RDW

Redwire Corporation

61
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential52/ 100

RDW has the edge over ZIM overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

ZIM

ZIM Integrated Shipping Services Ltd.

37
Fundamentals27/ 100
Valuation20/ 100
Upside potential14/ 100
Risk potential86/ 100

ZIM trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

RDW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

ZIM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Stable
Healthy
Stable

ZIM's cash flow is currently healthy, and its profitability and balance sheet are stable, but its revenue is under pressure.

RDW PE Valuation

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ZIM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.5x19x29x38x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.5x19x29x38x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap0.6x$0.66-98%
Fair1.4x$1.63-94%
Expensive4.3x$5.00-83%
Forward8.2x$29.24—
Current25x$29.24—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ZIM's PE is in its expensive range at 25x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 8.2x.

RDW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

RDW has the edge over ZIM on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

ZIM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Decline
Stable
Weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect ZIM's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady.

RDW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+109%$16.79
Downside-52%$3.87

Calculated from the latest close: $8.03 on Nov 12.

RDW has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ZIM, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

ZIM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+14%$33.21
Downside-86%$4.02

Calculated from the latest close: $29.24 on Nov 12.

ZIM trails RDW on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

RDW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.17+$2.01
Q2 2026-$1.37+$1.89
Q1 2026-$2.59-$0.32
Q4 2025-$2.28+$0.07
Q3 2025-$3.18-$1.97
Q2 2025-$3.26-$2.28
Q1 2025-$2.27-$1.55
Q4 2024-$2.35-$1.62

RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.

ZIM Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-17.73Q4 2023: $-22.40Q1 2024: $-21.17Q2 2024: $-16.30Q3 2024: $11.93Q4 2024: $17.82Q1 2025: $19.52Q2 2025: $16.63Q3 2025: $8.32Q4 2025: $3.98Q1 2026: $0.82Q2 2026: $1.16Forward: $3.58
Q3 2023: $-17.73Q4 2023: $-22.40Q1 2024: $-21.17Q2 2024: $-16.30Q3 2024: $11.93Q4 2024: $17.82Q1 2025: $19.52Q2 2025: $16.63Q3 2025: $8.32Q4 2025: $3.98Q1 2026: $0.82Q2 2026: $1.16Forward: $3.58
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.58+209%
Q2 2026$1.16-93%
Q1 2026$0.82-96%
Q4 2025$3.98-78%
Q3 2025$8.32-30%
Q2 2025$16.63+$32.93
Q1 2025$19.52+$40.69
Q4 2024$17.82+$40.22
Q3 2024$11.93+$29.66

ZIM has the edge over RDW on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RDW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$109M+5.4%
Q2 2026$117.1M+90%
Q1 2026$97M+58%
Q4 2025$108.8M+56%
Q3 2025$103.4M+51%
Q2 2025$61.8M-21%
Q1 2025$61.4M-30%
Q4 2024$69.6M+9.6%

RDW has the edge over ZIM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ZIM Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $1.3BQ4 2023: $1.2BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.9BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $2.2BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $1.6BQ3 2025: $1.8BQ4 2025: $1.5BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.8B
Q3 2023: $1.3BQ4 2023: $1.2BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.9BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $2.2BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $1.6BQ3 2025: $1.8BQ4 2025: $1.5BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$1.8B+8.9%
Q1 2026$1.4B-30%
Q4 2025$1.5B-32%
Q3 2025$1.8B-36%
Q2 2025$1.6B-15%
Q1 2025$2B+28%
Q4 2024$2.2B+80%
Q3 2024$2.8B+117%

ZIM's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $1.8B last quarter, up 8.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

RDW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$65.3M-$38.5M
Q2 2026-$33.5M+$57.2M
Q1 2026-$11.4M+$35.5M
Q4 2025-$26.5M-659%
Q3 2025-$26.9M-$7.6M
Q2 2025-$90.6M-$80.2M
Q1 2025-$46.9M-3996%
Q4 2024$4.7M-65%

RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.

