RGR

Sturm, Ruger & Company, Inc.

57
Fundamentals74/ 100
Valuation9/ 100
Upside potential67/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

RGR has a slight edge over RKLB overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

RKLB

Rocket Lab USA, Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

RKLB offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

RGR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Stable
Strong

RGR's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

RKLB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

RKLB's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

RGR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE77x154x231x307x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE77x154x231x307x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8.9x$8.97-82%
Fair17x$17.19-65%
Expensive31x$31.06-37%
Current49x$49.46—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

RGR's PE is in its expensive range at 49x.

RKLB PE Valuation

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RGR Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for RGR to show an outlook.

RKLB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RKLB's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RGR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$62.56
Downside-13%$43.14

Calculated from the latest close: $49.46 on Nov 12.

RGR has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RKLB, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RKLB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+88%$120.71
Downside-46%$34.64

Calculated from the latest close: $64.07 on Nov 12.

RKLB trails RGR on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RGR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.72Q1 2024: $2.31Q2 2024: $1.87Q3 2024: $1.73Q4 2024: $1.77Q1 2025: $1.83Q2 2025: $0.31Q3 2025: $0.13Q4 2025: $-0.28Q1 2026: $-0.73Q2 2026: $0.75Q3 2026: $1.01
Q4 2023: $2.72Q1 2024: $2.31Q2 2024: $1.87Q3 2024: $1.73Q4 2024: $1.77Q1 2025: $1.83Q2 2025: $0.31Q3 2025: $0.13Q4 2025: $-0.28Q1 2026: $-0.73Q2 2026: $0.75Q3 2026: $1.01
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$1.01+677%
Q2 2026$0.75+142%
Q1 2026-$0.73-140%
Q4 2025-$0.28-116%
Q3 2025$0.13-92%
Q2 2025$0.31-83%
Q1 2025$1.83-21%
Q4 2024$1.77-35%

RGR has the edge over RKLB on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RKLB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.36+$0.03
Q2 2026-$0.27+$0.19
Q1 2026-$0.32+$0.09
Q4 2025-$0.37+$0.01
Q3 2025-$0.39-$0.02
Q2 2025-$0.46-$0.11
Q1 2025-$0.41-$0.04
Q4 2024-$0.38$0.00

RKLB is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.36 per share over the past year, against $0.46 at its worst in mid-2025.

RGR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $131MQ1 2024: $137MQ2 2024: $131MQ3 2024: $122MQ4 2024: $146MQ1 2025: $136MQ2 2025: $132MQ3 2025: $127MQ4 2025: $151MQ1 2026: $141MQ2 2026: $158MQ3 2026: $148M
Q4 2023: $131MQ1 2024: $137MQ2 2024: $131MQ3 2024: $122MQ4 2024: $146MQ1 2025: $136MQ2 2025: $132MQ3 2025: $127MQ4 2025: $151MQ1 2026: $141MQ2 2026: $158MQ3 2026: $148M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$147.6M+16%
Q2 2026$158.1M+19%
Q1 2026$141.4M+4.1%
Q4 2025$151.1M+3.6%
Q3 2025$126.8M+3.7%
Q2 2025$132.5M+1.3%
Q1 2025$135.7M-0.8%
Q4 2024$145.8M+12%

RGR's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $148M last quarter, up 16% from the same quarter a year ago.

RKLB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$267.8M+73%
Q2 2026$234.1M+62%
Q1 2026$200.3M+63%
Q4 2025$179.7M+36%
Q3 2025$155.1M+48%
Q2 2025$144.5M+36%
Q1 2025$122.6M+32%
Q4 2024$132.4M+121%

