RDW

Redwire Corporation

61
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential52/ 100

RDW has a slight edge over VSTS overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

VSTS

Vestis Corporation

60
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential28/ 100

VSTS has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

RDW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

VSTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Stable
Weak

VSTS's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

RDW PE Valuation

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

VSTS PE Valuation

VSTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RDW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

RDW has the edge over VSTS on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

VSTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect VSTS's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RDW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+109%$16.79
Downside-52%$3.87

Calculated from the latest close: $8.03 on Nov 12.

RDW has a better modeled risk to reward balance than VSTS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

VSTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+40%$19.92
Downside-28%$10.16

Calculated from the latest close: $14.19 on Nov 12.

VSTS trails RDW on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RDW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.17+$2.01
Q2 2026-$1.37+$1.89
Q1 2026-$2.59-$0.32
Q4 2025-$2.28+$0.07
Q3 2025-$3.18-$1.97
Q2 2025-$3.26-$2.28
Q1 2025-$2.27-$1.55
Q4 2024-$2.35-$1.62

RDW has the edge over VSTS on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

VSTS Earnings Per Share

Q2 2024: $0.90Q3 2024: $0.16Q4 2024: $0.08Q1 2025: $-0.18Q2 2025: $-0.23Q4 2025: $-0.31Q1 2026: $-0.37Q2 2026: $-0.14Q3 2026: $-0.05Forward: $0.77
Q2 2024: $0.90Q3 2024: $0.16Q4 2024: $0.08Q1 2025: $-0.18Q2 2025: $-0.23Q4 2025: $-0.31Q1 2026: $-0.37Q2 2026: $-0.14Q3 2026: $-0.05Forward: $0.77
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.77—
Q2 2026-$0.05+$0.18
Q1 2026-$0.14+$0.04
Q4 2025-$0.37-563%
Q3 2025-$0.31-294%
Q2 2025-$0.23-126%
Q2 2024$0.90+291%

VSTS lost $0.05 per share over the past year, a smaller loss than the year before.

RDW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$109M+5.4%
Q2 2026$117.1M+90%
Q1 2026$97M+58%
Q4 2025$108.8M+56%
Q3 2025$103.4M+51%
Q2 2025$61.8M-21%
Q1 2025$61.4M-30%
Q4 2024$69.6M+9.6%

RDW has the edge over VSTS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

VSTS Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $716MQ4 2023: $718MQ1 2024: $705MQ2 2024: $698MQ3 2024: $684MQ4 2024: $684MQ1 2025: $665MQ2 2025: $674MQ4 2025: $712MQ1 2026: $663MQ2 2026: $659MQ3 2026: $662M
Q3 2023: $716MQ4 2023: $718MQ1 2024: $705MQ2 2024: $698MQ3 2024: $684MQ4 2024: $684MQ1 2025: $665MQ2 2025: $674MQ4 2025: $712MQ1 2026: $663MQ2 2026: $659MQ3 2026: $662M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$661.7M-1.8%
Q1 2026$659.4M-0.9%
Q4 2025$663.4M-3%
Q3 2025$712M+4.1%
Q2 2025$673.8M-3.5%
Q1 2025$665.2M-5.7%
Q4 2024$683.8M-4.8%
Q3 2024$684.3M-4.4%

VSTS's revenue has held roughly level: $662M last quarter, down 1.8% from the same quarter a year ago.

RDW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$65.3M-$38.5M
Q2 2026-$33.5M+$57.2M
Q1 2026-$11.4M+$35.5M
Q4 2025-$26.5M-659%
Q3 2025-$26.9M-$7.6M
Q2 2025-$90.6M-$80.2M
Q1 2025-$46.9M-3996%
Q4 2024$4.7M-65%

RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.