ZIM Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $324MQ4 2023: $122MQ1 2024: $302MQ2 2024: $710MQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $777MQ2 2025: $417MQ3 2025: $561MQ4 2025: $246MQ1 2026: $231MQ2 2026: $383M
Q3 2023: $324MQ4 2023: $122MQ1 2024: $302MQ2 2024: $710MQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $777MQ2 2025: $417MQ3 2025: $561MQ4 2025: $246MQ1 2026: $231MQ2 2026: $383M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$383M-8.1%
Q1 2026$231.4M-70%
Q4 2025$246.3M-77%
Q3 2025$561.1M-61%
Q2 2025$416.9M-41%
Q1 2025$776.7M+157%
Q4 2024$1.1B+787%
Q3 2024$1.4B+347%

ZIM has the edge over RDW on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RDW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+29.6M shares
1 year+179%+160M shares
3 years+289%+186M shares
5 years+319%+190M shares

RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.

ZIM Total Shares

Q3 2023: 120MQ4 2023: 120MQ1 2024: 120MQ2 2024: 120MQ3 2024: 120MQ4 2024: 120MQ1 2025: 121MQ2 2025: 121MQ3 2025: 121MQ4 2025: 121MQ1 2026: 120MQ2 2026: 121M
Q3 2023: 120MQ4 2023: 120MQ1 2024: 120MQ2 2024: 120MQ3 2024: 120MQ4 2024: 120MQ1 2025: 121MQ2 2025: 121MQ3 2025: 121MQ4 2025: 121MQ1 2026: 120MQ2 2026: 121M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+181K shares
1 year+0.1%+150K shares
3 years+0.4%+463K shares
5 years+0.4%+524K shares
Available history+21%+20.7M shares

ZIM has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RDW Net Leverage

RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

ZIM Net Leverage

Q3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 1.2xQ1 2025: 1.0xQ2 2025: 1.2xQ3 2025: 1.5xQ4 2025: 1.9xQ1 2026: 2.3xQ2 2026: 2.2x
Q3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 1.2xQ1 2025: 1.0xQ2 2025: 1.2xQ3 2025: 1.5xQ4 2025: 1.9xQ1 2026: 2.3xQ2 2026: 2.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20262.2xModerate
Q1 20262.3xModerate
Q4 20251.9xHealthy
Q3 20251.5xHealthy
Q2 20251.2xHealthy
Q1 20251.0xHealthy
Q4 20241.2xHealthy
Q3 20241.4xHealthy

ZIM's net debt is about 2.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.2 years a year ago.

RDW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.3Neutral
Stochastic16.1Oversold

RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

ZIM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI58.7Neutral
Stochastic63.0Neutral

ZIM's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 63 (neutral).

RDW PE vs Industrials Sector

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ZIM PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricZIMSector medianRelative
PE25x24x4.7% above
PE %905832 pts above

ZIM is trading at 25x earnings, in line with the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RDW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.0611% below
20 week MA$10.120% below
50 week MA$10.624% below
100 week MA$11.631% below
200 week MA$8.070.5% below

RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.

ZIM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$29.10.4% above
20 week MA$27.85.2% above
50 week MA$25.714% above
100 week MA$21.139% above
200 week MA$18.558% above

ZIM has the edge over RDW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RDW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$10.2$7.34-28%
2022$7.34$1.92-74%
2023$1.92$2.85+48%
2024$2.85$17.1+501%
2025$17.1$7.15-58%
2026 YTD$7.15$8.03+12%

RDW's yearly returns have swung widely, from +501% in 2024 to −74% in 2022. It's up 12% so far in 2026.

ZIM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$12.1$53.7+345%
2022$53.7$17.5-67%
2023$17.5$9.87-44%
2024$9.87$21.9+122%
2025$21.9$21.4-2.5%
2026 YTD$21.4$29.2+37%

ZIM has the edge over RDW on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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