RKLB has the edge over RGR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RGR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $12MQ1 2024: $6MQ2 2024: $10MQ3 2024: $3MQ4 2024: $16MQ1 2025: $10MQ2 2025: $9MQ3 2025: $7MQ4 2025: $12MQ1 2026: $14MQ2 2026: $14MQ3 2026: −$13M
Q4 2023: $12MQ1 2024: $6MQ2 2024: $10MQ3 2024: $3MQ4 2024: $16MQ1 2025: $10MQ2 2025: $9MQ3 2025: $7MQ4 2025: $12MQ1 2026: $14MQ2 2026: $14MQ3 2026: −$13M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$12.7M-282%
Q2 2026$14.1M+54%
Q1 2026$14M+39%
Q4 2025$12.3M-25%
Q3 2025$7M+168%
Q2 2025$9.1M-9.9%
Q1 2025$10M+80%
Q4 2024$16.4M+32%

RGR has the edge over RKLB on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RKLB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$23.9M+$45.5M
Q2 2026-$110.1M-$54.8M
Q1 2026-$77.4M+$5.5M
Q4 2025-$114.2M-$90.2M
Q3 2025-$69.4M-$27.5M
Q2 2025-$55.3M-$26.9M
Q1 2025-$82.9M-$61.1M
Q4 2024-$23.9M+$28.7M

RKLB has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$326M over the past year, against −$232M the year before.

RGR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 18MQ1 2024: 18MQ2 2024: 18MQ3 2024: 17MQ4 2024: 17MQ1 2025: 17MQ2 2025: 16MQ3 2025: 16MQ4 2025: 16MQ1 2026: 16MQ2 2026: 16MQ3 2026: 16M
Q4 2023: 18MQ1 2024: 18MQ2 2024: 18MQ3 2024: 17MQ4 2024: 17MQ1 2025: 17MQ2 2025: 16MQ3 2025: 16MQ4 2025: 16MQ1 2026: 16MQ2 2026: 16MQ3 2026: 16M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+25.2K shares
1 year-0.4%-70.2K shares
3 years-8.9%-1.6M shares
5 years-8.3%-1.5M shares
Available history-8.3%-1.5M shares

RGR has the edge over RKLB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RKLB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.6%+22.6M shares
1 year+23%+124M shares
3 years+35%+168M shares
5 years+46%+204M shares

RKLB has 652M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.

RGR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.2xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.9xQ3 2025: -0.9xQ4 2025: -1.8xQ1 2026: -40.4xQ2 2026: -1.0xQ3 2026: -0.6x
Q4 2023: -0.2xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.9xQ3 2025: -0.9xQ4 2025: -1.8xQ1 2026: -40.4xQ2 2026: -1.0xQ3 2026: -0.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-40.4xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.2xNet Cash

RGR has more cash than debt.

RKLB Net Leverage

RKLB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

RGR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI70.1Overbought
Stochastic72.3Neutral

RGR's weekly RSI is 70 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 72 (neutral).

RKLB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.8Neutral
Stochastic27.6Neutral

RKLB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

RGR PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricRGRSector medianRelative
PE49x24x103% above
PE %875829 pts above

RGR is trading at 49x earnings, a 103% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RGR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$45.49% above
20 week MA$41.021% above
50 week MA$39.326% above
100 week MA$38.230% above
200 week MA$42.915% above

RGR has the edge over RKLB on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RKLB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$61.44.3% above
20 week MA$68.15.9% below
50 week MA$77.617% below
100 week MA$56.513% above
200 week MA$31.4104% above

RKLB's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 104% above its 200-week average.

RGR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$46.6$67.2+44%
2021$67.2$66.4-1.2%
2022$66.4$51.6-22%
2023$51.6$45.5-12%
2024$45.5$34.7-24%
2025$34.7$32.3-6.9%
2026 YTD$32.3$49.5+53%

RGR has the edge over RKLB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RKLB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.82$10.3+4.9%
2021$10.3$12.0+17%
2022$12.0$3.77-69%
2023$3.77$5.53+47%
2024$5.53$27.2+392%
2025$27.2$70.7+160%
2026 YTD$70.7$64.1-9.3%

RKLB's yearly returns have swung widely, from +392% in 2024 to −69% in 2022. It's down 9.3% so far in 2026.

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