RDW

Redwire Corporation

61
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential52/ 100

RDW's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

WLDN

Willdan Group, Inc.

71
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation87/ 100
Upside potential77/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

WLDN has the edge over RDW overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

RDW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

WLDN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

WLDN's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

RDW PE Valuation

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

WLDN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE80x159x239x318x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE80x159x239x318x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current17x$69.88—
Cheap23x$93.57+34%
Fair35x$144+106%
Expensive113x$467+569%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

WLDN's PE is in its cheap range at 17x.

RDW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect RDW's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

WLDN Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for WLDN to show an outlook.

RDW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+109%$16.79
Downside-52%$3.87

Calculated from the latest close: $8.03 on Nov 12.

RDW trails WLDN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

WLDN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+59%$110.88
Downside-17%$57.80

Calculated from the latest close: $69.88 on Nov 12.

WLDN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RDW, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RDW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.17+$2.01
Q2 2026-$1.37+$1.89
Q1 2026-$2.59-$0.32
Q4 2025-$2.28+$0.07
Q3 2025-$3.18-$1.97
Q2 2025-$3.26-$2.28
Q1 2025-$2.27-$1.55
Q4 2024-$2.35-$1.62

RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.

WLDN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.79Q1 2024: $0.93Q2 2024: $1.23Q3 2024: $1.63Q4 2024: $1.58Q2 2025: $1.69Q3 2025: $2.39Q4 2025: $2.78Q1 2026: $3.48Q2 2026: $3.71Q3 2026: $4.26Q4 2026: $4.12
Q4 2023: $0.79Q1 2024: $0.93Q2 2024: $1.23Q3 2024: $1.63Q4 2024: $1.58Q2 2025: $1.69Q3 2025: $2.39Q4 2025: $2.78Q1 2026: $3.48Q2 2026: $3.71Q3 2026: $4.26Q4 2026: $4.12
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$4.12+48%
Q2 2026$4.26+78%
Q1 2026$3.71+120%
Q4 2025$3.48+120%
Q3 2025$2.78+71%
Q2 2025$2.39+94%
Q1 2025$1.69+82%
Q4 2024$1.58+100%

WLDN has the edge over RDW on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RDW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$109M+5.4%
Q2 2026$117.1M+90%
Q1 2026$97M+58%
Q4 2025$108.8M+56%
Q3 2025$103.4M+51%
Q2 2025$61.8M-21%
Q1 2025$61.4M-30%
Q4 2024$69.6M+9.6%

RDW's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $109M last quarter, up 5.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

WLDN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $156MQ1 2024: $122MQ2 2024: $141MQ3 2024: $158MQ4 2024: $144MQ2 2025: $152MQ3 2025: $173MQ4 2025: $182MQ1 2026: $174MQ2 2026: $155MQ3 2026: $231MQ4 2026: $215M
Q4 2023: $156MQ1 2024: $122MQ2 2024: $141MQ3 2024: $158MQ4 2024: $144MQ2 2025: $152MQ3 2025: $173MQ4 2025: $182MQ1 2026: $174MQ2 2026: $155MQ3 2026: $231MQ4 2026: $215M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$214.5M+18%
Q2 2026$231M+33%
Q1 2026$155.1M+1.8%
Q4 2025$173.7M+21%
Q3 2025$182M+15%
Q2 2025$173.5M+23%
Q1 2025$152.4M+24%
Q4 2024$144.1M-7.5%

WLDN's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $215M last quarter, up 18% from the same quarter a year ago.

RDW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$65.3M-$38.5M
Q2 2026-$33.5M+$57.2M
Q1 2026-$11.4M+$35.5M
Q4 2025-$26.5M-659%
Q3 2025-$26.9M-$7.6M
Q2 2025-$90.6M-$80.2M
Q1 2025-$46.9M-3996%
Q4 2024$4.7M-65%

RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.

WLDN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $13MQ1 2024: $25MQ2 2024: −$1MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $31MQ2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $23MQ4 2025: $10MQ1 2026: $37MQ2 2026: −$26MQ3 2026: $42MQ4 2026: $12M
Q4 2023: $13MQ1 2024: $25MQ2 2024: −$1MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $31MQ2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $23MQ4 2025: $10MQ1 2026: $37MQ2 2026: −$26MQ3 2026: $42MQ4 2026: $12M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$11.9M+22%
Q2 2026$42.2M+82%
Q1 2026-$26.4M-2736%
Q4 2025$36.7M+18%
Q3 2025$9.8M+11%
Q2 2025$23.2M+$24.5M
Q1 2025$1M-96%
Q4 2024$31.1M+144%

WLDN has the edge over RDW on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RDW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+29.6M shares
1 year+179%+160M shares
3 years+289%+186M shares
5 years+319%+190M shares

RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.

WLDN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 14MQ1 2024: 14MQ2 2024: 14MQ3 2024: 14MQ4 2024: 15MQ2 2025: 15MQ3 2025: 15MQ4 2025: 15MQ1 2026: 15MQ2 2026: 15MQ3 2026: 15MQ4 2026: 16M
Q4 2023: 14MQ1 2024: 14MQ2 2024: 14MQ3 2024: 14MQ4 2024: 15MQ2 2025: 15MQ3 2025: 15MQ4 2025: 15MQ1 2026: 15MQ2 2026: 15MQ3 2026: 15MQ4 2026: 16M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.8%+118K shares
1 year+2%+312K shares
3 years+13%+1.8M shares
5 years+18%+2.4M shares
Available history+30%+3.6M shares

WLDN has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RDW Net Leverage

RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

WLDN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 1.2xQ2 2024: 1.2xQ3 2024: 0.8xQ4 2024: 0.3xQ2 2025: 1.0xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.4xQ4 2026: 0.3x
Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 1.2xQ2 2024: 1.2xQ3 2024: 0.8xQ4 2024: 0.3xQ2 2025: 1.0xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.4xQ4 2026: 0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.3xVery low
Q2 20260.4xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20251.0xHealthy
Q4 20240.3xVery low

WLDN's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

RDW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.3Neutral
Stochastic16.1Oversold

RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

WLDN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.0Neutral
Stochastic25.3Neutral

WLDN's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 25 (neutral).

RDW PE vs Industrials Sector

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

WLDN PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricWLDNSector medianRelative
PE17x24x30% below
PE %15857 pts below

WLDN is trading at 17x earnings, a 30% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RDW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.0611% below
20 week MA$10.120% below
50 week MA$10.624% below
100 week MA$11.631% below
200 week MA$8.070.5% below

RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.

WLDN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$72.83.9% below
20 week MA$76.99.2% below
50 week MA$89.222% below
100 week MA$77.49.7% below
200 week MA$51.636% above

WLDN has the edge over RDW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RDW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$10.2$7.34-28%
2022$7.34$1.92-74%
2023$1.92$2.85+48%
2024$2.85$17.1+501%
2025$17.1$7.15-58%
2026 YTD$7.15$8.03+12%

RDW has the edge over WLDN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

WLDN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$31.2$41.4+33%
2021$41.4$32.1-22%
2022$32.1$17.1-47%
2023$17.1$21.5+26%
2024$21.5$38.4+79%
2025$38.4$111.3+190%
2026 YTD$111.3$69.9-37%

WLDN's yearly returns have swung widely, from +190% in 2025 to −47% in 2022. It's down 37% so far in 2026.

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