VSTS Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $88MQ4 2023: $35MQ1 2024: $63MQ2 2024: $28MQ3 2024: $267MQ4 2024: −$11MQ1 2025: −$7MQ2 2025: $8MQ4 2025: $16MQ1 2026: $28MQ2 2026: $46MQ3 2026: $47M
Q3 2023: $88MQ4 2023: $35MQ1 2024: $63MQ2 2024: $28MQ3 2024: $267MQ4 2024: −$11MQ1 2025: −$7MQ2 2025: $8MQ4 2025: $16MQ1 2026: $28MQ2 2026: $46MQ3 2026: $47M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$47M+487%
Q1 2026$45.6M+$52.4M
Q4 2025$28.3M+$39.3M
Q3 2025$15.6M-94%
Q2 2025$8M-71%
Q1 2025-$6.9M-111%
Q4 2024-$11M-132%
Q3 2024$267.5M+205%

VSTS has the edge over RDW on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RDW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+29.6M shares
1 year+179%+160M shares
3 years+289%+186M shares
5 years+319%+190M shares

RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.

VSTS Total Shares

Q3 2023: 131MQ4 2023: 132MQ1 2024: 132MQ2 2024: 132MQ3 2024: 132MQ4 2024: 132MQ1 2025: 132MQ2 2025: 132MQ4 2025: 132MQ1 2026: 132MQ2 2026: 133MQ3 2026: 134M
Q3 2023: 131MQ4 2023: 132MQ1 2024: 132MQ2 2024: 132MQ3 2024: 132MQ4 2024: 132MQ1 2025: 132MQ2 2025: 132MQ4 2025: 132MQ1 2026: 132MQ2 2026: 133MQ3 2026: 134M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1%+1.3M shares
1 year+1.9%+2.5M shares
3 years+2.7%+3.5M shares

VSTS has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RDW Net Leverage

RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

VSTS Net Leverage

Q2 2024: 3.6xQ3 2024: 3.7xQ4 2024: 3.9xQ1 2025: 4.9xQ2 2025: 5.2xQ4 2025: 5.4xQ1 2026: 5.8xQ2 2026: 4.7xQ3 2026: 4.4x
Q2 2024: 3.6xQ3 2024: 3.7xQ4 2024: 3.9xQ1 2025: 4.9xQ2 2025: 5.2xQ4 2025: 5.4xQ1 2026: 5.8xQ2 2026: 4.7xQ3 2026: 4.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20264.4xHigh
Q1 20264.7xHigh
Q4 20255.8xHigh
Q3 20255.4xHigh
Q2 20255.2xHigh
Q1 20254.9xHigh
Q4 20243.9xElevated
Q3 20243.7xElevated

VSTS's net debt is about 4.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 5.2 years a year ago.

RDW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.3Neutral
Stochastic16.1Oversold

RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

VSTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI58.3Neutral
Stochastic66.5Neutral

VSTS's weekly RSI is 58 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 67 (neutral).

RDW PE vs Industrials Sector

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

VSTS PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricVSTSSector medianRelative
PEN/A24x—

VSTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RDW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.0611% below
20 week MA$10.120% below
50 week MA$10.624% below
100 week MA$11.631% below
200 week MA$8.070.5% below

VSTS has stronger trend alignment. RDW is above 0 of 5 weekly averages versus VSTS above 3 of 4.

VSTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$14.20.1% below
20 week MA$14.10.7% above
50 week MA$11.029% above
100 week MA$9.5848% above

VSTS's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 48% above its 100-week average.

RDW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$10.2$7.34-28%
2022$7.34$1.92-74%
2023$1.92$2.85+48%
2024$2.85$17.1+501%
2025$17.1$7.15-58%
2026 YTD$7.15$8.03+12%

RDW's yearly returns have swung widely, from +501% in 2024 to −74% in 2022. It's up 12% so far in 2026.

VSTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2023$19.3$21.1+9.5%
2024$21.1$15.4-27%
2025$15.4$6.55-57%
2026 YTD$6.55$14.2+117%

VSTS has the edge over RDW on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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