REYN

Reynolds Consumer Products Inc.

56
Fundamentals58/ 100
Valuation54/ 100
Upside potential38/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

REYN has a slight edge over RIVN overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

RIVN

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

53
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

RIVN offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

REYN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Stable

REYN's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.

RIVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

REYN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap15x$23.30-4.9%
Forward15x$24.50—
Current16x$24.50—
Fair18x$27.78+13%
Expensive22x$34.23+40%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

REYN's PE is in its cheap range at 16x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 15x.

RIVN PE Valuation

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

REYN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Stable
Stable
Weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect REYN's profitability to weaken, with its earnings and revenue holding steady.

RIVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

RIVN has the edge over REYN on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

REYN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+12%$27.32
Downside-19%$19.85

Calculated from the latest close: $24.50 on Nov 12.

REYN trails RIVN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RIVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$19.04
Downside-31%$8.82

Calculated from the latest close: $12.80 on Nov 12.

RIVN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than REYN, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

REYN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.42Q1 2024: $1.57Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $1.75Q4 2024: $1.67Q1 2025: $1.59Q2 2025: $1.48Q3 2025: $1.45Q4 2025: $1.43Q1 2026: $1.56Q2 2026: $1.63Q3 2026: $1.53Forward: $1.64
Q4 2023: $1.42Q1 2024: $1.57Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $1.75Q4 2024: $1.67Q1 2025: $1.59Q2 2025: $1.48Q3 2025: $1.45Q4 2025: $1.43Q1 2026: $1.56Q2 2026: $1.63Q3 2026: $1.53Forward: $1.64
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.64+7.2%
Q3 2026$1.53+5.5%
Q2 2026$1.63+10%
Q1 2026$1.56-1.9%
Q4 2025$1.43-14%
Q3 2025$1.45-17%
Q2 2025$1.48-13%
Q1 2025$1.59+1.3%
Q4 2024$1.67+18%

REYN has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RIVN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.25+$0.83
Q2 2026-$2.58+$0.62
Q1 2026-$2.92+$0.77
Q4 2025-$3.07+$1.62
Q3 2025-$3.08+$2.52
Q2 2025-$3.20+$2.76
Q1 2025-$3.69+$2.08
Q4 2024-$4.69+$1.05

RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.

REYN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1BQ1 2024: $833MQ2 2024: $930MQ3 2024: $910MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $818MQ2 2025: $938MQ3 2025: $931MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $877MQ2 2026: $944MQ3 2026: $944M
Q4 2023: $1BQ1 2024: $833MQ2 2024: $930MQ3 2024: $910MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $818MQ2 2025: $938MQ3 2025: $931MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $877MQ2 2026: $944MQ3 2026: $944M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$944M+1.4%
Q2 2026$944M+0.6%
Q1 2026$877M+7.2%
Q4 2025$1B+1.4%
Q3 2025$931M+2.3%
Q2 2025$938M+0.9%
Q1 2025$818M-1.8%
Q4 2024$1B+1.4%

REYN's revenue grew through 2021 and has held roughly level since: $944M last quarter, up 1.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

RIVN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+38%
Q2 2026$1.7B+27%
Q1 2026$1.4B+11%
Q4 2025$1.3B-26%
Q3 2025$1.6B+78%
Q2 2025$1.3B+13%
Q1 2025$1.2B+3%
Q4 2024$1.7B+32%

RIVN has the edge over REYN on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

REYN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $194MQ1 2024: $70MQ2 2024: $65MQ3 2024: $93MQ4 2024: $141MQ1 2025: $17MQ2 2025: $51MQ3 2025: $48MQ4 2025: $200MQ1 2026: $27MQ2 2026: $45MQ3 2026: $9M
Q4 2023: $194MQ1 2024: $70MQ2 2024: $65MQ3 2024: $93MQ4 2024: $141MQ1 2025: $17MQ2 2025: $51MQ3 2025: $48MQ4 2025: $200MQ1 2026: $27MQ2 2026: $45MQ3 2026: $9M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$9M-81%
Q2 2026$45M-12%
Q1 2026$27M+59%
Q4 2025$200M+42%
Q3 2025$48M-48%
Q2 2025$51M-22%
Q1 2025$17M-76%
Q4 2024$141M-27%

REYN has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RIVN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.1B-$703M
Q2 2026-$849M-$451M
Q1 2026-$1.1B-$549M
Q4 2025-$1.1B-234%
Q3 2025-$421M+$732M
Q2 2025-$398M+$639M
Q1 2025-$526M+$997M
Q4 2024$856M+$2.3B

RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.

REYN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 210MQ1 2024: 210MQ2 2024: 210MQ3 2024: 210MQ4 2024: 210MQ1 2025: 210MQ2 2025: 210MQ3 2025: 210MQ4 2025: 210MQ1 2026: 212MQ2 2026: 212MQ3 2026: 212M
Q4 2023: 210MQ1 2024: 210MQ2 2024: 210MQ3 2024: 210MQ4 2024: 210MQ1 2025: 210MQ2 2025: 210MQ3 2025: 210MQ4 2025: 210MQ1 2026: 212MQ2 2026: 212MQ3 2026: 212M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-100K shares
1 year+0.7%+1.4M shares
3 years+0.9%+1.8M shares
5 years+1%+2M shares
Available history+4.5%+9.2M shares

REYN has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RIVN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.1%+121M shares
1 year+19%+226M shares
3 years+52%+494M shares

RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.

REYN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.3xQ1 2024: 3.0xQ2 2024: 2.9xQ3 2024: 2.7xQ4 2024: 2.7xQ1 2025: 2.8xQ2 2025: 2.9xQ3 2025: 3.0xQ4 2025: 2.7xQ1 2026: 2.6xQ2 2026: 2.5xQ3 2026: 2.7x
Q4 2023: 3.3xQ1 2024: 3.0xQ2 2024: 2.9xQ3 2024: 2.7xQ4 2024: 2.7xQ1 2025: 2.8xQ2 2025: 2.9xQ3 2025: 3.0xQ4 2025: 2.7xQ1 2026: 2.6xQ2 2026: 2.5xQ3 2026: 2.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.7xModerate
Q2 20262.5xModerate
Q1 20262.6xModerate
Q4 20252.7xModerate
Q3 20253.0xModerate
Q2 20252.9xModerate
Q1 20252.8xModerate
Q4 20242.7xModerate

REYN's net debt is about 2.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.0 years a year ago.

RIVN Net Leverage

RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

REYN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI55.7Neutral
Stochastic50.9Neutral

REYN's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 51 (neutral).

RIVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic25.6Neutral

RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

REYN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricREYNSector medianRelative
PE16x18x11% below
PE %314817 pts below

REYN is trading at 16x earnings, a 11% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

REYN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$23.06.5% above
20 week MA$24.11.6% above
50 week MA$23.44.9% above
100 week MA$23.63.9% above
200 week MA$25.85% below

REYN has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RIVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.33.9% below
20 week MA$15.115% below
50 week MA$15.919% below
100 week MA$14.713% below
200 week MA$15.115% below

RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

REYN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$28.6$30.5+6.8%
2021$30.5$30.3-0.6%
2022$30.3$30.4+0.2%
2023$30.4$26.8-12%
2024$26.8$27.3+1.7%
2025$27.3$23.3-15%
2026 YTD$23.3$24.5+5.2%

REYN has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RIVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$130.0$96.8-25%
2022$96.8$19.1-80%
2023$19.1$23.5+23%
2024$23.5$13.7-42%
2025$13.7$20.9+53%
2026 YTD$20.9$12.8-39%

RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.

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