RIG

Transocean Ltd.

59
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential32/ 100

RIG's fundamentals are strong: its operating margin went from −63% to 20% and it turned 20% of its revenue into free cash flow. Its PE isn't a useful guide right now because of how its recent earnings were reported.

RIG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Healthy
Strong
Under pressure

RIG's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, but its revenue and balance sheet are under pressure.

RIG PE Valuation

LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward20x$5.32—
Cheap26x$3.97-25%
Fair29x$4.32-19%
Expensive31x$4.69-12%
Current36x$5.32—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

RIG's PE is 36x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

RIG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RIG's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RIG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+46%$7.76
Downside-32%$3.63

Calculated from the latest close: $5.32 on Nov 12.

RIG's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +46% against −32%.

RIG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.24Q1 2024: $-0.49Q2 2024: $-0.42Q3 2024: $-0.72Q4 2025: $-3.14Q1 2026: $-2.97Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $0.15Forward: $0.26
Q4 2023: $-1.24Q1 2024: $-0.49Q2 2024: $-0.42Q3 2024: $-0.72Q4 2025: $-3.14Q1 2026: $-2.97Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $0.15Forward: $0.26
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.26+74%
Q3 2024-$0.72+$0.91
Q2 2024-$0.42+$0.97
Q1 2024-$0.49+$0.78
Q4 2023-$1.24-$0.35
Q3 2023-$1.63-$0.83
Q2 2023-$1.39-$0.43
Q1 2023-$1.27-$0.24
Q4 2022-$0.89+$0.04

RIG has returned to profit: it earned $0.15 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

RIG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $741MQ1 2024: $763MQ2 2024: $861MQ3 2024: $948MQ4 2024: $952MQ1 2025: $906MQ2 2025: $988MQ3 2025: $1BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $966MQ3 2026: $937M
Q4 2023: $741MQ1 2024: $763MQ2 2024: $861MQ3 2024: $948MQ4 2024: $952MQ1 2025: $906MQ2 2025: $988MQ3 2025: $1BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $966MQ3 2026: $937M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$937M-8.9%
Q2 2026$966M-2.2%
Q1 2026$1.1B+19%
Q4 2025$1B+9.6%
Q3 2025$1B+8.4%
Q2 2025$988M+15%
Q1 2025$906M+19%
Q4 2024$952M+28%

RIG's revenue has held roughly level: $937M last quarter, down 8.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

RIG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$122MQ1 2024: −$169MQ2 2024: $49MQ3 2024: $136MQ4 2024: $177MQ1 2025: −$34MQ2 2025: $104MQ3 2025: $235MQ4 2025: $321MQ1 2026: $136MQ2 2026: $212MQ3 2026: $131M
Q4 2023: −$122MQ1 2024: −$169MQ2 2024: $49MQ3 2024: $136MQ4 2024: $177MQ1 2025: −$34MQ2 2025: $104MQ3 2025: $235MQ4 2025: $321MQ1 2026: $136MQ2 2026: $212MQ3 2026: $131M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$131M-44%
Q2 2026$212M+104%
Q1 2026$136M+$170M
Q4 2025$321M+81%
Q3 2025$235M+73%
Q2 2025$104M+112%
Q1 2025-$34M+$135M
Q4 2024$177M+$299M

RIG generated $800M in free cash flow over the past year, up 66% from the year before.

RIG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 768MQ1 2024: 955MQ3 2024: 954MQ4 2024: 925MQ1 2025: 958MQ2 2025: 888MQ3 2025: 961MQ4 2025: 960MQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.2BQ3 2026: 1.1B
Q4 2023: 768MQ1 2024: 955MQ3 2024: 954MQ4 2024: 925MQ1 2025: 958MQ2 2025: 888MQ3 2025: 961MQ4 2025: 960MQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.2BQ3 2026: 1.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-6.2%-75M shares
1 year+17%+166M shares
3 years+48%+366M shares
5 years+81%+506M shares
Available history+84%+514M shares

RIG has 1.1B diluted shares, up 17% from a year ago.

RIG Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 15.9xQ1 2024: 11.8xQ2 2024: 12.3xQ3 2024: 52.2xQ4 2024: 19.6xQ1 2025: 16.8xQ3 2026: 3.2x
Q4 2023: 15.9xQ1 2024: 11.8xQ2 2024: 12.3xQ3 2024: 52.2xQ4 2024: 19.6xQ1 2025: 16.8xQ3 2026: 3.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.2xElevated
Q1 202516.8xHigh
Q4 202419.6xHigh
Q3 202452.2xHigh
Q2 202412.3xHigh
Q1 202411.8xHigh
Q4 202315.9xHigh
Q3 202315.8xHigh

RIG's net debt is about 3.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 12 years a year ago.

RIG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.4Neutral
Stochastic39.8Neutral

RIG's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 40 (neutral).

RIG PE vs Energy Sector

MetricRIGSector medianRelative
PE36x13x178% above

RIG is trading at 36x earnings, a 178% premium to the Energy sector's median of 13x, though its earnings don't support one.

RIG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$5.706.7% below
20 week MA$5.584.7% below
50 week MA$5.645.7% below
100 week MA$4.4121% above
200 week MA$5.221.9% above

RIG has slipped below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, though it's still 1.9% above its 200-week average.

RIG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$6.57$2.20-67%
2021$2.20$3.05+39%
2022$3.05$4.67+53%
2023$4.67$6.35+36%
2024$6.35$3.53-44%
2025$3.53$4.02+14%
2026 YTD$4.02$5.32+32%

RIG has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 32% so far in 2026.

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