RDW

Redwire Corporation

61
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential52/ 100

RDW has the edge over WERN overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

WERN

Werner Enterprises, Inc.

49
Fundamentals53/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential24/ 100

WERN has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

RDW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

WERN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

WERN's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

RDW PE Valuation

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

WERN PE Valuation

WERN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RDW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect RDW's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

WERN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for WERN, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RDW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+109%$16.79
Downside-52%$3.87

Calculated from the latest close: $8.03 on Nov 12.

RDW has a better modeled risk to reward balance than WERN, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

WERN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+34%$37.18
Downside-24%$20.98

Calculated from the latest close: $27.75 on Nov 12.

WERN trails RDW on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RDW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.17+$2.01
Q2 2026-$1.37+$1.89
Q1 2026-$2.59-$0.32
Q4 2025-$2.28+$0.07
Q3 2025-$3.18-$1.97
Q2 2025-$3.26-$2.28
Q1 2025-$2.27-$1.55
Q4 2024-$2.35-$1.62

RDW has the edge over WERN on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

WERN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.76Q1 2024: $1.31Q2 2024: $0.99Q3 2024: $0.73Q4 2024: $0.55Q1 2025: $0.29Q2 2025: $0.86Q3 2025: $0.41Q4 2025: $-0.24Q1 2026: $-0.15Q2 2026: $-0.76Q3 2026: $-0.31Forward: $1.43
Q4 2023: $1.76Q1 2024: $1.31Q2 2024: $0.99Q3 2024: $0.73Q4 2024: $0.55Q1 2025: $0.29Q2 2025: $0.86Q3 2025: $0.41Q4 2025: $-0.24Q1 2026: $-0.15Q2 2026: $-0.76Q3 2026: $-0.31Forward: $1.43
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.43—
Q3 2026-$0.31-176%
Q2 2026-$0.76-188%
Q1 2026-$0.15-152%
Q4 2025-$0.24-144%
Q3 2025$0.41-44%
Q2 2025$0.86-13%
Q1 2025$0.29-78%
Q4 2024$0.55-69%

WERN has swung to a loss: it lost $0.31 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

RDW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$109M+5.4%
Q2 2026$117.1M+90%
Q1 2026$97M+58%
Q4 2025$108.8M+56%
Q3 2025$103.4M+51%
Q2 2025$61.8M-21%
Q1 2025$61.4M-30%
Q4 2024$69.6M+9.6%

RDW has the edge over WERN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

WERN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $822MQ1 2024: $769MQ2 2024: $761MQ3 2024: $746MQ4 2024: $755MQ1 2025: $712MQ2 2025: $753MQ3 2025: $771MQ4 2025: $738MQ1 2026: $809MQ2 2026: $934MQ3 2026: $951M
Q4 2023: $822MQ1 2024: $769MQ2 2024: $761MQ3 2024: $746MQ4 2024: $755MQ1 2025: $712MQ2 2025: $753MQ3 2025: $771MQ4 2025: $738MQ1 2026: $809MQ2 2026: $934MQ3 2026: $951M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$950.5M+23%
Q2 2026$933.9M+24%
Q1 2026$808.6M+14%
Q4 2025$737.6M-2.3%
Q3 2025$771.5M+3.5%
Q2 2025$753.1M-1%
Q1 2025$712.1M-7.4%
Q4 2024$754.7M-8.2%

WERN's revenue is growing: $951M last quarter, up 23% from the same quarter a year ago.

RDW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$65.3M-$38.5M
Q2 2026-$33.5M+$57.2M
Q1 2026-$11.4M+$35.5M
Q4 2025-$26.5M-659%
Q3 2025-$26.9M-$7.6M
Q2 2025-$90.6M-$80.2M
Q1 2025-$46.9M-3996%
Q4 2024$4.7M-65%

RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.

WERN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $50MQ1 2024: $30MQ2 2024: −$31MQ3 2024: −$73MQ4 2024: −$10MQ1 2025: $6MQ2 2025: −$42MQ3 2025: −$9MQ4 2025: −$24MQ1 2026: $31MQ2 2026: $55MQ3 2026: −$63M
Q4 2023: $50MQ1 2024: $30MQ2 2024: −$31MQ3 2024: −$73MQ4 2024: −$10MQ1 2025: $6MQ2 2025: −$42MQ3 2025: −$9MQ4 2025: −$24MQ1 2026: $31MQ2 2026: $55MQ3 2026: −$63M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$63.2M-$54.6M
Q2 2026$54.8M+$97.1M
Q1 2026$30.7M+424%
Q4 2025-$23.5M-$13.8M
Q3 2025-$8.6M+$64.9M
Q2 2025-$42.3M-$11.1M
Q1 2025$5.9M-81%
Q4 2024-$9.8M-120%

WERN has the edge over RDW on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RDW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+29.6M shares
1 year+179%+160M shares
3 years+289%+186M shares
5 years+319%+190M shares

RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.

WERN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 64MQ1 2024: 64MQ2 2024: 63MQ3 2024: 62MQ4 2024: 63MQ1 2025: 62MQ2 2025: 61MQ3 2025: 60MQ4 2025: 61MQ1 2026: 60MQ2 2026: 60MQ3 2026: 60M
Q4 2023: 64MQ1 2024: 64MQ2 2024: 63MQ3 2024: 62MQ4 2024: 63MQ1 2025: 62MQ2 2025: 61MQ3 2025: 60MQ4 2025: 61MQ1 2026: 60MQ2 2026: 60MQ3 2026: 60M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+65K shares
1 year+0.8%+475K shares
3 years-5.4%-3.4M shares
5 years-11%-7.5M shares
Available history-14%-9.7M shares

WERN has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RDW Net Leverage

RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

WERN Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 20221.0xVery low
Q3 20210.6xVery low
Q2 20210.8xVery low
Q1 20210.5xVery low
Q4 20200.8xVery low
Q3 20200.7xVery low
Q2 20200.6xVery low
Q1 20200.9xVery low

WERN's net debt is about a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

RDW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.3Neutral
Stochastic16.1Oversold

RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

WERN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.5Neutral
Stochastic3.7Oversold

WERN's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 4 (oversold).

RDW PE vs Industrials Sector

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

WERN PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricWERNSector medianRelative
PEN/A24x—

WERN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RDW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.0611% below
20 week MA$10.120% below
50 week MA$10.624% below
100 week MA$11.631% below
200 week MA$8.070.5% below

RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.

WERN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$30.69.4% below
20 week MA$36.223% below
50 week MA$35.121% below
100 week MA$32.214% below
200 week MA$36.424% below

WERN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 24% below its 200-week average.

RDW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$10.2$7.34-28%
2022$7.34$1.92-74%
2023$1.92$2.85+48%
2024$2.85$17.1+501%
2025$17.1$7.15-58%
2026 YTD$7.15$8.03+12%

RDW has the edge over WERN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

WERN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$36.2$39.6+9.2%
2021$39.6$46.2+17%
2022$46.2$41.6-10%
2023$41.6$42.4+1.9%
2024$42.4$36.3-14%
2025$36.3$30.6-16%
2026 YTD$30.6$27.8-9.2%

WERN has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 9.2% so far in 2026.

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