RF

Regions Financial Corporation

58
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

RF has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

SOFI

SoFi Technologies, Inc.

70
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation71/ 100
Upside potential80/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

SOFI has the edge over RF overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

RF Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

RF's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like RF.

SOFI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
N/A
N/A

SOFI's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SOFI.

RF PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.8x14x20x27x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.8x14x20x27x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8.1x$20.63-28%
Forward10x$28.51—
Fair11x$27.95-2%
Current11x$28.51—
Expensive13x$33.96+19%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

RF's PE is in its fair range at 11x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 10x next year's earnings.

SOFI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x78x116x155x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x78x116x155x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward19x$15.63—
Current28x$15.63—
Cheap33x$18.24+17%
Fair43x$23.82+52%
Expensive53x$29.74+90%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SOFI has the edge over RF in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

RF Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect RF's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

SOFI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

SOFI has the edge over RF on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

RF Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+24%$35.28
Downside-13%$24.76

Calculated from the latest close: $28.51 on Nov 12.

RF trails SOFI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SOFI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+79%$27.97
Downside-20%$12.51

Calculated from the latest close: $15.63 on Nov 12.

SOFI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RF, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RF Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.11Q1 2024: $1.86Q2 2024: $1.79Q3 2024: $1.79Q4 2024: $1.93Q1 2025: $2.07Q2 2025: $2.14Q3 2025: $2.26Q4 2025: $2.30Q1 2026: $2.41Q2 2026: $2.46Q3 2026: $2.56Forward: $2.80
Q4 2023: $2.11Q1 2024: $1.86Q2 2024: $1.79Q3 2024: $1.79Q4 2024: $1.93Q1 2025: $2.07Q2 2025: $2.14Q3 2025: $2.26Q4 2025: $2.30Q1 2026: $2.41Q2 2026: $2.46Q3 2026: $2.56Forward: $2.80
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.80+9.2%
Q3 2026$2.56+13%
Q2 2026$2.46+15%
Q1 2026$2.41+16%
Q4 2025$2.30+19%
Q3 2025$2.26+26%
Q2 2025$2.14+20%
Q1 2025$2.07+11%
Q4 2024$1.93-8.5%

RF has the edge over SOFI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SOFI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.36Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.22Q3 2024: $0.12Q4 2024: $0.39Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.56Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.45Q2 2026: $0.49Q3 2026: $0.56Forward: $0.82
Q4 2023: $-0.36Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.22Q3 2024: $0.12Q4 2024: $0.39Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.56Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.45Q2 2026: $0.49Q3 2026: $0.56Forward: $0.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.82+47%
Q3 2026$0.560%
Q2 2026$0.49-2%
Q1 2026$0.45+4.7%
Q4 2025$0.390%
Q3 2025$0.56+367%
Q2 2025$0.50+$0.72
Q1 2025$0.43+$0.72
Q4 2024$0.39+$0.75

SOFI earned $0.56 per share over the past year, about the same as the year before.

RF Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.8BQ1 2024: $1.7BQ2 2024: $1.7BQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: $1.8BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $1.9BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $1.9BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $2B
Q4 2023: $1.8BQ1 2024: $1.7BQ2 2024: $1.7BQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: $1.8BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $1.9BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $1.9BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2B+3%
Q2 2026$1.9B+0.1%
Q1 2026$1.9B+5%
Q4 2025$1.9B+5.8%
Q3 2025$1.9B+7%
Q2 2025$1.9B+10%
Q1 2025$1.8B+2.1%
Q4 2024$1.8B+0.2%

RF's revenue has grown year over year for eight quarters in a row: $2B last quarter, up 3% from the same quarter a year ago.

SOFI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $615MQ1 2024: $645MQ2 2024: $599MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $734MQ1 2025: $772MQ2 2025: $855MQ3 2025: $962MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $615MQ1 2024: $645MQ2 2024: $599MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $734MQ1 2025: $772MQ2 2025: $855MQ3 2025: $962MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+44%
Q2 2026$1.2B+43%
Q1 2026$1.1B+43%
Q4 2025$1B+40%
Q3 2025$961.6M+38%
Q2 2025$854.9M+43%
Q1 2025$771.8M+20%
Q4 2024$734.1M+19%

SOFI has the edge over RF on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

RF Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $855MQ1 2024: $396MQ2 2024: $161MQ3 2024: $1.3BQ4 2024: −$220MQ1 2025: $1.1BQ2 2025: $573MQ3 2025: $861MQ4 2025: −$319MQ1 2026: $867MQ2 2026: $369MQ3 2026: −$15M
Q4 2023: $855MQ1 2024: $396MQ2 2024: $161MQ3 2024: $1.3BQ4 2024: −$220MQ1 2025: $1.1BQ2 2025: $573MQ3 2025: $861MQ4 2025: −$319MQ1 2026: $867MQ2 2026: $369MQ3 2026: −$15M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$15M-102%
Q2 2026$369M-36%
Q1 2026$867M-19%
Q4 2025-$319M-$99M
Q3 2025$861M-32%
Q2 2025$573M+256%
Q1 2025$1.1B+169%
Q4 2024-$220M-126%

