REPX

Riley Exploration Permian, Inc.

74
Fundamentals87/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential28/ 100

REPX's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 45% and its operating margin rose 11 points to 46%. Its PE isn't a useful guide right now because of how its recent earnings were reported.

REPX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

REPX's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

REPX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE19x37x56x75x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE19x37x56x75x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward4.4x$44.15—
Cheap4.8x$22.15-50%
Fair5.8x$27.07-39%
Expensive7.7x$35.73-19%
Current9.5x$44.15—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

REPX's PE is 9.5x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

REPX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for REPX, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

REPX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+41%$62.15
Downside-28%$31.71

Calculated from the latest close: $44.15 on Nov 12.

REPX's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +41% against −28%.

REPX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.58Q1 2024: $4.92Q2 2024: $4.86Q3 2024: $5.64Q4 2024: $4.26Q1 2025: $4.68Q2 2025: $4.53Q3 2025: $4.09Q4 2025: $7.59Q1 2026: $2.85Q2 2026: $5.52Q3 2026: $4.64Forward: $9.92
Q4 2023: $5.58Q1 2024: $4.92Q2 2024: $4.86Q3 2024: $5.64Q4 2024: $4.26Q1 2025: $4.68Q2 2025: $4.53Q3 2025: $4.09Q4 2025: $7.59Q1 2026: $2.85Q2 2026: $5.52Q3 2026: $4.64Forward: $9.92
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.92+114%
Q3 2026$4.64+13%
Q2 2026$5.52+22%
Q1 2026$2.85-39%
Q4 2025$7.59+78%
Q3 2025$4.09-27%
Q2 2025$4.53-6.8%
Q1 2025$4.68-4.9%
Q4 2024$4.26-24%

REPX's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.64 over the past year, against $7.96 in early 2023.

REPX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $100MQ1 2024: $100MQ2 2024: $105MQ3 2024: $102MQ4 2024: $103MQ1 2025: $102MQ2 2025: $85MQ3 2025: $107MQ4 2025: $97MQ1 2026: $114MQ2 2026: $166MQ3 2026: $201M
Q4 2023: $100MQ1 2024: $100MQ2 2024: $105MQ3 2024: $102MQ4 2024: $103MQ1 2025: $102MQ2 2025: $85MQ3 2025: $107MQ4 2025: $97MQ1 2026: $114MQ2 2026: $166MQ3 2026: $201M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$201.2M+88%
Q2 2026$165.9M+94%
Q1 2026$113.9M+11%
Q4 2025$97.3M-5.3%
Q3 2025$106.9M+4.4%
Q2 2025$85.4M-19%
Q1 2025$102.5M+2.7%
Q4 2024$102.7M+2.9%

REPX's revenue is growing: $201M last quarter, up 88% from the same quarter a year ago.

REPX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $65MQ1 2024: $56MQ2 2024: $51MQ3 2024: $72MQ4 2024: $66MQ1 2025: $50MQ2 2025: $33MQ3 2025: $63MQ4 2025: $65MQ1 2026: $47MQ2 2026: $63MQ3 2026: $111M
Q4 2023: $65MQ1 2024: $56MQ2 2024: $51MQ3 2024: $72MQ4 2024: $66MQ1 2025: $50MQ2 2025: $33MQ3 2025: $63MQ4 2025: $65MQ1 2026: $47MQ2 2026: $63MQ3 2026: $111M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$111M+76%
Q2 2026$62.9M+90%
Q1 2026$46.6M-7.2%
Q4 2025$64.5M-2.5%
Q3 2025$63M-12%
Q2 2025$33.1M-35%
Q1 2025$50.3M-10%
Q4 2024$66.2M+1.4%

REPX generated $285M in free cash flow over the past year, up 34% from the year before.

REPX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 20MQ1 2024: 20MQ2 2024: 21MQ3 2024: 21MQ4 2024: 21MQ1 2025: 21MQ2 2025: 21MQ3 2025: 21MQ4 2025: 21MQ1 2026: 21MQ2 2026: 21MQ3 2026: 21M
Q4 2023: 20MQ1 2024: 20MQ2 2024: 21MQ3 2024: 21MQ4 2024: 21MQ1 2025: 21MQ2 2025: 21MQ3 2025: 21MQ4 2025: 21MQ1 2026: 21MQ2 2026: 21MQ3 2026: 21M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.5%-310K shares
1 year-1.5%-318K shares
3 years+4.8%+956K shares
5 years+31%+4.9M shares
Available history+2260%+20.1M shares

REPX has 21M diluted shares, down 1.5% from a year ago.

REPX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.4xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.2xQ3 2024: 1.2xQ4 2024: 1.1xQ1 2025: 1.1xQ2 2025: 1.3xQ3 2025: 1.6xQ4 2025: 1.0xQ1 2026: 1.0xQ2 2026: 0.9xQ3 2026: 0.6x
Q4 2023: 1.4xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.2xQ3 2024: 1.2xQ4 2024: 1.1xQ1 2025: 1.1xQ2 2025: 1.3xQ3 2025: 1.6xQ4 2025: 1.0xQ1 2026: 1.0xQ2 2026: 0.9xQ3 2026: 0.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.6xVery low
Q2 20260.9xVery low
Q1 20261.0xVery low
Q4 20251.0xHealthy
Q3 20251.6xHealthy
Q2 20251.3xHealthy
Q1 20251.1xHealthy
Q4 20241.1xHealthy

REPX's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.6 years a year ago.

REPX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.9Neutral
Stochastic60.6Neutral

REPX's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 61 (neutral).

REPX PE vs Energy Sector

MetricREPXSector medianRelative
PE9.5x13x27% below
PE %886127 pts above

REPX is trading at 9.5x earnings, a 27% discount to the Energy sector's median of 13x, though its earnings don't support one.

REPX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$46.24.4% below
20 week MA$40.88.2% above
50 week MA$35.425% above
100 week MA$31.939% above
200 week MA$31.241% above

REPX's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 41% above its 200-week average.

REPX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.70$13.8+142%
2021$13.8$18.6+35%
2022$18.6$29.2+57%
2023$29.2$27.2-6.7%
2024$27.2$30.6+12%
2025$30.6$26.0-15%
2026 YTD$26.0$44.2+70%

REPX has finished higher in four of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 70% so far in 2026.

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