RDW

Redwire Corporation

61
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential52/ 100

RDW has the edge over WNC overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

WNC

Wabash National Corporation

49
Fundamentals27/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

WNC has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

RDW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

WNC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Weak
Weak
Healthy

WNC's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are weak.

RDW PE Valuation

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

WNC PE Valuation

WNC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RDW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect RDW's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

WNC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect WNC's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

RDW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+109%$16.79
Downside-52%$3.87

Calculated from the latest close: $8.03 on Nov 12.

RDW has a better modeled risk to reward balance than WNC, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

WNC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+56%$18.23
Downside-35%$7.56

Calculated from the latest close: $11.71 on Nov 12.

WNC trails RDW on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RDW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.17+$2.01
Q2 2026-$1.37+$1.89
Q1 2026-$2.59-$0.32
Q4 2025-$2.28+$0.07
Q3 2025-$3.18-$1.97
Q2 2025-$3.26-$2.28
Q1 2025-$2.27-$1.55
Q4 2024-$2.35-$1.62

RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.

WNC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.81Q1 2024: $4.16Q2 2024: $3.26Q3 2024: $-5.43Q4 2024: $-6.52Q1 2025: $-1.55Q2 2025: $-2.42Q3 2025: $6.08Q4 2025: $4.87Q1 2026: $-1.60Q2 2026: $-1.93Q3 2026: $-3.41
Q4 2023: $4.81Q1 2024: $4.16Q2 2024: $3.26Q3 2024: $-5.43Q4 2024: $-6.52Q1 2025: $-1.55Q2 2025: $-2.42Q3 2025: $6.08Q4 2025: $4.87Q1 2026: $-1.60Q2 2026: $-1.93Q3 2026: $-3.41
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$3.41-156%
Q2 2026-$1.93+$0.49
Q1 2026-$1.60-$0.05
Q4 2025$4.87+$11.39
Q3 2025$6.08+$11.51
Q2 2025-$2.42-174%
Q1 2025-$1.55-137%
Q4 2024-$6.52-236%

WNC has swung to a loss: it lost $3.41 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

RDW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$109M+5.4%
Q2 2026$117.1M+90%
Q1 2026$97M+58%
Q4 2025$108.8M+56%
Q3 2025$103.4M+51%
Q2 2025$61.8M-21%
Q1 2025$61.4M-30%
Q4 2024$69.6M+9.6%

RDW has the edge over WNC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

WNC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $596MQ1 2024: $515MQ2 2024: $551MQ3 2024: $464MQ4 2024: $417MQ1 2025: $381MQ2 2025: $459MQ3 2025: $382MQ4 2025: $321MQ1 2026: $303MQ2 2026: $417MQ3 2026: $476M
Q4 2023: $596MQ1 2024: $515MQ2 2024: $551MQ3 2024: $464MQ4 2024: $417MQ1 2025: $381MQ2 2025: $459MQ3 2025: $382MQ4 2025: $321MQ1 2026: $303MQ2 2026: $417MQ3 2026: $476M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$476.4M+25%
Q2 2026$417.2M-9.1%
Q1 2026$303.2M-20%
Q4 2025$321.5M-23%
Q3 2025$381.6M-18%
Q2 2025$458.8M-17%
Q1 2025$380.9M-26%
Q4 2024$416.8M-30%

WNC's revenue is recovering but still below its 2023 peak: $476M last quarter, up 25% from the same quarter a year ago.

RDW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$65.3M-$38.5M
Q2 2026-$33.5M+$57.2M
Q1 2026-$11.4M+$35.5M
Q4 2025-$26.5M-659%
Q3 2025-$26.9M-$7.6M
Q2 2025-$90.6M-$80.2M
Q1 2025-$46.9M-3996%
Q4 2024$4.7M-65%

RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.

WNC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $102MQ1 2024: −$37MQ2 2024: −$6MQ3 2024: $28MQ4 2024: $60MQ1 2025: −$9MQ2 2025: −$22MQ3 2025: $80MQ4 2025: −$62MQ1 2026: −$37MQ2 2026: $3MQ3 2026: −$41M
Q4 2023: $102MQ1 2024: −$37MQ2 2024: −$6MQ3 2024: $28MQ4 2024: $60MQ1 2025: −$9MQ2 2025: −$22MQ3 2025: $80MQ4 2025: −$62MQ1 2026: −$37MQ2 2026: $3MQ3 2026: −$41M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$40.8M-151%
Q2 2026$3.1M+$25.1M
Q1 2026-$37.1M-$28.1M
Q4 2025-$61.9M-204%
Q3 2025$79.9M+183%
Q2 2025-$22.1M-$16M
Q1 2025-$9M+$27.6M
Q4 2024$59.5M-42%

WNC has the edge over RDW on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RDW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+29.6M shares
1 year+179%+160M shares
3 years+289%+186M shares
5 years+319%+190M shares

RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.

WNC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 48MQ1 2024: 46MQ2 2024: 45MQ3 2024: 44MQ4 2024: 44MQ1 2025: 43MQ2 2025: 42MQ3 2025: 41MQ4 2025: 42MQ1 2026: 41MQ2 2026: 41MQ3 2026: 41M
Q4 2023: 48MQ1 2024: 46MQ2 2024: 45MQ3 2024: 44MQ4 2024: 44MQ1 2025: 43MQ2 2025: 42MQ3 2025: 41MQ4 2025: 42MQ1 2026: 41MQ2 2026: 41MQ3 2026: 41M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+74K shares
1 year-0.4%-179K shares
3 years-14%-6.8M shares
5 years-19%-9.6M shares
Available history-26%-14.3M shares

WNC has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RDW Net Leverage

RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

WNC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.6xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 1.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 1.1x
Q4 2023: 0.6xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 1.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 20251.1xHealthy
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20241.2xHealthy
Q1 20240.9xVery low
Q4 20230.6xVery low
Q3 20230.8xVery low
Q2 20230.9xVery low
Q1 20231.3xHealthy

WNC's net debt is about 1.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from less than a year a year ago.

RDW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.3Neutral
Stochastic16.1Oversold

RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

WNC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI49.4Neutral
Stochastic11.3Oversold

WNC's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).

RDW PE vs Industrials Sector

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

WNC PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricWNCSector medianRelative
PEN/A24x—

WNC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RDW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.0611% below
20 week MA$10.120% below
50 week MA$10.624% below
100 week MA$11.631% below
200 week MA$8.070.5% below

RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.

WNC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.56.2% below
20 week MA$12.88.2% below
50 week MA$10.79% above
100 week MA$10.97.7% above
200 week MA$17.031% below

WNC has the edge over RDW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RDW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$10.2$7.34-28%
2022$7.34$1.92-74%
2023$1.92$2.85+48%
2024$2.85$17.1+501%
2025$17.1$7.15-58%
2026 YTD$7.15$8.03+12%

RDW's yearly returns have swung widely, from +501% in 2024 to −74% in 2022. It's up 12% so far in 2026.

WNC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$14.4$17.4+20%
2021$17.4$19.7+13%
2022$19.7$23.3+18%
2023$23.3$25.6+10%
2024$25.6$17.3-32%
2025$17.3$8.88-49%
2026 YTD$8.88$11.7+32%

WNC has the edge over RDW on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key