RF has the edge over SOFI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

SOFI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$282MQ1 2024: $706MQ2 2024: −$521MQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: −$242MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: −$1.4BQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$2.4BQ2 2026: −$4BQ3 2026: −$3.1B
Q4 2023: −$282MQ1 2024: $706MQ2 2024: −$521MQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: −$242MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: −$1.4BQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$2.4BQ2 2026: −$4BQ3 2026: −$3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$3.1B-$1.7B
Q2 2026-$4B-$2.5B
Q1 2026-$2.4B-$2.4B
Q4 2025-$1.1B-$815.2M
Q3 2025-$1.4B-$149M
Q2 2025-$1.5B-$1B
Q1 2025-$31.1M-104%
Q4 2024-$242.4M+$39.9M

SOFI's free cash flow was −$10.5B over the past year, against −$3.2B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.

RF Total Shares

Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 923MQ2 2024: 918MQ3 2024: 918MQ4 2024: 918MQ1 2025: 910MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 894MQ4 2025: 896MQ1 2026: 868MQ2 2026: 857MQ3 2026: 856M
Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 923MQ2 2024: 918MQ3 2024: 918MQ4 2024: 918MQ1 2025: 910MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 894MQ4 2025: 896MQ1 2026: 868MQ2 2026: 857MQ3 2026: 856M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-1M shares
1 year-4.3%-38M shares
3 years-8.9%-84M shares
5 years-11%-106M shares
Available history-14%-143M shares

RF has the edge over SOFI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SOFI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 945MQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.2BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 945MQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.2BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+5.8M shares
1 year+5.2%+66.8M shares
3 years+43%+407M shares
5 years+272%+993M shares

SOFI has 1.4B diluted shares, up 5.2% from a year ago.

RF Net Leverage

Q1 2024: 0.7xQ2 2024: 1.1xQ3 2024: 2.1xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.0xQ2 2025: 0.8xQ3 2025: 1.1xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 1.0xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 2.5x
Q1 2024: 0.7xQ2 2024: 1.1xQ3 2024: 2.1xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.0xQ2 2025: 0.8xQ3 2025: 1.1xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 1.0xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.5xModerate
Q2 20261.5xHealthy
Q1 20261.0xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20251.1xHealthy
Q2 20250.8xVery low
Q1 20251.0xHealthy
Q4 20241.4xHealthy

RF's net debt is about 2.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.1 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like RF.

SOFI Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -109.4xQ2 2024: -23.8xQ3 2024: -5.5xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -5.2xQ4 2025: -6.5xQ1 2026: -3.8xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -2.4x
Q1 2024: -109.4xQ2 2024: -23.8xQ3 2024: -5.5xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -5.2xQ4 2025: -6.5xQ1 2026: -3.8xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -2.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-5.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-4.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-4.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.8xNet Cash

SOFI has the edge over RF on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

RF Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.5Neutral
Stochastic38.2Neutral

RF's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 38 (neutral).

SOFI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.1Neutral
Stochastic41.5Neutral

SOFI's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

RF PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricRFSector medianRelative
PE11x13x14% below
PE %54639 pts below

RF has the edge over SOFI on valuation relative to its sector.

SOFI PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricSOFISector medianRelative
PE28x13x114% above
PE %26159 pts below

SOFI is trading at 28x earnings, a 114% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

RF Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$27.92.3% above
20 week MA$29.63.5% below
50 week MA$28.50% below
100 week MA$26.19.2% above
200 week MA$23.024% above

RF has the edge over SOFI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SOFI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$15.70.7% below
20 week MA$17.07.8% below
50 week MA$18.917% below
100 week MA$18.917% below
200 week MA$13.516% above

SOFI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 16% above its 200-week average.

RF Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$17.2$16.0-7.1%
2021$16.0$21.5+35%
2022$21.5$21.2-1.4%
2023$21.2$19.4-8.7%
2024$19.4$23.7+22%
2025$23.7$27.8+17%
2026 YTD$27.8$28.5+2.6%

RF has the edge over SOFI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SOFI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.4$12.4+19%
2021$12.4$15.1+22%
2022$15.1$4.61-69%
2023$4.61$9.95+116%
2024$9.95$16.0+61%
2025$16.0$27.1+69%
2026 YTD$27.1$15.6-42%

SOFI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +116% in 2023 to −69% in 2022. It's down 42% so far in 2026.

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