RDW

Redwire Corporation

61
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential52/ 100

RDW offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

WAB

Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation

63
Fundamentals70/ 100
Valuation40/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

WAB has a slight edge over RDW overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

RDW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

WAB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Stable

WAB's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

RDW PE Valuation

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

WAB PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x31x47x62x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x31x47x62x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$301—
Cheap28x$224-25%
Fair31x$251-16%
Expensive37x$302+0.4%
Current37x$301—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

WAB's PE is in its expensive range at 37x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

RDW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect RDW's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

WAB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for WAB, with profitability improving.

RDW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+109%$16.79
Downside-52%$3.87

Calculated from the latest close: $8.03 on Nov 12.

RDW has a better modeled risk to reward balance than WAB, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

WAB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+21%$364.00
Downside-11%$268.07

Calculated from the latest close: $300.51 on Nov 12.

WAB trails RDW on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RDW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.17+$2.01
Q2 2026-$1.37+$1.89
Q1 2026-$2.59-$0.32
Q4 2025-$2.28+$0.07
Q3 2025-$3.18-$1.97
Q2 2025-$3.26-$2.28
Q1 2025-$2.27-$1.55
Q4 2024-$2.35-$1.62

RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.

WAB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.53Q1 2024: $5.13Q2 2024: $5.71Q3 2024: $6.01Q4 2024: $6.04Q1 2025: $6.39Q2 2025: $6.71Q3 2025: $6.89Q4 2025: $6.83Q1 2026: $7.07Q2 2026: $7.44Q3 2026: $8.05Forward: $11.90
Q4 2023: $4.53Q1 2024: $5.13Q2 2024: $5.71Q3 2024: $6.01Q4 2024: $6.04Q1 2025: $6.39Q2 2025: $6.71Q3 2025: $6.89Q4 2025: $6.83Q1 2026: $7.07Q2 2026: $7.44Q3 2026: $8.05Forward: $11.90
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$11.90+48%
Q3 2026$8.05+17%
Q2 2026$7.44+11%
Q1 2026$7.07+11%
Q4 2025$6.83+13%
Q3 2025$6.89+15%
Q2 2025$6.71+18%
Q1 2025$6.39+25%
Q4 2024$6.04+33%

WAB has the edge over RDW on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RDW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$109M+5.4%
Q2 2026$117.1M+90%
Q1 2026$97M+58%
Q4 2025$108.8M+56%
Q3 2025$103.4M+51%
Q2 2025$61.8M-21%
Q1 2025$61.4M-30%
Q4 2024$69.6M+9.6%

RDW's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $109M last quarter, up 5.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

WAB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.5BQ1 2024: $2.5BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.9BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $3.2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
Q4 2023: $2.5BQ1 2024: $2.5BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.9BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $3.2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.1B+8.1%
Q2 2026$3.2B+17%
Q1 2026$3B+13%
Q4 2025$3B+15%
Q3 2025$2.9B+8.4%
Q2 2025$2.7B+2.3%
Q1 2025$2.6B+4.5%
Q4 2024$2.6B+2.3%

WAB's revenue has grown year over year for 22 quarters in a row: $3.1B last quarter, up 8.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

RDW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$65.3M-$38.5M
Q2 2026-$33.5M+$57.2M
Q1 2026-$11.4M+$35.5M
Q4 2025-$26.5M-659%
Q3 2025-$26.9M-$7.6M
Q2 2025-$90.6M-$80.2M
Q1 2025-$46.9M-3996%
Q4 2024$4.7M-65%

RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.

WAB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $609MQ1 2024: $303MQ2 2024: $189MQ3 2024: $496MQ4 2024: $639MQ1 2025: $147MQ2 2025: $170MQ3 2025: $312MQ4 2025: $870MQ1 2026: $153MQ2 2026: $379MQ3 2026: $381M
Q4 2023: $609MQ1 2024: $303MQ2 2024: $189MQ3 2024: $496MQ4 2024: $639MQ1 2025: $147MQ2 2025: $170MQ3 2025: $312MQ4 2025: $870MQ1 2026: $153MQ2 2026: $379MQ3 2026: $381M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$381M+22%
Q2 2026$379M+123%
Q1 2026$153M+4.1%
Q4 2025$870M+36%
Q3 2025$312M-37%
Q2 2025$170M-10%
Q1 2025$147M-51%
Q4 2024$639M+4.9%

WAB has the edge over RDW on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RDW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+29.6M shares
1 year+179%+160M shares
3 years+289%+186M shares
5 years+319%+190M shares

RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.

WAB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 180MQ1 2024: 177MQ2 2024: 176MQ3 2024: 174MQ4 2024: 175MQ1 2025: 171MQ2 2025: 171MQ3 2025: 171MQ4 2025: 171MQ1 2026: 171MQ2 2026: 170MQ3 2026: 169M
Q4 2023: 180MQ1 2024: 177MQ2 2024: 176MQ3 2024: 174MQ4 2024: 175MQ1 2025: 171MQ2 2025: 171MQ3 2025: 171MQ4 2025: 171MQ1 2026: 171MQ2 2026: 170MQ3 2026: 169M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.5%-800K shares
1 year-1.3%-2.3M shares
3 years-5.8%-10.4M shares
5 years-10%-19.2M shares
Available history-4.8%-8.5M shares

WAB has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RDW Net Leverage

RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

WAB Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 1.7xQ2 2024: 1.7xQ3 2024: 1.7xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: 1.5xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 2.1xQ4 2025: 2.1xQ1 2026: 2.6xQ2 2026: 2.4xQ3 2026: 2.2x
Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 1.7xQ2 2024: 1.7xQ3 2024: 1.7xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: 1.5xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 2.1xQ4 2025: 2.1xQ1 2026: 2.6xQ2 2026: 2.4xQ3 2026: 2.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.2xModerate
Q2 20262.4xModerate
Q1 20262.6xModerate
Q4 20252.1xModerate
Q3 20252.1xModerate
Q2 20251.5xHealthy
Q1 20251.5xHealthy
Q4 20241.6xHealthy

WAB's net debt is about 2.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

RDW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.3Neutral
Stochastic16.1Oversold

RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

WAB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI63.3Neutral
Stochastic47.0Neutral

WAB's weekly RSI is 63 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 47 (neutral).

RDW PE vs Industrials Sector

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

WAB PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricWABSector medianRelative
PE37x24x55% above
PE %815823 pts above

WAB is trading at 37x earnings, a 55% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RDW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.0611% below
20 week MA$10.120% below
50 week MA$10.624% below
100 week MA$11.631% below
200 week MA$8.070.5% below

RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.

WAB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$285.55.3% above
20 week MA$284.55.6% above
50 week MA$262.215% above
100 week MA$228.432% above
200 week MA$181.665% above

WAB has the edge over RDW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RDW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$10.2$7.34-28%
2022$7.34$1.92-74%
2023$1.92$2.85+48%
2024$2.85$17.1+501%
2025$17.1$7.15-58%
2026 YTD$7.15$8.03+12%

RDW's yearly returns have swung widely, from +501% in 2024 to −74% in 2022. It's up 12% so far in 2026.

WAB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$78.6$73.3-6.7%
2021$73.3$89.9+23%
2022$89.9$100.5+12%
2023$100.5$126.9+26%
2024$126.9$192.0+51%
2025$192.0$219.3+14%
2026 YTD$219.3$300.5+37%

WAB has the edge over RDW on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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