RDW

Redwire Corporation

61
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential52/ 100

RDW has the edge over VZ overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

VZ

Verizon Communications Inc.

54
Fundamentals52/ 100
Valuation43/ 100
Upside potential50/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

VZ has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

RDW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

VZ Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Under pressure

VZ's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

RDW PE Valuation

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

VZ PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8.3x$32.43-30%
Forward9x$46.55—
Fair11x$43.63-6.3%
Current12x$46.55—
Expensive14x$56.75+22%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

VZ's PE is in its fair range at 12x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.0x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

RDW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

RDW has the edge over VZ on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

VZ Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect VZ's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

RDW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+109%$16.79
Downside-52%$3.87

Calculated from the latest close: $8.03 on Nov 12.

RDW has a better modeled risk to reward balance than VZ, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

VZ Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+17%$54.56
Downside-17%$38.49

Calculated from the latest close: $46.55 on Nov 12.

VZ trails RDW on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RDW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.17+$2.01
Q2 2026-$1.37+$1.89
Q1 2026-$2.59-$0.32
Q4 2025-$2.28+$0.07
Q3 2025-$3.18-$1.97
Q2 2025-$3.26-$2.28
Q1 2025-$2.27-$1.55
Q4 2024-$2.35-$1.62

RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.

VZ Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.75Q1 2024: $2.67Q2 2024: $2.66Q3 2024: $2.31Q4 2024: $4.14Q1 2025: $4.20Q2 2025: $4.29Q3 2025: $4.68Q4 2025: $4.06Q1 2026: $4.11Q2 2026: $3.85Q3 2026: $3.93Forward: $5.19
Q4 2023: $2.75Q1 2024: $2.67Q2 2024: $2.66Q3 2024: $2.31Q4 2024: $4.14Q1 2025: $4.20Q2 2025: $4.29Q3 2025: $4.68Q4 2025: $4.06Q1 2026: $4.11Q2 2026: $3.85Q3 2026: $3.93Forward: $5.19
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.19+32%
Q3 2026$3.93-16%
Q2 2026$3.85-10%
Q1 2026$4.11-2.1%
Q4 2025$4.06-1.9%
Q3 2025$4.68+103%
Q2 2025$4.29+61%
Q1 2025$4.20+57%
Q4 2024$4.14+51%

VZ has the edge over RDW on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RDW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$109M+5.4%
Q2 2026$117.1M+90%
Q1 2026$97M+58%
Q4 2025$108.8M+56%
Q3 2025$103.4M+51%
Q2 2025$61.8M-21%
Q1 2025$61.4M-30%
Q4 2024$69.6M+9.6%

RDW's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $109M last quarter, up 5.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

VZ Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $35.1BQ1 2024: $33BQ2 2024: $32.8BQ3 2024: $33.3BQ4 2024: $35.7BQ1 2025: $33.5BQ2 2025: $34.5BQ3 2025: $33.8BQ4 2025: $36.4BQ1 2026: $34.4BQ2 2026: $34.3BQ3 2026: $34.3B
Q4 2023: $35.1BQ1 2024: $33BQ2 2024: $32.8BQ3 2024: $33.3BQ4 2024: $35.7BQ1 2025: $33.5BQ2 2025: $34.5BQ3 2025: $33.8BQ4 2025: $36.4BQ1 2026: $34.4BQ2 2026: $34.3BQ3 2026: $34.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$34.3B+1.5%
Q2 2026$34.3B-0.7%
Q1 2026$34.4B+2.9%
Q4 2025$36.4B+2%
Q3 2025$33.8B+1.5%
Q2 2025$34.5B+5.2%
Q1 2025$33.5B+1.5%
Q4 2024$35.7B+1.6%

VZ's revenue has held roughly level: $34.3B last quarter, up 1.5% from the same quarter a year ago.

RDW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$65.3M-$38.5M
Q2 2026-$33.5M+$57.2M
Q1 2026-$11.4M+$35.5M
Q4 2025-$26.5M-659%
Q3 2025-$26.9M-$7.6M
Q2 2025-$90.6M-$80.2M
Q1 2025-$46.9M-3996%
Q4 2024$4.7M-65%

RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.

