: $79MQ3 2026: $81M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$80.9M+16%
Q2 2026$78.7M-23%
Q1 2026$58.8M+10%
Q4 2025$69.8M+21%
Q3 2025$69.5M+26%
Q2 2025$101.7M+176%
Q1 2025$53.3M+81%
Q4 2024$57.6M+61%

RIGL has the edge over UNH on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

UNH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$112.7B-0.4%
Q2 2026$112B+0.4%
Q1 2026$111.7B+2%
Q4 2025$113.2B+12%
Q3 2025$113.2B+12%
Q2 2025$111.6B+13%
Q1 2025$109.6B+9.8%
Q4 2024$100.8B+6.8%

UNH's revenue has held roughly level: $113B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

RIGL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: −$5MQ2 2024: $302,000Q3 2024: $22MQ4 2024: $15MQ1 2025: −$893,000Q2 2025: $31MQ3 2025: $24MQ4 2025: $22MQ1 2026: $3MQ2 2026: $31MQ3 2026: $35M
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: −$5MQ2 2024: $302,000Q3 2024: $22MQ4 2024: $15MQ1 2025: −$893,000Q2 2025: $31MQ3 2025: $24MQ4 2025: $22MQ1 2026: $3MQ2 2026: $31MQ3 2026: $35M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$34.6M+44%
Q2 2026$30.7M+0.4%
Q1 2026$2.7M+$3.6M
Q4 2025$22M+52%
Q3 2025$24M+11%
Q2 2025$30.5M+10012%
Q1 2025-$893K+$4.1M
Q4 2022-$22M-$2.9M

RIGL has the edge over UNH on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

UNH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$4.3B-16%
Q2 2026$10.3B+63%
Q1 2026$8.1B+79%
Q4 2025$160M-89%
Q3 2025$5.1B-61%
Q2 2025$6.3B+6.9%
Q1 2025$4.6B+1037%
Q4 2024$1.5B+$7.6B

UNH still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2022 peak: $22.8B over the past year.

RIGL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 17MQ1 2024: 18MQ2 2024: 18MQ3 2024: 18MQ4 2024: 18MQ1 2025: 18MQ2 2025: 18MQ3 2025: 19MQ4 2025: 19MQ1 2026: 20MQ2 2026: 20MQ3 2026: 20M
Q4 2023: 17MQ1 2024: 18MQ2 2024: 18MQ3 2024: 18MQ4 2024: 18MQ1 2025: 18MQ2 2025: 18MQ3 2025: 19MQ4 2025: 19MQ1 2026: 20MQ2 2026: 20MQ3 2026: 20M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+4.4%+869K shares
1 year+6.7%+1.3M shares
3 years+17%+3M shares
5 years+20%+3.4M shares
Available history+22%+3.7M shares

RIGL has 20M diluted shares, up 6.7% from a year ago.

UNH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-4M shares
1 year-0.7%-6M shares
3 years-3.6%-34M shares
5 years-5.5%-53M shares
Available history-6.6%-64M shares

UNH has the edge over RIGL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RIGL Net Leverage

Q3 2024: 0.7xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: -0.7xQ3 2026: -0.6x
Q3 2024: 0.7xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: -0.7xQ3 2026: -0.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20250.1xVery low
Q3 20250.1xVery low
Q2 20250.1xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.1xVery low

RIGL has the edge over UNH on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

UNH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.7xHealthy
Q2 20261.7xHealthy
Q1 20262.2xModerate
Q4 20252.3xModerate
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.5xHealthy
Q1 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20241.4xHealthy

UNH's net debt is about 1.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

RIGL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.3Neutral
Stochastic55.3Neutral

RIGL's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 55 (neutral).

UNH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.4Neutral
Stochastic60.0Neutral

UNH's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 60 (neutral).

RIGL PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricRIGLSector medianRelative
PE2.8x26x89% below
PE %30291 pt above

RIGL has the edge over UNH on valuation relative to its sector.

UNH PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricUNHSector medianRelative
PE23x26x11% below
PE %472918 pts above

UNH is trading at 23x earnings, a 11% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

RIGL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$46.92.6% below
20 week MA$44.42.9% above
50 week MA$38.020% above
100 week MA$31.645% above
200 week MA$22.4104% above

RIGL's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 104% above its 200-week average.

UNH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$394.22.8% above
20 week MA$400.51.2% above
50 week MA$361.212% above
100 week MA$376.07.8% above
200 week MA$446.69.3% below

UNH has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20-, 50- and 100-week averages, but 9.3% below its 200-week average.

RIGL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$20.8$36.9+77%
2021$36.9$28.4-23%
2022$28.4$12.3-57%
2023$12.3$14.5+18%
2024$14.5$16.5+14%
2025$16.5$44.0+167%
2026 YTD$44.0$45.7+3.8%

RIGL's yearly returns have swung widely, from +167% in 2025 to −57% in 2022. It's up 3.8% so far in 2026.

UNH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$296.0$340.8+15%
2021$340.8$495.4+45%
2022$495.4$531.3+7.3%
2023$531.3$526.5-0.9%
2024$526.5$510.0-3.1%
2025$510.0$331.8-35%
2026 YTD$331.8$405.1+22%

UNH has the edge over RIGL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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