RDW

Redwire Corporation

61
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential52/ 100

RDW's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

WTS

Watts Water Technologies, Inc.

71
Fundamentals80/ 100
Valuation51/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

WTS has the edge over RDW overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

RDW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

WTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

WTS's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

RDW PE Valuation

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

WTS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE12x24x36x47x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE12x24x36x47x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap23x$301-16%
Fair26x$350-2.1%
Current27x$357—
Expensive34x$453+27%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

WTS's PE is in its fair range at 27x.

RDW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect RDW's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

WTS Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for WTS to show an outlook.

RDW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+109%$16.79
Downside-52%$3.87

Calculated from the latest close: $8.03 on Nov 12.

RDW trails WTS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

WTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$457.05
Downside-9%$324.48

Calculated from the latest close: $357.23 on Nov 12.

WTS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RDW, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RDW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.17+$2.01
Q2 2026-$1.37+$1.89
Q1 2026-$2.59-$0.32
Q4 2025-$2.28+$0.07
Q3 2025-$3.18-$1.97
Q2 2025-$3.26-$2.28
Q1 2025-$2.27-$1.55
Q4 2024-$2.35-$1.62

RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.

WTS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $7.82Q1 2024: $8.06Q2 2024: $8.24Q3 2024: $8.34Q4 2024: $8.69Q1 2025: $8.73Q2 2025: $9.30Q3 2025: $9.69Q4 2025: $10.17Q1 2026: $10.93Q2 2026: $11.45Q3 2026: $13.34
Q4 2023: $7.82Q1 2024: $8.06Q2 2024: $8.24Q3 2024: $8.34Q4 2024: $8.69Q1 2025: $8.73Q2 2025: $9.30Q3 2025: $9.69Q4 2025: $10.17Q1 2026: $10.93Q2 2026: $11.45Q3 2026: $13.34
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$13.34+38%
Q2 2026$11.45+23%
Q1 2026$10.93+25%
Q4 2025$10.17+17%
Q3 2025$9.69+16%
Q2 2025$9.30+13%
Q1 2025$8.73+8.3%
Q4 2024$8.69+11%

WTS has the edge over RDW on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RDW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$109M+5.4%
Q2 2026$117.1M+90%
Q1 2026$97M+58%
Q4 2025$108.8M+56%
Q3 2025$103.4M+51%
Q2 2025$61.8M-21%
Q1 2025$61.4M-30%
Q4 2024$69.6M+9.6%

RDW has the edge over WTS on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

WTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $548MQ1 2024: $571MQ2 2024: $597MQ3 2024: $544MQ4 2024: $540MQ1 2025: $558MQ2 2025: $644MQ3 2025: $612MQ4 2025: $625MQ1 2026: $677MQ2 2026: $763MQ3 2026: $728M
Q4 2023: $548MQ1 2024: $571MQ2 2024: $597MQ3 2024: $544MQ4 2024: $540MQ1 2025: $558MQ2 2025: $644MQ3 2025: $612MQ4 2025: $625MQ1 2026: $677MQ2 2026: $763MQ3 2026: $728M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$728M+19%
Q2 2026$763.2M+19%
Q1 2026$677.3M+21%
Q4 2025$625.1M+16%
Q3 2025$611.7M+13%
Q2 2025$643.7M+7.8%
Q1 2025$558M-2.3%
Q4 2024$540.4M-1.3%

WTS's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $728M last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.

RDW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$65.3M-$38.5M
Q2 2026-$33.5M+$57.2M
Q1 2026-$11.4M+$35.5M
Q4 2025-$26.5M-659%
Q3 2025-$26.9M-$7.6M
Q2 2025-$90.6M-$80.2M
Q1 2025-$46.9M-3996%
Q4 2024$4.7M-65%

RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.

WTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $99MQ1 2024: $36MQ2 2024: $79MQ3 2024: $84MQ4 2024: $128MQ1 2025: $46MQ2 2025: $60MQ3 2025: $111MQ4 2025: $140MQ1 2026: $7MQ2 2026: $92MQ3 2026: $132M
Q4 2023: $99MQ1 2024: $36MQ2 2024: $79MQ3 2024: $84MQ4 2024: $128MQ1 2025: $46MQ2 2025: $60MQ3 2025: $111MQ4 2025: $140MQ1 2026: $7MQ2 2026: $92MQ3 2026: $132M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$131.9M+19%
Q2 2026$91.6M+54%
Q1 2026$6.6M-86%
Q4 2025$140.3M+10%
Q3 2025$110.9M+32%
Q2 2025$59.5M-24%
Q1 2025$45.6M+28%
Q4 2024$127.5M+29%

WTS has the edge over RDW on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RDW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+29.6M shares
1 year+179%+160M shares
3 years+289%+186M shares
5 years+319%+190M shares

RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.

WTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 34MQ1 2024: 34MQ2 2024: 34MQ3 2024: 34MQ4 2024: 34MQ1 2025: 34MQ2 2025: 34MQ3 2025: 34MQ4 2025: 34MQ1 2026: 34MQ2 2026: 34MQ3 2026: 34M
Q4 2023: 34MQ1 2024: 34MQ2 2024: 34MQ3 2024: 34MQ4 2024: 34MQ1 2025: 34MQ2 2025: 34MQ3 2025: 34MQ4 2025: 34MQ1 2026: 34MQ2 2026: 34MQ3 2026: 34M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year0%--
3 years0%--
5 years-1.2%-400K shares
Available history-2%-700K shares

WTS has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RDW Net Leverage

RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

WTS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.5xQ4 2025: -0.4xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.5x
Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.5xQ4 2025: -0.4xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.4xNet Cash

WTS has more cash than debt.

RDW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.3Neutral
Stochastic16.1Oversold

RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

WTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI55.5Neutral
Stochastic28.3Neutral

WTS's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

RDW PE vs Industrials Sector

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

WTS PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricWTSSector medianRelative
PE27x24x11% above
PE %52586 pts below

WTS is trading at 27x earnings, a 11% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RDW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.0611% below
20 week MA$10.120% below
50 week MA$10.624% below
100 week MA$11.631% below
200 week MA$8.070.5% below

RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.

WTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$355.00.6% above
20 week MA$359.30.6% below
50 week MA$325.89.6% above
100 week MA$282.926% above
200 week MA$236.151% above

WTS has the edge over RDW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RDW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$10.2$7.34-28%
2022$7.34$1.92-74%
2023$1.92$2.85+48%
2024$2.85$17.1+501%
2025$17.1$7.15-58%
2026 YTD$7.15$8.03+12%

RDW's yearly returns have swung widely, from +501% in 2024 to −74% in 2022. It's up 12% so far in 2026.

WTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$99.8$120.9+21%
2021$120.9$188.7+56%
2022$188.7$146.9-22%
2023$146.9$208.3+42%
2024$208.3$203.7-2.2%
2025$203.7$284.3+40%
2026 YTD$284.3$357.2+26%

WTS has the edge over RDW on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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