VZ Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $8.7BQ1 2024: $7.1BQ2 2024: $9.5BQ3 2024: $9.9BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: $7.8BQ2 2025: $9BQ3 2025: $11.3BQ4 2025: $9.1BQ1 2026: $8BQ2 2026: $10.4BQ3 2026: $11.5B
Q4 2023: $8.7BQ1 2024: $7.1BQ2 2024: $9.5BQ3 2024: $9.9BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: $7.8BQ2 2025: $9BQ3 2025: $11.3BQ4 2025: $9.1BQ1 2026: $8BQ2 2026: $10.4BQ3 2026: $11.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$11.5B+2.2%
Q2 2026$10.4B+16%
Q1 2026$8B+2.6%
Q4 2025$9.1B-13%
Q3 2025$11.3B+14%
Q2 2025$9B-5.4%
Q1 2025$7.8B+9.9%
Q4 2024$10.4B+20%

VZ has the edge over RDW on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RDW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+29.6M shares
1 year+179%+160M shares
3 years+289%+186M shares
5 years+319%+190M shares

RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.

VZ Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.2BQ3 2024: 4.2BQ4 2024: 4.2BQ1 2025: 4.2BQ2 2025: 4.2BQ3 2025: 4.2BQ4 2025: 4.2BQ1 2026: 4.2BQ2 2026: 4.2BQ3 2026: 4.2B
Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.2BQ3 2024: 4.2BQ4 2024: 4.2BQ1 2025: 4.2BQ2 2025: 4.2BQ3 2025: 4.2BQ4 2025: 4.2BQ1 2026: 4.2BQ2 2026: 4.2BQ3 2026: 4.2B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-10M shares
1 year-1.7%-72M shares
3 years-1.3%-55M shares
5 years+0.4%+17M shares
Available history+0.5%+21M shares

VZ has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RDW Net Leverage

RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

VZ Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.7xQ1 2024: 3.7xQ2 2024: 3.6xQ3 2024: 3.7xQ4 2024: 3.0xQ1 2025: 3.0xQ2 2025: 3.0xQ3 2025: 2.8xQ4 2025: 2.9xQ1 2026: 3.4xQ2 2026: 3.4xQ3 2026: 3.3x
Q4 2023: 3.7xQ1 2024: 3.7xQ2 2024: 3.6xQ3 2024: 3.7xQ4 2024: 3.0xQ1 2025: 3.0xQ2 2025: 3.0xQ3 2025: 2.8xQ4 2025: 2.9xQ1 2026: 3.4xQ2 2026: 3.4xQ3 2026: 3.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.3xElevated
Q2 20263.4xElevated
Q1 20263.4xElevated
Q4 20252.9xModerate
Q3 20252.8xModerate
Q2 20253.0xModerate
Q1 20253.0xElevated
Q4 20243.0xElevated

VZ's net debt is about 3.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.8 years a year ago.

RDW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.3Neutral
Stochastic16.1Oversold

RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

VZ Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.9Neutral
Stochastic44.6Neutral

VZ's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 45 (neutral).

RDW PE vs Industrials Sector

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

VZ PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricVZSector medianRelative
PE12x16x28% below
PE %582632 pts above

VZ is trading at 12x earnings, a 28% discount to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.

RDW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.0611% below
20 week MA$10.120% below
50 week MA$10.624% below
100 week MA$11.631% below
200 week MA$8.070.5% below

RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.

VZ Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$45.13.1% above
20 week MA$46.30.5% above
50 week MA$46.11.1% above
100 week MA$44.25.4% above
200 week MA$41.412% above

VZ has the edge over RDW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RDW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$10.2$7.34-28%
2022$7.34$1.92-74%
2023$1.92$2.85+48%
2024$2.85$17.1+501%
2025$17.1$7.15-58%
2026 YTD$7.15$8.03+12%

RDW's yearly returns have swung widely, from +501% in 2024 to −74% in 2022. It's up 12% so far in 2026.

VZ Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$61.5$58.8-4.4%
2021$58.8$52.7-10%
2022$52.7$38.4-27%
2023$38.4$37.7-1.8%
2024$37.7$39.9+5.9%
2025$39.9$40.5+1.4%
2026 YTD$40.5$46.6+15%

VZ has the edge over RDW on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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