RDW
Redwire Corporation
RDW offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
ZETA
Zeta Global Holdings Corp.
ZETA has the edge over RDW overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.
RDW Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Unavailable |
RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
ZETA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy |
ZETA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
RDW PE Valuation
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ZETA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 29x | $37.27 | — |
| Current | 248x | $37.27 | — |
| Cheap | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Fair | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Expensive | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ZETA's PE is 248x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
RDW Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect RDW's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.
ZETA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for ZETA, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
RDW Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.17 | +$2.01 |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.37 | +$1.89 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.59 | -$0.32 |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.28 | +$0.07 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.18 | -$1.97 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.26 | -$2.28 |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.27 | -$1.55 |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.35 | -$1.62 |
RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.
ZETA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.27 | +748% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.15 | +$0.23 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.01 | +$0.14 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.10 | +$0.15 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.14 | +$0.24 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.08 | +$0.61 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.15 | +$0.72 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.25 | +$0.80 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.38 | +$0.82 |
ZETA has the edge over RDW on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
RDW Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $109M | +5.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $117.1M | +90% |
| Q1 2026 | $97M | +58% |
| Q4 2025 | $108.8M | +56% |
| Q3 2025 | $103.4M | +51% |
| Q2 2025 | $61.8M | -21% |
| Q1 2025 | $61.4M | -30% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6M | +9.6% |
RDW's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $109M last quarter, up 5.4% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -24% | +16 points |
| Q2 2026 | -19% | +130 points |
| Q1 2026 | -72% | -49 points |
| Q4 2025 | -75% | -48 points |
| Q3 2025 | -40% | -22 points |
| Q2 2025 | -149% | -140 points |
| Q1 2025 | -23% | -19 points |
| Q4 2024 | -27% | -17 points |
RDW's operating margin was −24% last quarter, up 16 points from the same quarter a year ago.
ZETA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $492.7M | +46% |
| Q2 2026 | $442.8M | +44% |
| Q1 2026 | $396.3M | +50% |
| Q4 2025 | $394.6M | +25% |
| Q3 2025 | $337.2M | +26% |
| Q2 2025 | $308.4M | +35% |
| Q1 2025 | $264.4M | +36% |
| Q4 2024 | $314.7M | +50% |
ZETA has the edge over RDW on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 9.3% | +6.7 points |
| Q2 2026 | 3.8% | +5.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | -4.8% | +1.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 4.5% | +2.3 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.6% | +7.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | -1.7% | +10 points |
| Q1 2025 | -6.1% | +12 points |
| Q4 2024 | 2.2% | +17 points |
ZETA has the edge over RDW on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RDW Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$65.3M | -$38.5M |
| Q2 2026 | -$33.5M | +$57.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$11.4M | +$35.5M |
| Q4 2025 | -$26.5M | -659% |
| Q3 2025 | -$26.9M | -$7.6M |
| Q2 2025 | -$90.6M | -$80.2M |
| Q1 2025 | -$46.9M | -3996% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.7M | -65% |
RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.
ZETA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $88.3M | +68% |
| Q2 2026 | $64.4M | +62% |
| Q1 2026 | $46.7M | +46% |
| Q4 2025 | $60.9M | +72% |
| Q3 2025 | $52.4M | +78% |
| Q2 2025 | $39.7M | +63% |
| Q1 2025 | $32.1M | +70% |
| Q4 2024 | $35.4M | +66% |
ZETA has the edge over RDW on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RDW Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +13% | +29.6M shares |
| 1 year | +179% | +160M shares |
| 3 years | +289% | +186M shares |
| 5 years | +319% | +190M shares |
RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
ZETA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +3.1% | +8M shares |
| 1 year | +19% | +42.2M shares |
| 3 years | +67% | +107M shares |
| 5 years | +417% | +213M shares |
| Available history | +712% | +232M shares |
ZETA has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2021 | — |
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q3 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
RDW Net Leverage
RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
ZETA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.6x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -3.0x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -4.5x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -14.1x | Net Cash |
ZETA has more cash than debt.
RDW Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 16.1 | Oversold |
RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).
ZETA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 70.3 | Overbought |
| Stochastic | 75.8 | Neutral |
ZETA's weekly RSI is 70 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 76 (neutral).
RDW PE vs Industrials Sector
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ZETA PE vs Technology Sector
RDW Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.06 | 11% below |
| 20 week MA | $10.1 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $10.6 | 24% below |
| 100 week MA | $11.6 | 31% below |
| 200 week MA | $8.07 | 0.5% below |
RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.
ZETA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $32.6 | 15% above |
| 20 week MA | $28.6 | 30% above |
| 50 week MA | $22.6 | 65% above |
| 100 week MA | $19.7 | 89% above |
| 200 week MA | $16.7 | 123% above |
ZETA has the edge over RDW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
RDW Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $10.2 | $7.34 | -28% |
| 2022 | $7.34 | $1.92 | -74% |
| 2023 | $1.92 | $2.85 | +48% |
| 2024 | $2.85 | $17.1 | +501% |
| 2025 | $17.1 | $7.15 | -58% |
| 2026 YTD | $7.15 | $8.03 | +12% |
RDW's yearly returns have swung widely, from +501% in 2024 to −74% in 2022. It's up 12% so far in 2026.
ZETA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $8.27 | $8.40 | +1.6% |
| 2022 | $8.40 | $8.21 | -2.3% |
| 2023 | $8.21 | $8.82 | +7.4% |
| 2024 | $8.82 | $17.7 | +100% |
| 2025 | $17.7 | $20.7 | +17% |
| 2026 YTD | $20.7 | $37.3 | +80% |
ZETA has the edge over RDW on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.