RDW
Redwire Corporation
RDW offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
XMTR
Xometry, Inc.
XMTR has the edge over RDW overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.
RDW Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Unavailable |
RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
XMTR Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
XMTR's revenue and balance sheet are currently strong, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.
RDW PE Valuation
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
XMTR PE Valuation
XMTR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RDW Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect RDW's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.
XMTR Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for XMTR, with profitability improving.
RDW Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.17 | +$2.01 |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.37 | +$1.89 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.59 | -$0.32 |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.28 | +$0.07 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.18 | -$1.97 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.26 | -$2.28 |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.27 | -$1.55 |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.35 | -$1.62 |
RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.
XMTR Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.28 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.34 | +$0.91 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.60 | +$0.63 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.02 | -$0.03 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.22 | -$0.19 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.25 | -$0.19 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.23 | -$0.13 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.99 | +$0.38 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.03 | +$0.38 |
XMTR has the edge over RDW on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
RDW Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $109M | +5.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $117.1M | +90% |
| Q1 2026 | $97M | +58% |
| Q4 2025 | $108.8M | +56% |
| Q3 2025 | $103.4M | +51% |
| Q2 2025 | $61.8M | -21% |
| Q1 2025 | $61.4M | -30% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6M | +9.6% |
RDW's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $109M last quarter, up 5.4% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -24% | +16 points |
| Q2 2026 | -19% | +130 points |
| Q1 2026 | -72% | -49 points |
| Q4 2025 | -75% | -48 points |
| Q3 2025 | -40% | -22 points |
| Q2 2025 | -149% | -140 points |
| Q1 2025 | -23% | -19 points |
| Q4 2024 | -27% | -17 points |
RDW's operating margin was −24% last quarter, up 16 points from the same quarter a year ago.
XMTR Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $252.4M | +40% |
| Q2 2026 | $229.3M | +41% |
| Q1 2026 | $205.1M | +36% |
| Q4 2025 | $192.4M | +30% |
| Q3 2025 | $180.7M | +28% |
| Q2 2025 | $162.5M | +23% |
| Q1 2025 | $151M | +23% |
| Q4 2024 | $148.5M | +16% |
XMTR's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since early 2021: $252M last quarter, up 40% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0% | +6.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | -2.4% | +3.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -2.5% | +7.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | -4.6% | +3.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | -6.1% | +2 points |
| Q2 2025 | -6.3% | +5.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | -10% | +4.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | -7.8% | +2 points |
XMTR has the edge over RDW on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RDW Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$65.3M | -$38.5M |
| Q2 2026 | -$33.5M | +$57.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$11.4M | +$35.5M |
| Q4 2025 | -$26.5M | -659% |
| Q3 2025 | -$26.9M | -$7.6M |
| Q2 2025 | -$90.6M | -$80.2M |
| Q1 2025 | -$46.9M | -3996% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.7M | -65% |
RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.
XMTR Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $7.9M | +$9.5M |
| Q2 2026 | -$10.8M | -$3.4M |
| Q1 2026 | $4.4M | +$13.6M |
| Q4 2025 | -$5.9M | -229% |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.7M | +$6.8M |
| Q2 2025 | -$7.4M | +$6.1M |
| Q1 2025 | -$9.2M | +$6.9M |
| Q4 2024 | $4.5M | +$12.3M |
XMTR has the edge over RDW on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
RDW Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +13% | +29.6M shares |
| 1 year | +179% | +160M shares |
| 3 years | +289% | +186M shares |
| 5 years | +319% | +190M shares |
RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
XMTR Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +14% | +7.4M shares |
| 1 year | +19% | +9.5M shares |
| 3 years | +27% | +12.8M shares |
| 5 years | +36% | +16.1M shares |
XMTR has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $8.1M |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
XMTR hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
RDW Net Leverage
RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
XMTR Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
XMTR has more cash than debt.
RDW Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 16.1 | Oversold |
RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).
XMTR Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 65.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 72.5 | Neutral |
XMTR's weekly RSI is 65 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).
RDW PE vs Industrials Sector
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
XMTR PE vs Industrials Sector
XMTR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RDW Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.06 | 11% below |
| 20 week MA | $10.1 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $10.6 | 24% below |
| 100 week MA | $11.6 | 31% below |
| 200 week MA | $8.07 | 0.5% below |
RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.
XMTR Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $102.9 | 17% above |
| 20 week MA | $96.2 | 25% above |
| 50 week MA | $75.8 | 59% above |
| 100 week MA | $57.2 | 111% above |
| 200 week MA | $39.0 | 209% above |
XMTR has the edge over RDW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
RDW Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $10.2 | $7.34 | -28% |
| 2022 | $7.34 | $1.92 | -74% |
| 2023 | $1.92 | $2.85 | +48% |
| 2024 | $2.85 | $17.1 | +501% |
| 2025 | $17.1 | $7.15 | -58% |
| 2026 YTD | $7.15 | $8.03 | +12% |
RDW's yearly returns have swung widely, from +501% in 2024 to −74% in 2022. It's up 12% so far in 2026.
XMTR Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $69.5 | $50.9 | -27% |
| 2022 | $50.9 | $31.3 | -39% |
| 2023 | $31.3 | $35.9 | +15% |
| 2024 | $35.9 | $44.2 | +23% |
| 2025 | $44.2 | $62.7 | +42% |
| 2026 YTD | $62.7 | $120.8 | +93% |
XMTR has the edge over RDW on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.